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Why SMIDSYs happen

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UK and Europe
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23 October 2005
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30 October 2005
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Tony Raven
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  1. A fascinating review by a cycling psychologist into why SMIDSY's happen.
    Lots of good stuff to reflect on and learn from.

    http://staff.bath.ac.uk/pssiw/cognitive/WalkerVulnerableReview.pdf

    "In accidents where a VRU is struck by a vehicle, the literature
    suggests that many incidents occur because drivers expect only to
    interact with other automobiles and so attend to their surroundings in
    such a way that VRUs are overlooked. This is perhaps most dramatically
    seen in the looked-but-failed-to-see phenomenon, where drivers do not
    expect to encounter VRUs and so do not become aware of VRUs even though
    they look at them"

    There is a fascinating piece on pedestrian fault fatalities:

    "Fontaine and Gourlet (1997) found that in many pedestrian-initiated
    accidents (28% overall, rising to 41% in people aged between 16 and 44),
    the pedestrian had recently left a vehicle or was planning shortly to
    get into one. In particular, the authors refer to many police reports of
    heavy goods vehicle drivers who were killed soon after leaving their
    trucks. The drivers in all these accidents were apparently walking
    around in the mindset of a motorist, and so continued to act as if they
    were protected from other traffic"

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  2. I wonder how this research accounts for the even more common 'Fu*ck it
    it's only a cyclist, I am pulling out anyway' phenomena?

    I feel that phrases such as 'drivers expect only to interact with other
    automobiles and so attend to their surroundings in such a way that VRUs
    are overlooked' is just another way of saying that 'drivers don't
    bother to look out for cyclists.

    Unfortunately such 'scientific' statements are all too often taken as
    excusing drivers for 'seeing' cyclists, when in reality they are
    simply pointing out the fact that many motorists don't bother taking
    proper observations!

    This 'failed to see' nonsense is, for the most part, hogwash cooked up
    by the motoring lobby to excuse driving without due care and worse. For
    one thing if the 'findings' were robust drivers would never or rarely
    see cyclists and other VRU's, but for the most part they do. This
    indicates that it is the failings of individual drivers which is the
    real cause of the problem.

    Most cyclists will have experienced the deliberate pull out (Which can
    sometimes be distinguished from a genuine case of driving without due
    care by the motorists raised middle index finger as he drives away) and
    I am convinced that in many cases the driver sees the cyclist perfectly
    well but simply assumes that all cyclists travel at 4 mph.

    If this research has some validity surely it also suggests that 'high
    visibility' clothing is pretty pointless if the driver is not looking
    for VRU's full stop. If they take a proper observation they will see
    them anyway.. If they are only looking for vehicles what the cyclist
    wears is immaterial.

    I do recall reading a report which pointed out that the 'high
    visibility' jacket is so common that it hardly registers anymore and
    certainly does not signal 'cyclist ahead' to drivers. This is important
    because it is unambiguous signals- such as the flashing red light of a
    LED rear light- which are most effective in ensuring that drivers adapt
    their behaviour appropriately.

    I discussed this issue with a community officer at York rally last
    year. He said that when riding to work in a bright yellow jacket he was
    frequently cut up by drivers who 'failed to see' him. However, when on
    duty wearing a similar top (only with 'Police' written on it) he seemed
    to be spotted by drivers from miles away. Again this suggests that
    drivers really do see cyclists perfectly well, but fail to act
    appropriately unless they see that the cyclist is also a police
    officer...


  3. Quoted message said:

    A fascinating review by a cycling psychologist into why SMIDSY's happen.
    Lots of good stuff to reflect on and learn from.

    http://staff.bath.ac.uk/pssiw/cognitive/WalkerVulnerableReview.pdf

    For some reason the document crashes my browser so at the risk of
    repeating information contained in the pdf:

    There has also been two articles published in Bike magazine which attempt to
    explain two types of SMIDSY, one through a physical impediment and one
    through a perceptual impediment.

    The physical impediment arises from the ever increasing width of the
    pillars,
    front and rear of many cars which increases the size of the blind spots in
    the field of view of the motorist especially on roundabouts. It then
    explains
    how this can be negated by the driver altering his/her head position and
    how motorcyclists can alter their road positioning to bring themselves into
    view.

