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LANDIS Theory

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Road Cycling
Published
25 July 2007
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chester
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  1. This vino "thing" got me to thinking about Floyd. Vino's ride was very
    reminiscent of Landis's ride last year-in that they each truly THUMPED
    the competition. And now it comes out that Vino "may have been" blood
    doping the night before the ride.

    Well, it made me think that perhaps (probably?) Landis juiced himself up
    the night before "The Ride".

    So dig on this.

    Landis gave himself some of his own blood, the night before the
    competition. This blood was taken well in advance, obviously. At the
    time the blood was drawn, he was on testosterone for whatever-long term
    training recovery etc. Not thinking, he drew blood from himself. The
    blood had nice high levels of exo-testosterone. Viola. He tests positive
    and "has no idea" where it came from.

    It explains why it was there. The blood would have been drawn during
    training times - a time he would have used it for long term recovery.
    Otherwise there is no reason for him to have taken it during the tour.
    It also (could?) explain why he didn't test positive for it during the
    other stages he was tested.

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

  2. chester wrote:

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:


    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Except Landis got caught because of low epitestosterone, not high
    testosterone. It was the ratio, not the level. Then an isotope test
    sealed the deal.

    --
    Bill Asher

  3. William Asher said:

    chester wrote:

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Except Landis got caught because of low epitestosterone, not high
    testosterone. It was the ratio, not the level. Then an isotope test
    sealed the deal.

    dumbass,

    that scenario was already floated and it's plausible.

    of course his ratio was high because his epitestosterone was too low,
    but that is the observed effect of topping up with exogenous
    testosterone when natural production is supressed by hard training.

    if landis was topping up with T to the previously allowed 11:1 ratio
    (or during training -- both kessler and sinkewitz were nabbed with
    high T at training camps) and stashed away some blood and reinjected
    it during the tour after the ratio was dropped to 4:1 it would explain
    his comeback ride on stage 17 and the high T:E (which shouldn't have
    that effect alone).

  4. chester said:

    This vino "thing" got me to thinking about Floyd. Vino's ride was very
    reminiscent of Landis's ride last year-in that they each truly THUMPED
    the competition. And now it comes out that Vino "may have been" blood
    doping the night before the ride.

    Well, it made me think that perhaps (probably?) Landis juiced himself up
    the night before "The Ride".

    So dig on this.

    Landis gave himself some of his own blood, the night before the
    competition. This blood was taken well in advance, obviously. At the
    time the blood was drawn, he was on testosterone for whatever-long term
    training recovery etc. Not thinking, he drew blood from himself. The
    blood had nice high levels of exo-testosterone. Viola. He tests positive
    and "has no idea" where it came from.

    It explains why it was there. The blood would have been drawn during
    training times - a time he would have used it for long term recovery.
    Otherwise there is no reason for him to have taken it during the tour.
    It also (could?) explain why he didn't test positive for it during the
    other stages he was tested.

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Exactly how Ben Johnson messed up

  5. <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    William Asher said:

    chester wrote:

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Except Landis got caught because of low epitestosterone, not high
    testosterone. It was the ratio, not the level. Then an isotope test
    sealed the deal.

    that scenario was already floated and it's plausible.

    of course his ratio was high because his epitestosterone was too low,
    but that is the observed effect of topping up with exogenous
    testosterone when natural production is supressed by hard training.

    if landis was topping up with T to the previously allowed 11:1 ratio
    (or during training -- both kessler and sinkewitz were nabbed with
    high T at training camps) and stashed away some blood and reinjected
    it during the tour after the ratio was dropped to 4:1 it would explain
    his comeback ride on stage 17 and the high T:E (which shouldn't have
    that effect alone).

    Except of course that the "previous allowed" ratio was 6:1 which is natually
    occurring in athletes all the time.

    And of course Floyd's FIRST sample A test showed 4.5 and the second sample A
    test showed 11:1 demonstrating contamination beyond doubt.

  6. On Jul 24, 7:22 pm, "[email hidden]" <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:


    dumbass,

    that scenario was already floated and it's plausible.

    of course his ratio was high because his epitestosterone was too low,
    but that is the observed effect of topping up with exogenous
    testosterone when natural production is supressed by hard training.

    if landis was topping up with T to the previously allowed 11:1 ratio
    (or during training -- both kessler and sinkewitz were nabbed with
    high T at training camps) and stashed away some blood and reinjected
    it during the tour after the ratio was dropped to 4:1 it would explain
    his comeback ride on stage 17 and the high T:E (which shouldn't have
    that effect alone).

