[email hidden] (Mr. Toast) wrote in message
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Quoted message said:Ryan Cousineau <[email hidden]> wrote in message
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Quoted message said:In article <[email hidden]>, TimBenz <[email hidden]>
Quoted message said:"Stephen Ferguson" <[email hidden]> wrote in
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> I'm sure Indurain always promised to ride a final Vuelta before he retired, but I don't
> think he ever did....
They _all_ promise to do it, but few do. Indurain, like many others, said he would ride some
classics, and he didn't. It is understandable. What people forget is that cycling is such a
morale-centric sport that when the morale goes -- usually through a major lache in a Grand
Tour, a la Indurain at La Plagne in 1996 -- the will to race goes with it.
Morale, maximal aerobic output, it's so hard to tell the one from the other.
I daresay that cycling has much more to do with aerobic power output and recovery ability on the
bike than it does morale, and that indeed it is the failure of the former that inevitably
betrays GC riders like Indurain.
Sports are 90% mental. Why do you think Lance keeps beating Ullrich? Ullrich has the talent to
beat Lance if he were to grind through his offseasons the way Lance does.
One doesn't get the sense that Ullrich truly "suffered" at any point in the TDF. He seemed to feel
fine after taking 96 seconds from LA in the 1st ITTon stage 12. Mybe if he had pushed himself
harder, he could have gotten another minute, and took the Yellow Jersey. Sure, he would have felt
completely drained, but....
And on the next stage, JU could hardly be bothered to gain time against Armstrong; he just lay low
and nibbled a few seconds at the end. Stage 13 was the time for the big attack. Instead, he waits
until Monday's Luz Ardiden stage, until LA has mostly recovered, and THEN chooses to launch a
premature attack. Had he made that move in the 1st stage of the Pyrenees, I don't think Armstrong
could have kept up. He probably would have gotten major time from LA.
Now, combine Ullrich's talent with Vinokourov's well deserved Coeur de Leon riding aggression,
and you have somebody who will beat Lance.
Since it is more likely that Vinokourov will improve his physical conditioning for next years
TDF, than it is for Ullrich to become more courageous, I think that Vino must be considered to
be the main threat to Lance's winning of a record 6th title.