    The second article was a fascinating insight into the psychology of vision.
    Paraphrased, it suggests that a vehicle on a main road approaching another
    waiting to pull out onto the main road occupies a cone of vison. If the
    size
    and speed of the vehicle is such that the geometry of the rate of image size
    increase on the retina falls between a specific range of values, the car, or
    any
    other appraoching vehicle does not register on the conciousness until it
    'materialises' suddenly just before an impact or a very near miss. I was
    quite
    sceptical about this theory until it happened to me, thankfully a near miss.
    I couldn't believe that a car could appear out of nowhere but on this one
    occasion, one did.

  4. I wonder how this research accounts for the even more common 'Fu*ck it
    it's only a cyclist, I am pulling out anyway' phenomena?

    I feel that phrases such as 'drivers expect only to interact with other
    automobiles and so attend to their surroundings in such a way that
    VRUs are overlooked' is just another way of saying that 'drivers often
    don't bother to look out for cyclists'. Unfortunately such 'scientific'
    statements are all too often taken as excusing drivers for 'not
    seeing' cyclists, when in reality they are simply pointing out the fact
    that many motorists don't bother taking proper observations!

    This 'failed to see' stuff is, for the most part, hogwash cooked up by
    the motoring lobby to excuse driving without due care and worse. For
    one thing if the 'findings' were robust drivers would never or rarely
    see cyclists and other VRU's, but for the most part they do. This
    indicates that it is the failings of individual drivers which is the
    real cause of the problem.

    We also have to look at where 'failed to see' incidents occur. The most
    common place is on roundabouts simply becase roundabouts encourage
    drivers to continue straight ahead without having to stop or slow down.
    If the 'failed to see' phenomena was not in reality a reflection of
    other factors, such as the motorist's desire not to slow down if at all
    possible, 'failed to see' collisions would not be 'clustered' in such
    locations.

    Most cyclists will have experienced the deliberate pull-out (Which can
    sometimes be distinguished from a genuine case of driving without due
    care by the motorists raised middle index finger as he drives away) and
    I am convinced that in many cases the driver sees the cyclist perfectly
    well but simply assumes that all cyclists travel at 4 mph.

    If this research has some validity surely it suggests that 'high
    visibility' clothing is pretty pointless if the driver is not looking
    for VRU's full stop. If they take a proper observation they will see
    them anyway.. If they are only looking for vehicles what the cyclist
    wears is immaterial.

    I do recall reading a report which pointed out that the 'high
    visibility' jacket is so common nowadays that it hardly registers
    anymore and certainly does not signal 'cyclist ahead' to drivers. This
    is important because it is unambiguous signals- such as the flashing
    red light of a LED rear light- which are most effective in ensuring
    that drivers adapt their behaviour appropriately.

    I discussed this issue with a community officer at York rally last
    year. He said that when riding to work in a bright yellow jacket he was
    frequently cut up by drivers who 'failed to see' him. However, when on
    duty wearing a similar top (only with 'Police' written on it) he
    seemed to be spotted by drivers from miles away. Again this suggests
    that drivers really do see cyclists perfectly well, but fail to act
    appropriately unless they see that the cyclist is also obviously a
    police officer...

  5. Quoted message said:

    I wonder how this research accounts for the even more common 'Fu*ck it
    it's only a cyclist, I am pulling out anyway' phenomena?

    Perhaps if you read the report I linked to it would answer many of your
    questions.

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  6. vernon levy said:


    There has also been two articles published in Bike magazine which attempt to
    explain two types of SMIDSY, one through a physical impediment and one
    through a perceptual impediment.

    Yes, written by Paul 'blame it on a dead person if you are caught
    speeding' Smith...

    I did 'discuss' his 'SMIDSY' stuff with P*** S**** once. His solution
    was not to educate drivers to take proper observations (remember the
    old 'Think once, think twice think bike! adverts) but for cyclists to
    go so slowly that when drivers did pull out without taking a proper
    observation they could stop in time. Of course the one thing guaranteed
    to encourage a pull-out is if the driver thinks the cyclists is
    travelling slowly!

    I also note that in the ABD press release concerning Smith's SMIDSYS'
    'research' no mention at all was made of the risk this behaviour poses
    to cyclists...

  7. P.s someone is sure to bring up that old chestnut about the research
    which found that people didn't quickly spot gorilla's hidden in
    pictures of everyday scenes. The whole point of this is that you would
    never expect to see a gorilla in the street. However cyclists and
    pedestrians are very common features and may perfectly well be expected
    to be encountered! Hence there is no parallel between the two
    situations.

