frenchyge said:
Are you sure? Starting with a CTL of 80, ATL of 60 (TSB +20) and riding to a TSB of -80 would require 290 TSS/d for 5 days straight. By the end of the 5 days, CTL will be 103.6 and ATL at 183.4 (TSB at -79.9).
You tell us, when you get there.
I don't have the software, so I'm using a spreadsheet using the formulas found in another thread.
CTL (=F16+($E17-F16)*(1-EXP(-1/42)) and A
ATL =J16+($E17-G16)*(1-EXP(-1/7))
Actually, I was using a different spreadsheet to plan this "stage race" so I just used "seed" values for CTL and ATL. I just tried it again with a sample CTL spreadsheet with several weeks of lead-in and the numbers (for ATL and TSB) are quite different. I had thought that the ATL and TSB seemed extreme even for what I was planning.
My original spreadsheet (with seeded values, then a four day planned mini-taper):
CTL - 78 (down from 82 after 4-5 days mini-taper)
ATL - 53 (down from 90 after taper)
Day, TSS, CTL, ATL, TSB
Day 1 - 226, 81, 95, -14
Day 2 - 187, 84, 117, -33
Day 3 - 197, 87, 137, -50
Day 4 - 302, 92, 177, -85
Day 5 - 206, 94, 184, -90
A new spreadsheet (with seeded values, then 5 weeks of sample workouts to get to the same CTL, ATL):
CTL - 78
ATL - 54
Day, TSS, CTL, ATL, TSB
Day 1 - 226, 82, 77, +5
Day 2 - 187, 84, 91, -13
Day 3 - 197, 87, 105, -23
Day 4 - 302, 92, 132, -40
Day 5 - 206, 94, 142, -50
Total of 544 km in 19 hours including warm-ups and cool-downs.
So, even my most ambitious version of my "stage race" has 1118 TSS over the 5 days (not 5*290 = 1450), but I think I'll probably change the 4th day to something shorter (although it is my birthday, so I would definitely get "family permission" to do the century if that's what I wanted).