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Final TT predictions

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Road Cycling
Published
22 July 2005
Last activity
25 July 2005
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gym.gravity
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  1. L-factor needs a memorable win. Otherwise the only moment that will
    stand out in this Tour is the footage of him catching and passing
    Ullrich on the "prologue". I think he'll catch Basso on the TT,
    "bookending" the tour with yet another pass of his closest percieved GC
    threat.

    1) Armstrong
    2) Ullrich -1:01
    3) Leipheimer -1:40
    4) Landis -1:50
    5) Basso -2:10

    Rassmussen -3:50

  2. 1. Lance
    2. Ullrich at 1:35
    3. Basso @ 2:40
    4. Levi @ 2:44
    5. no idea, Botero still around? Julich?
    ....
    x. Rasmussen at 4:50

    -Ken

  3. On 22-Jul-2005, smacked up and reeling, "gym.gravity"
    <[email hidden]> blindly formulated
    the following incoherence:

    Quoted message said:

    I think he'll catch Basso on the TT,
    "bookending" the tour with yet another pass of his closest percieved GC
    threat.

    I imagine the last few guys will be sent 3 minutes apart to reduce the
    chance of passing. Dont they do that on the longer ITTs?

    Of course, LA may get him anyway.

    steve
    --
    "Local firemen improvised."
    Benny Hill

  4. "I imagine the last few guys will be sent 3 minutes apart to reduce the
    chance of passing. Dont they do that on the longer ITTs? "

    No -- more like TWO minutes.

    -Ken

  5. "k.papai" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de news:
    [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    "I imagine the last few guys will be sent 3 minutes apart to reduce the
    chance of passing. Dont they do that on the longer ITTs? "

    No -- more like TWO minutes.

    -Ken

    No, Last guys ARE THREE minutes apart, others are 2 minutes apart.

  6. trg said:

    "k.papai" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de news:
    [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    "I imagine the last few guys will be sent 3 minutes apart to reduce the
    chance of passing. Dont they do that on the longer ITTs? "

    No -- more like TWO minutes.

    -Ken

    No, Last guys ARE THREE minutes apart, others are 2 minutes apart.

    damn. revise my prediction...Basso at -3:04 (unlikely)

  7. Sweet, thanks, I have not found the start list time order yet and was
    merely guessing.

    So when Lance/The Boss passes Basso no one will be surprised that Lance
    put another 180 seconds into people who can't beat him? Basso for 2006
    -- COUNT ON IT.

    -KJP

  8. "k.papai" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de news:
    [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Sweet, thanks, I have not found the start list time order yet and was
    merely guessing.

    So when Lance/The Boss passes Basso no one will be surprised that Lance
    put another 180 seconds into people who can't beat him? Basso for 2006
    -- COUNT ON IT.

    -KJP

    Here are the rules-

    Article 23 - Individual time trials
    In the individual time trial stages, the starting order is as follows:
    .. In Fromentine: at one-minute intervals; the starting order is that drawn
    up by the race management and team managers.
    .. In Saint-Étienne: at 2-minute intervals, then three-minute intervals for
    the last starters. Riders start in reverse order of the general ranking
    established following the 19th stage. [...]
    A rider caught by another may neither lead nor follow in the latter's
    slipstream.
    A rider must leave a gap of at least 2 meters between himself and any rider
    he passes. A rider caught by another rider will stay at least 25 meters
    behind the latter.
    Any help between riders is forbidden. [...]
    Each rider may be accompanied by a vehicle carrying spares. A following
    vehicle must remain about 10 m behind its rider; it may never draw level
    with him and all information must be communicated from behind. A following
    vehicle may take up position between two riders only if they are at least 50
    m apart. If this gap closes, the vehicle accompanying the first rider must
    immediately drop back behind the second one.

  9. Given that Rasmussen soloed 167 out of 171 km on stage 9 with four cat
    3 climbs, a cat 2 climb and a cat 1 climb averaging 41.3 kph, I'm not
    quite ready to discount Rasmussen's tt capability.

  10. gym.gravity said:

    L-factor needs a memorable win. Otherwise the only moment that will
    stand out in this Tour is the footage of him catching and passing
    Ullrich on the "prologue".

    He (LA) tipped Jan in the post-stage interview today. IMHO, LA would
    have loved to win every stage, every jersey but really only wants the
    GC. Follows the "Win the Tour" year-long gameplan that has been good so
    far <g>.