  8. Tony Raven mentioned:

    Quoted message said:

    A fascinating review by a cycling psychologist into why SMIDSY's happen.
    Lots of good stuff to reflect on and learn from.

    I thought the name Ian Walker was familiar. He used to be a regular
    here - according to Google, he last posted on 05/11/04.

    --
    Danny Colyer (my reply address is valid but checked infrequently)
    <URL:http://www.colyer.plus.com/danny/>
    Subscribe to PlusNet <URL:http://www.colyer.plus.com/referral/>
    "He who dares not offend cannot be honest." - Thomas Paine

  9. Tony Raven said:


    Perhaps if you read the report I linked to it would answer many of your
    questions.

    I have just started reading this and it looks like a typically poor
    piece of psychological research (And I speak as someone with a
    first-class honours degree in the subject). Straight off the paper
    states:

    The scope of the review will encompass all psychological topics which
    are unique to the issue of VRUs. These criteria mean the exclusion of
    several factors which undoubtedly affect VRU safety - excessive
    speed, alcohol, and aggression are three that come immediately to mind
    (see also Rothengatter, 1997). However, factors like these are either
    not psychological or they affect all road users, and so are not
    considered here.

    I.e. in many cases where the driver claimed that he/she 'didn't see'
    the VRU other factors are quite possibly the real cause of the crash,
    such as aggressive driving (and perhaps any of the other factors I
    mentioned at above). However, even if 95% of 'failed to see' incidents
    are due to these other factors, as I am a psychologist I will
    concentrate on the perceptual issues which in all possibility are very
    peripheral to the real issues involved...

  10. vernon levy said:
    Quoted message said:

    A fascinating review by a cycling psychologist into why SMIDSY's happen.
    Lots of good stuff to reflect on and learn from.

    http://staff.bath.ac.uk/pssiw/cognitive/WalkerVulnerableReview.pdf

    For some reason the document crashes my browser so at the risk of
    repeating information contained in the pdf:

    There has also been two articles published in Bike magazine which attempt to
    explain two types of SMIDSY, one through a physical impediment and one
    through a perceptual impediment.

    Funny, checked and it opens fine in my Firefox browser. But it suggests
    a third very different reason to the two in Bike.

    "The main identified cause of collisions to bicyclists is a process
    described in the context of general driver psychology by Hills (1980)
    and Moray (1990), and more recently in the specific case of bicycling by
    Räsänen and Summala (1998). People have a highly limited ability to
    receive visual information, being able to fixate on fewer than three
    points per second at the very maximum (Moray, 1990). To compensate for
    this, after more than a few hours’ experience of a complex task like
    driving they develop mental models of what goes on in their
    surroundings. These mental models – expectations, in other words – guide
    attention to the areas of the surrounding scene most likely to be
    important. Because a typical driver’s encounters are predominantly with
    motor vehicles, their expectation will usually be that only other
    automobiles will be present at a junction. This expectation guides their
    attention to motor vehicles and parts of the road where these might be
    found and away from cyclists and areas where these tend to be.
    <snip>
    The expectation-attention process is seen even more dramatically in the
    ‘looked-but-failed-to-see phenomenon’ (Hills, 1980), whereby even a
    driver looking in the right direction to see a cyclist might not become
    consciously aware that the cyclist is there. This most commonly happens
    with more experienced drivers (Herslund & Jørgensen, 2003), precisely
    because these are more likely to have habitual search patterns which
    focus attention in very narrow regions of the visual scene likely to
    contain motor traffic; regions of space likely to contain cyclists
    (e.g., the edge of the road) receive less attention (Herslund &
    Jørgensen, 2003; Hills, 1980; Moray, 1990; see also Joshi, Senior, &
    Smith, 2001; Mannering & Grodsky, 1995)."

    He goes on to link this to the studies we all know showing cycling to be
    safer the more people cycle, because cyclists get built into the
    expectations model, cyclist road positioning and also to some
    interesting observations and research (on turning right onto crossing
    pedestrians) to back it up:

    "Houten et al. (2000) tested a system where the pedestrians were given a
    3-second head-start before cars were given a green light. This greatly
    reduced the number of conflicts between pedestrians and motorists.
    Presumably, given the expectation–attention model we have discussed, the
    system worked because by the time motorists rounded the corner, the
    pedestrians were in the middle of the road, where drivers focus their
    attention. This is similar to the bicycle safety advice mentioned above,
    which similarly identified being in the middle of the carriageway as safer."

