Can somebody explain to me what Rogers has done to be considered a bona fide Tour contender.
He won three world time trial titles (after the real winners were DQed) and he has never been able to bring his time trialing ability to a GT or a multi-day race. To add to that, he is a second tier climber. How he will win the TdF, I'm not sure.
He won three world champs at ITT and almost won the Tour de Suisse - beating Ullrich, but losing to a supercharged Gonzales on the final afternoon.
He's won a few other races of note, but I can't remember them. Oh, and top tenned in the Tour as a domestique. I would have put him on the same level as Popovych and Kirchen. Not a likely winner, but a good chance at top five.
Tour of Belgium, Tour of Germany, Route du Sud as a 23yo IIRC