    Dumbass,

    We already went over this theory and it seems implausible
    because he'd either have to fill up with a very large
    volume of blood, or the blood he was topping up with
    would have to have a ridiculously high testosterone
    concentration. For ex, to triple his T level he'd
    have to take on 10% of blood volume with 20x the usual
    level, both of which seem excessive even for an ex-MTBer.

    http://groups.google.com/group/rec.bicycles.racing/msg/b0943decd1b05549

    Ben
    Dilute! Dilute! OK!

  7. On Jul 25, 5:13 am, "[email hidden]" <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    Dumbass,

    We already went over this theory and it seems implausible
    because he'd either have to fill up with a very large
    volume of blood, or the blood he was topping up with
    would have to have a ridiculously high testosterone
    concentration. For ex, to triple his T level he'd
    have to take on 10% of blood volume with 20x the usual
    level, both of which seem excessive even for an ex-MTBer.

    http://groups.google.com/group/rec.bicycles.racing/msg/b0943decd1b05549

    Ben
    Dilute! Dilute! OK!

    I don't think it's as simple as that. If the testosterone was
    introduced via a blood transfusion, then the recipient's body is going
    to try to get rid of all of it as quickly as possible. They test the
    concentration of T and E metabolites in the urine, not the circulating
    levels in the body.

    Jeff

  8. Jeff Jones said:

    I don't think it's as simple as that. If the testosterone was
    introduced via a blood transfusion, then the recipient's body is going
    to try to get rid of all of it as quickly as possible. They test the
    concentration of T and E metabolites in the urine, not the circulating
    levels in the body.

    How would that affect the T/E ratio given the constraint that T wasn't
    elevated?

  9. One fundamental thing that we are overlooking is that when you have a
    very bad day, you are actually expending a lot less energy than
    everyone else in the tour. The next day you are going to have a ton
    more energy than eveyone else. It actually makes sense to have a very
    bad day so you can be rested to have an extraordinary day and maybe
    win the race. For example, on a monday you might feel really crappy
    and not get anything accomplished. That depressed day is actually a
    way of saving energy. at least that is how i am. of course, landis is
    a doper. these are guys who are super desperate to win at all cost. b-
    type personalities need not apply.

  10. Quoted message said:
    Jeff Jones said:

    I don't think it's as simple as that. If the testosterone was
    introduced via a blood transfusion, then the recipient's body is going
    to try to get rid of all of it as quickly as possible. They test the
    concentration of T and E metabolites in the urine, not the circulating
    levels in the body.

    How would that affect the T/E ratio given the constraint that T wasn't
    elevated?

    T might have been elevated from a much lower level.

    All speculation, of course.

    Jeff

  11. Quoted message said:

    One fundamental thing that we are overlooking is that when you have a
    very bad day, you are actually expending a lot less energy than
    everyone else in the tour. The next day you are going to have a ton
    more energy than eveyone else. It actually makes sense to have a very
    bad day so you can be rested to have an extraordinary day and maybe
    win the race. For example, on a monday you might feel really crappy
    and not get anything accomplished. That depressed day is actually a
    way of saving energy. at least that is how i am. of course, landis is
    a doper. these are guys who are super desperate to win at all cost. b-
    type personalities need not apply.

    Bipolar racing...?

    R

  12. Jeff Jones said:
    Quoted message said:
    Jeff Jones said:

    I don't think it's as simple as that. If the testosterone was
    introduced via a blood transfusion, then the recipient's body is going
    to try to get rid of all of it as quickly as possible. They test the
    concentration of T and E metabolites in the urine, not the circulating
    levels in the body.

    How would that affect the T/E ratio given the constraint that T wasn't
    elevated?

    T might have been elevated from a much lower level.

    All speculation, of course.

    It is, of course. Still, Low E and wildly inconsistent results seems like the
    exact thing one would expect from a soured sample. I don't know how they get
    around that one.

    Ron

  13. in message <[email hidden]>,

    (' ') said:

    One fundamental thing that we are overlooking is that when you have a
    very bad day, you are actually expending a lot less energy than
    everyone else in the tour.

    Not convinced of this - from my own experience - at all. Once you get
    dropped out of the pack and are working on your own, you have to work
    harder. Further more if you lose a chunk of time early in the stage and
    are then left out on your own struggling to escape Hors Delai, you may
    actually have to ride as hard as the leaders without any of the help. Mind
    you, if you are in (or can get into) the autobus, you'll have riders
    around you to share the work and then you may have a relatively easy time.

    But I don't recall Vino being in the autobus on his bad day (although he
    did have a couple of domestiques with him). Landis spent his bad day in
    the peloton, of course, so your theory could be valid there.

    Simon - never has extraordinary days. Well, not that kind.

