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Expert predictions

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Road Cycling
Published
11 June 2004
Last activity
14 June 2004
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Ewoud Dronkert
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  1. From Dutch cycling monthly Wielerrevue (TdF special June
    2004), podium and jersey predictions by a few "experts".

    LA JU IM TH DM IB RH GS Green Polka
    Former pros Jelle Nijdam 1 2 3 RM IM
    Gerrie Knetemann 2 1 3 TB RV Maarten
    Ducrot 1 3 2 AP RV Danny Nelissen 1 2 3
    RM JM Jacques Hanegraaf 3 1 2 BC IM
    Peter Winnen 2 3 1 RM CS Reporters
    Michel Wuyts 1 3 2 BC RV Jacques Chapel
    1 2 3 RM IM Marije Randwijk 3 1 2 BC GS
    Bert Wagendorp 2 1 3 RM IM

    You guess who they named.

  2. On 06/11/2004 12:53 PM, in article
    [email hidden], "Ewoud Dronkert"

    Quoted message said:

    From Dutch cycling monthly Wielerrevue (TdF special June
    2004), podium and jersey predictions by a few "experts".

    LA JU IM TH DM IB RH GS Green Polka
    Former pros Jelle Nijdam 1 2 3 RM IM
    Gerrie Knetemann 2 1 3 TB RV Maarten
    Ducrot 1 3 2 AP RV Danny Nelissen 1 2 3
    RM JM Jacques Hanegraaf 3 1 2 BC IM
    Peter Winnen 2 3 1 RM CS Reporters
    Michel Wuyts 1 3 2 BC RV Jacques Chapel
    1 2 3 RM IM Marije Randwijk 3 1 2 BC GS
    Bert Wagendorp 2 1 3 RM IM

    You guess who they named.

    Yellow

    LA = Lance Armstrong JU = Jan Ullrich IM = Iban Mayo TH =
    Tyler Hamilton DM = David Moncoutié (?) ... Definitely not
    David Miller IB = Ivan Basso RH = Roberto Heras GS =
    Gilberto Simoni

    Green

    RM = Robbie McEwen TB = Tom Boonen AP = Alessando Petacchi
    BC = Badon Cooke

    Polka Dot

    IM = Iban Mayo RV = Richard Virenque JM = CS = GS =
    Gilberto Simoni

    --
    Steven L. Sheffield stevens at veloworks dot com veloworks
    at worldnet dot ay tea tee dot net bellum pax est libertas
    servitus est ignoratio vis est ess ay ell tea ell ay kay ee
    sea aye tee why you ti ay aitch aitch tee tea pea colon [for
    word] slash [four ward] slash double-you double-yew double-
    ewe dot veloworks dot com [four word] slash

  3. "Steven L. Sheffield" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    IM = Iban Mayo RV = Richard Virenque JM = CS = GS =
    Gilberto Simoni


    Juan Miguel Mercado and Carlos Sastre?

    Jeff

  4. "Ewoud Dronkert" <[email hidden]> schreef in bericht
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    From Dutch cycling monthly Wielerrevue (TdF special June
    2004), podium and jersey predictions by a few "experts".

    LA JU IM TH DM IB RH GS Green Polka
    Former pros Jelle Nijdam 1 2 3 RM IM
    Gerrie Knetemann 2 1 3 TB RV Maarten
    Ducrot 1 3 2 AP RV Danny Nelissen 1 2
    3 RM JM Jacques Hanegraaf 3 1 2 BC IM
    Peter Winnen 2 3 1 RM CS Reporters
    Michel Wuyts 1 3 2 BC RV Jacques
    Chapel 1 2 3 RM IM Marije Randwijk 3 1
    2 BC GS Bert Wagendorp 2 1 3 RM IM

    I remember a small survey of L'Equipe on the eve of the
    final TT in the Tour of '89.All the experts (about 20 or 25)
    predicted Laurent Fignon would win the Tour, with one
    exception: Jan Raas who voted for Lemond. Since then I don't
    believe experts anymore (expect Jan Raas of course).

    Benjo Maso

  5. Steven L. Sheffield said:


    DM = David Moncoutié (?) ... Definitely not David Miller

    Those DM won't make the podium. Ducrot must refer to a
    former Ventoux winner. But he won't make the podium either,
    not this year. May have the strength for a top-5 and will be
    given more freedom than the big guns, but still lacks
    tactically to really benefit from that.

    Jenko

  6. "benjo maso" <[email hidden]> schreef in bericht
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "Ewoud Dronkert" <[email hidden]> schreef in bericht
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    From Dutch cycling monthly Wielerrevue (TdF special June
    2004), podium and jersey predictions by a few "experts".