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  11. Quoted message said:
    Tony Raven said:

    Perhaps if you read the report I linked to it would answer many of your
    questions.

    I have just started reading this and it looks like a typically poor
    piece of psychological research (And I speak as someone with a
    first-class honours degree in the subject). Straight off the paper
    states:

    Its nice to know your first class honours degree ensures you avoid
    jumping to conclusions before you've even read the report and avoid
    jumping to further conclusions before you've read more than the opening
    paragraphs. Otherwise it would've been a typically poor piece of
    research reviewing ;-)

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  12. Quoted message said:

    If this research has some validity surely it also suggests that 'high
    visibility' clothing is pretty pointless if the driver is not looking
    for VRU's full stop. If they take a proper observation they will see
    them anyway.. If they are only looking for vehicles what the cyclist
    wears is immaterial.

    A cycle is a vehicle, or perhaps you think otherwise.

    Anyway, this rant reminds me of an incident many years ago when I was a
    passenger in a friend's car. This particular friend is the most
    careful, courteous, considerate and observant driver that I have ever
    met. It was late at night (probably around chucking out time, though he
    certainly wouldn't have been drinking) and he was pulling out from a row
    of parked cars at the side of the road (these were parking spaces just
    off the edge of the road, rather than actual on-road parking, which will
    become marginally relevant in a moment).

    He had checked the mirror, checked over his shoulder, checked ahead,
    signalled to pull out and was checking over his shoulder again as he
    started to pull out. And slammed the brakes on just in time to avoid a
    darkly clad, unlit, gutter riding POB, who made an abusive gesture.

    The point being that even if a motorist makes a proper observation, it
    can be very difficult to see someone who rides like an idiot.

    --
    Danny Colyer (my reply address is valid but checked infrequently)
    <URL:http://www.colyer.plus.com/danny/>
    Subscribe to PlusNet <URL:http://www.colyer.plus.com/referral/>
    "He who dares not offend cannot be honest." - Thomas Paine

  13. This is a very badly written paper.

    To quote: 'The main identified cause of collisions to bicyclists is a
    process described in the context of general driver psychology blah blah
    blah'

    No, no, NO, on the third page the writer has said that many other
    significant factors have been ignored because they are not
    'psychological'. Given this it is TOTALLY wrong to say that 'The main
    identified causes of collisions to bicyclists' . ' The main
    cognitive/perceptual causes maybe but these 'causes' may well be of
    minor importance in the overall scheme of things.

    Also with all research such as this we need to consider very carefully
    the ecological validity of the experimental set up. What a psychologist
    'finds' is as often as not NOT a real phenomena but simply an artifact
    or 'demand characteristic' created by the experimental set up!

  14. Danny Colyer said:
    Quoted message said:

    If this research has some validity surely it also suggests that 'high
    visibility' clothing is pretty pointless if the driver is not looking
    for VRU's full stop. If they take a proper observation they will see
    them anyway.. If they are only looking for vehicles what the cyclist
    wears is immaterial.

    A cycle is a vehicle, or perhaps you think otherwise.

    ukrc was lax in his language; the study talks of motor vehicles.

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  15. Danny Colyer said:


    He had checked the mirror, checked over his shoulder, checked ahead,
    signalled to pull out and was checking over his shoulder again as he
    started to pull out. And slammed the brakes on just in time to avoid a
    darkly clad, unlit, gutter riding POB, who made an abusive gesture.

    The point being that even if a motorist makes a proper observation, it
    can be very difficult to see someone who rides like an idiot.

    Surely the point of your story is that if drivers do take proper
    observations they will see even unlit cyclists clad in black, riding in
    the least visible part of the road on a dark night. Your friend took
    proper observations and was driving with proper awareness of the road
    environment. As a result they saw the cyclist in time to avoid a
    collision. QED.

    Seeing unlit cyclists dressed in black might require a little more
    vigilance but it is not an impossible task, as your friend proved. If
    motorists drive within the limits of their headlights - as they are
    supposed to- rear lights should be fairly redundant. However, I do
    agree that front lights do make a cyclist much more visible amongst all
    the light pollution and shadows on a typical street. That said 'unlit'
    cyclists are fairly common hazard so it does not seem unreasonable to
    expect drivers to take especial care to look out for them.