    Pretty good strategy, putting time on the contenders in that first ITT.
    --TP

  11. Basso will be passed on the road. 3 minutes he will lose.

    RVD

  12. Rik Van Diesel said:

    3 minutes he will lose.

    Dear RVD,

    Please stop using Yoda's predictions as your own.

    Thanks,

    Ed

  13. Carl Sundquist said:

    Given that Rasmussen soloed 167 out of 171 km on stage 9 with four cat
    3 climbs, a cat 2 climb and a cat 1 climb averaging 41.3 kph, I'm not
    quite ready to discount Rasmussen's tt capability.

    He had company until he dropped Cioni at 95km. I give him credit for a
    76km cannibal time trial. He said it himself, that he's never ridden a
    TT at 100%, so it is his secret weapon. I just wonder if he's ever
    been in a wind tunnel, or if he's ever done a training ride on his TT
    rig. That could hurt him. But I do think it will be impressive.

  14. Carl Sundquist said:

    Given that Rasmussen soloed 167 out of 171 km on stage 9 with four cat
    3 climbs, a cat 2 climb and a cat 1 climb averaging 41.3 kph, I'm not
    quite ready to discount Rasmussen's tt capability.

    I think we saw a tired Ras unable to react on thursday's final climb.

  15. Basso will consider Ullrich his top rival but Valverde and some others
    are likely to be at their level.

    I have this bad feeling that Jan will not focus on his training this
    coming year and will pull a Pulidor.

  16. k.papai said:

    Sweet, thanks, I have not found the start list time order yet and was
    merely guessing.

    So when Lance/The Boss passes Basso no one will be surprised that Lance
    put another 180 seconds into people who can't beat him? Basso for 2006
    -- COUNT ON IT.

    -KJP

    I hope you're right about Basso winning next year.

    I would really like to see him try to take the Giro and the Tour. If
    he did it, it would go against what Armstrong said would happen in
    professional cycling.

  17. "David Ferguson" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news: [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    k.papai said:

    Sweet, thanks, I have not found the start list time order yet and was
    merely guessing.

    So when Lance/The Boss passes Basso no one will be surprised that Lance
    put another 180 seconds into people who can't beat him? Basso for 2006
    -- COUNT ON IT.

    -KJP

    I hope you're right about Basso winning next year.

    I would really like to see him try to take the Giro and the Tour. If
    he did it, it would go against what Armstrong said would happen in
    professional cycling.

    Riis has already poopooed the double.

  18. trg said:

    "David Ferguson" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news: [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    k.papai said:

    Sweet, thanks, I have not found the start list time order yet and was
    merely guessing.

    So when Lance/The Boss passes Basso no one will be surprised that Lance
    put another 180 seconds into people who can't beat him? Basso for 2006
    -- COUNT ON IT.

    -KJP

    I hope you're right about Basso winning next year.

    I would really like to see him try to take the Giro and the Tour. If
    he did it, it would go against what Armstrong said would happen in
    professional cycling.

    Riis has already poopooed the double.

    I think he's strong enough to do it.

    And I think Armstrong could have certainly done it but he was never
    willing to risk the Tour. If the Giro was after the tour I would think
    he'd have tried during at least one of those years.

  19. "I hope you're right about Basso winning next year.

    I would really like to see him try to take the Giro and the Tour. If
    he did it, it would go against what Armstrong said would happen in
    professional cycling."

    That means more Basso's sister pictures and more RBR discussion around
    said future photos. Nice.

    Basso - Valverde - Vino - Kloeden to rule next year (2006).
    2006 Wild cards: Mayo, Heras, Simoni, Ullrich, SaVoLdelli.

    Sprinter: Ale JET! (does he have a hot sister?) and Pocket ROCKET and
    Bone-In.

    -Ken

  20. On 22-Jul-2005, smacked up and reeling, David Ferguson
    <[email hidden]> blindly formulated
    the following incoherence:

    Quoted message said:

    And I think Armstrong could have certainly done it but he was never
    willing to risk the Tour.

    Now that would have made things interesting. Disco would have loved it.
    OLN might have shown it.

    And why wouldnt Lance enjoy a new challenge?

    Or is it just about winning?

    steve
    --
    "Local firemen improvised."
    Benny Hill

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