    LA JU IM TH DM IB RH GS Green Polka
    Former pros Jelle Nijdam 1 2 3 RM IM
    Gerrie Knetemann 2 1 3 TB RV Maarten
    Ducrot 1 3 2 AP RV Danny Nelissen 1
    2 3 RM JM Jacques Hanegraaf 3 1 2 BC
    IM Peter Winnen 2 3 1 RM CS
    Reporters Michel Wuyts 1 3 2 BC RV
    Jacques Chapel 1 2 3 RM IM Marije
    Randwijk 3 1 2 BC GS Bert Wagendorp
    2 1 3 RM IM

    I remember a small survey of L'Equipe on the eve of the
    final TT in the


    Tour

    Quoted message said:

    of '89.All the experts (about 20 or 25) predicted Laurent
    Fignon would win the Tour, with one exception: Jan Raas
    who voted for Lemond. Since then I don't believe experts
    anymore (expect Jan Raas of course).

    Peter Winnen doesn't really want to be believed; he prefers
    to produce fiction. Jacques Chapel and Danny Nelissen both
    try to be the Pim Fortuyn among sports commentators: 'I am
    going/any which way the wind may be blowing' and Michel
    Wuyts doesn't have an opinion, just his calculator and some
    accumulated Flemish cycling knowledge. Gerrie Knetemann
    just rolls
    dice. Still I'm surprised that so few predict Petacchi for
    the green jersey. Fassa Bortolo can and will pull him
    through the tough stages. What else can they do?

    Jonathan.

  7. "Jonathan v.d. Sluis" <[email hidden]> schreef in bericht
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    (snip)

    Quoted message said:

    Peter Winnen doesn't really want to be believed; he
    prefers to produce fiction.

    It's interesting that Peter Winnen, the only climber among
    the experts, is the only one who is tipping the climber Iban
    Mayo as a Tdf winner, confirming the principle that people
    are usually attaching great importance to what they are good
    in themselves.

    Jacques Chapel and Danny Nelissen both try to be the
    Pim Fortuyn

    Quoted message said:

    among sports commentators: 'I am going/any which way the
    wind may be blowing'

    I never heard them. Eurosport?

    and Michel Wuyts doesn't have an opinion, just his
    calculator and

    Quoted message said:

    some accumulated Flemish cycling knowledge.

    Flemish cycling knowlegde shouldn't be unterestimated.
    Besides Michel Wuyts wrote quite a nice book last year.

    Benjo Maso

  8. benjo maso said:
    Quoted message said:

    Jacques Chapel and Danny Nelissen

    I never heard them. Eurosport?

    Chapel from Langs de Lijn and Radio Tour, Nelissen on
    Eurosport, yes. cgi.omroep.nlcgi
    bin/streams?/nos/tour2003/etappes/et_04_vooruitblik.rm cgi.omroep.nlcgi
    bin/streams?/nos/tour2003/etappes/et_04_terugblik.rm

    Eurosport's audio/video links unfortunately don't seem to
    work for now. There should be a few words from Nelissen on
    Pantani here: eurosport.comS18
    /playermultimedia_Lng0_Rub31_Spo18_Ven5227.shtml linked as a
    popup window from eurosport.comL0
    /S18/multimedia_Lng0_Spo18.shtml

  9. Jenko said:
    Steven L. Sheffield said:
    Quoted message said:

    DM = David Moncoutié (?) ... Definitely not David Miller

    Those DM won't make the podium. Ducrot must refer to a
    former Ventoux winner. But he won't make the podium
    either, not this year. May have the strength for a top-5
    and will be given more freedom than the big guns, but
    still lacks tactically to really benefit from that.

    I'll bet money they are thinking of Denis Menchov.

    -Sonarrat.

  10. Ewoud Dronkert said:
    Jeff Jones said:
    Steven L. Sheffield said:

    JM = CS =

    Juan Miguel Mercado and Carlos Sastre?

    Check. For the podium, DM was Dennis Menchov, not
    Moncoutié or Millar.

    I should read all the posts in any given thread before doing
    research to clarify stuff...

    -Sonarrat.

  11. Sorry, couldn't resist. RBR is the real authority,
    after all. 😉

    As much as I like Aitor Gonzalez, I have to leave him off my
    short list for now. He just doesn't seem to be in great
    shape at the moment. Santiago Botero doesn't seem to be in
    form either, as he fell off of the TdS breakaway today.

    1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-Mobile)
    3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)

    Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey - Michele
    Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)

    Team classificiation - US Postal

  12. Sonarrat said:


    1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-Mobile)
    3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)

    Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey - Michele
    Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)

    Team classificiation - US Postal

    Candyass.

  13. Robert Chung said:
    Sonarrat said:

    1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-Mobile)
    3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)

    Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey - Michele
    Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)

    Team classificiation - US Postal

    Candyass.

    In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    I do see a mistake in putting Rogers in 3rd and a different
    rider in the white jersey... it would have to be Rogers
    given this result...

    -Sonarrat.

  14. Hmmm.

    1. Jan Ullrich
    2. Tyler Hamilton
    3. Iban Mayo (*)
    4. Lance Armstrong

    KOM: Heras Green: O'Grady

    To add the required candyass component, I'd have to say I
    can't pick a young rider and the asterisk on Mayo is
    probably going to be a dope control.

  15. Sonarrat said:
    Robert Chung said:
    Sonarrat said:

    1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-
    Mobile) 3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)

    Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey -
    Michele Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)

    Team classificiation - US Postal

    Candyass.