    --
    [email hidden] (Simon Brooke) http://www.jasmine.org.uk/~simon/
    ;; Generally Not Used
    ;; Except by Middle Aged Computer Scientists

  14. On 24/7/07 8:33 PM, in article
    [email hidden], "[email hidden]"

    Quoted message said:
    chester said:

    This vino "thing" got me to thinking about Floyd. Vino's ride was very
    reminiscent of Landis's ride last year-in that they each truly THUMPED
    the competition. And now it comes out that Vino "may have been" blood
    doping the night before the ride.

    Well, it made me think that perhaps (probably?) Landis juiced himself up
    the night before "The Ride".

    So dig on this.

    Landis gave himself some of his own blood, the night before the
    competition. This blood was taken well in advance, obviously. At the
    time the blood was drawn, he was on testosterone for whatever-long term
    training recovery etc. Not thinking, he drew blood from himself. The
    blood had nice high levels of exo-testosterone. Viola. He tests positive
    and "has no idea" where it came from.

    It explains why it was there. The blood would have been drawn during
    training times - a time he would have used it for long term recovery.
    Otherwise there is no reason for him to have taken it during the tour.
    It also (could?) explain why he didn't test positive for it during the
    other stages he was tested.

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Exactly how Ben Johnson messed up

    Why would someone running a race of less than 10 sec blood dope?

  15. Jeff Jones said:

    On Jul 25, 5:13 am, "[email hidden]" <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    Dumbass,

    Quoted message said:

    We already went over this theory and it seems implausible
    because he'd either have to fill up with a very large
    volume of blood, or the blood he was topping up with
    would have to have a ridiculously high testosterone
    concentration. For ex, to triple his T level he'd
    have to take on 10% of blood volume with 20x the usual
    level, both of which seem excessive even for an ex-MTBer.

    Quoted message said:

    http://groups.google.com/group/rec.bicycles.racing/msg/b0943decd1b05549

    Quoted message said:

    Ben
    Dilute! Dilute! OK!

    I don't think it's as simple as that. If the testosterone was
    introduced via a blood transfusion, then the recipient's body is going
    to try to get rid of all of it as quickly as possible. They test the
    concentration of T and E metabolites in the urine, not the circulating
    levels in the body.

    It is possible that I have my head up my ass (Well,
    on this subject; it's surely true on _something_).
    I don't know how quickly the introduced testosterone
    would be metabolized and excreted - it's on the scale
    of a day or two, right? But would the excess T be
    metabolized quickly just because it was over Floyd's
    current levels, or would it have to be actually
    unusually high?

    That is, it's hard to make a prediction
    without knowing what controls the response -
    whether the body is trying to maintain its previous
    equilibrium, or just keep hormone levels within some
    normal range. I would naively expect that the rates
    of metabolizing T and E would be proportional to their
    concentrations, thus if T suddenly doubled and E was
    unaffected, the rate of T-metabolite production would
    double. This would rapidly use up the introduced T,
    but it's still difficult to see how to triple the rate.

    Ben

  16. Sticky Wicket said:

    On 24/7/07 8:33 PM, in article
    [email hidden], "[email hidden]"

    Quoted message said:
    chester said:

    This vino "thing" got me to thinking about Floyd. Vino's ride was very
    reminiscent of Landis's ride last year-in that they each truly THUMPED
    the competition. And now it comes out that Vino "may have been" blood
    doping the night before the ride.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Well, it made me think that perhaps (probably?) Landis juiced himself up
    the night before "The Ride".

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    So dig on this.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Landis gave himself some of his own blood, the night before the
    competition. This blood was taken well in advance, obviously. At the
    time the blood was drawn, he was on testosterone for whatever-long term
    training recovery etc. Not thinking, he drew blood from himself. The
    blood had nice high levels of exo-testosterone. Viola. He tests positive
    and "has no idea" where it came from.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    It explains why it was there. The blood would have been drawn during
    training times - a time he would have used it for long term recovery.
    Otherwise there is no reason for him to have taken it during the tour.
    It also (could?) explain why he didn't test positive for it during the
    other stages he was tested.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    I don't know the biology of the processing - if this is even possible,
    but it sure makes a lot of sense to me.

    Quoted message said:

    Exactly how Ben Johnson messed up

    Why would someone running a race of less than 10 sec blood dope?- Hide quoted text -

    - Show quoted text -

    There is still a benefit. But I agree it does seem strange. It is his
    explanation

  17. <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    http://groups.google.com/group/rec.bicycles.racing/msg/b0943decd1b05549

    Ben
    Dilute! Dilute! OK!

    Dr Bronner? Is that you?

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