    In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    google.comgroups
    s.upenn.edu

  16. Robert Chung said:
    Sonarrat said:
    Robert Chung said:

    Sonarrat wrote:

    > 1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-
    > Mobile) 3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)
    >
    > Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    > Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey -
    > Michele Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)
    >
    > Team classificiation - US Postal

    Candyass.

    In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    google.comgroups
    ws.upenn.edu

    That's all total stupid [censored], and whoever believes in it
    is the ultimate gullible stupid. Proof: if you pick 1st, 2nd
    and 3rd horse of a race in the right order you win much more
    than if you pick only the winner. This obviously means that
    the first kind of prono is more difficult and hazardous than
    the single pick. Andrew Albright can shine my car.

  17. On 06/13/2004 07:20 AM, in article [email hidden],

    Davide Tosi said:
    Robert Chung said:
    Sonarrat said:

    Robert Chung wrote:

    > Sonarrat wrote:
    >
    >> 1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-
    >> Mobile) 3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)
    >>
    >> Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    >> Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey -
    >> Michele Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)
    >>
    >> Team classificiation - US Postal
    >
    >
    > Candyass.

    In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    google.comgroups
    news.upenn.edu

    That's all total stupid [censored], and whoever believes in
    it is the ultimate gullible stupid. Proof: if you pick
    1st, 2nd and 3rd horse of a race in the right order you
    win much more than if you pick only the winner. This
    obviously means that the first kind of prono is more
    difficult and hazardous than the single pick. Andrew
    Albright can shine my car.

    But if you pick them in the wrong order you get nothing when
    there is money on the line.

    But in here, when someone picks the podium, and they're
    close but not spot on, then the whinging begins ... "but I
    was close, now wasn't I?"

    --
    Steven L. Sheffield stevens at veloworks dot com veloworks
    at worldnet dot ay tea tee dot net bellum pax est libertas
    servitus est ignoratio vis est ess ay ell tea ell ay kay ee
    sea aye tee why you ti ay aitch aitch tee tea pea colon [for
    word] slash [four ward] slash double-you double-yew double-
    ewe dot veloworks dot com [four word] slash

  18. Current odds from BetFair:

    Armstrong 1.28/1 Ullrich 2.6/1 Hamilton 7.8/1 Mayo 8/1

    "Davide Tosi" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Robert Chung said:
    Sonarrat said:

    Robert Chung wrote:

    > Sonarrat wrote:
    >
    >> 1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-
    >> Mobile) 3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)
    >>
    >> Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    >> Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey -
    >> Michele Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)
    >>
    >> Team classificiation - US Postal
    >
    >
    > Candyass.

    In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    google.comgroups
    news.upenn.edu

    That's all total stupid [censored], and whoever believes in
    it is the ultimate gullible stupid. Proof: if you pick
    1st, 2nd and 3rd horse of a race in the right order you
    win much more than if you pick only the winner. This
    obviously means that the first kind of prono is more
    difficult and hazardous than the single pick. Andrew
    Albright can shine my car.

  19. Steven L. Sheffield said:

    On 06/13/2004 07:20 AM, in article
    [email hidden], "Davide Tosi"

    Quoted message said:
    Robert Chung said:

    Sonarrat wrote:

    >Robert Chung wrote:
    >
    >
    >>Sonarrat wrote:
    >>
    >>
    >>>1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS) 2nd - Jan Ullrich (T-
    >>>Mobile) 3rd - Michael Rogers (Quick.Step-Davitamon)
    >>>
    >>>Polka dots - Erik Dekker (Rabobank) Green jersey -
    >>>Alessandro Petacchi (Fassa Bortolo) White jersey -
    >>>Michele Scarponi (Domina Vacanze)
    >>>
    >>>Team classificiation - US Postal
    >>
    >>
    >>Candyass.
    >
    >In what way? Didn't I only pick one for each position?

    google.comgroups
    news.upenn.edu

    That's all total stupid [censored], and whoever believes in
    it is the ultimate gullible stupid. Proof: if you pick
    1st, 2nd and 3rd horse of a race in the right order you
    win much more than if you pick only the winner. This
    obviously means that the first kind of prono is more
    difficult and hazardous than the single pick. Andrew
    Albright can shine my car.

    But if you pick them in the wrong order you get nothing
    when there is money on the line.

    But in here, when someone picks the podium, and they're
    close but not spot on, then the whinging begins ... "but I
    was close, now wasn't I?"

    As if there was actually anything on the line...

    I believe in any case that Iban Mayo will win. He's a
    thrilling rider who doesn't hold back all season for the
    sake of Le Grand Boucle - he just goes for it whenever he
    feels like it.

    I also look forward to being pleasantly, or even
    unpleasantly, surprised.

    -Sonarrat.

  20. Sonarrat said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    >>> Sonarrat wrote:
    >>>
    >>>> 1st - Lance Armstrong (USPS)

    Quoted message said:

    I believe in any case that Iban Mayo will win.

    Candyass.

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