    Which reminds me. Why do drivers moan about not being able to 'see'
    unlit cyclists at night? If they 'can't see' them do they detect their
    presence by radar? And why does fitting a couple of hundred quids worth
    of high-power lighting to ones bike seem to make you invisible? I once
    had a driver cut me up who when challenged claimed he did it because my
    lights had 'confused' him! What did he think might be going down the
    road with a bright head light? An alien spacecraft?

  16. Tony Raven said:


    ukrc was lax in his language; the study talks of motor vehicles.

    --

    Quite right Tony, I should have distinguished between 'motor vehicles'
    and 'pedal propelled vehicles or bicycles'.

    I think Danny just doesn't want to take on board the main thrust of my
    arguments and so is attempting 'diversionary tactics' by resorting to
    linguistic pedantry.

  17. Quoted message said:

    This is a very badly written paper.

    To quote: 'The main identified cause of collisions to bicyclists is a
    process described in the context of general driver psychology blah
    blah blah'

    That quote comes far into the paper where its context has been clearly
    set. You are attempting to take it out of context which is a bit pot
    and kettle given your comment above.

    Quoted message said:


    No, no, NO, on the third page the writer has said that many other
    significant factors have been ignored because they are not
    'psychological'. Given this it is TOTALLY wrong to say that 'The main
    identified causes of collisions to bicyclists' . ' The main
    cognitive/perceptual causes maybe but these 'causes' may well be of
    minor importance in the overall scheme of things.

    No,no,NO. Before any of that he clearly states "The scope of
    the review will encompass all PSYCHOLOGICAL topics which are UNIQUE TO
    THE ISSUE OF VRUs." (his emphasis) He then specifically says he is
    excluding as a result alcohol, speed and aggression as factors which
    affect all road users, just as at junctions he looks not at the fact
    there are accidents at junction but why there is an excess of VRU
    collisions over collisions with other motor vehicles.

    Quoted message said:


    Also with all research such as this we need to consider very
    carefully the ecological validity of the experimental set up. What a
    psychologist 'finds' is as often as not NOT a real phenomena but
    simply an artifact or 'demand characteristic' created by the
    experimental set up!

    This is not an experimental paper - its a review of the literature in
    case you hadn't noticed. I guess that after your first degree you
    didn't go on to get trained in the method of research aka a PGR degree.

    --
    Tony

    "I did make a mistake once - I thought I'd made a mistake but I hadn't"
    Anon

  18. Quoted message said:


    I think Danny just doesn't want to take on board the main thrust of my
    arguments and so is attempting 'diversionary tactics' by resorting to
    linguistic pedantry.

    Damn those irregular verbs:

    I am accurate
    You are picky
    Danny resorts to linguistic pedantry.

    regards, Ian SMith
    --
    |\ /| no .sig
    |o o|
    |/ \|

  19. Quoted message said:

    That said 'unlit'
    cyclists are fairly common hazard so it does not seem unreasonable to
    expect drivers to take especial care to look out for them.

    So you're even saying it's the drivers responsibility to avoid
    accidents with illegally acting cyclists, if so, why is it not the
    cyclists responsibility to avoid accidents with illegally driven cars?

    Quoted message said:

    Which reminds me. Why do drivers moan about not being able to 'see'
    unlit cyclists at night? If they 'can't see' them do they detect their
    presence by radar?

    The point is they are not seen as far ahead so proper sensible
    procedures can be taken, they are often visible enough that they can
    be avoided by an emergency stop or similar, but that is already enough
    be seriously concerned, an emergency stop is never entirely safe - you
    generally haven't had a chance to check your mirrors immediately
    before doing it for example.

    Even if you see them early enough so as to avoid an emergency
    situation they still require too much attention to be seen properly
    and sensibly pass, this means that you have devote too much attention
    to them, missing other potential dangers on the road.

    Quoted message said:

    What did he think might be going down the
    road with a bright head light? An alien spacecraft?

    You seem to get into an awful lot of these situations, you're not
    related to the old mother in law who'd been driving for 40 years and
    never had an accident are you?

    Jim.

  20. Tony Raven said:


    Its nice to know your first class honours degree ensures you avoid
    jumping to conclusions before you've even read the report and avoid
    jumping to further conclusions before you've read more than the opening
    paragraphs. Otherwise it would've been a typically poor piece of
    research reviewing ;-)

    But the point is that what he states in the first couple of pages means
    that it is impossible to claim that the 'research' truly tells us about
    actually how important the perceptual phenomena are and even less that
    the paper tells us anything about 'The main identified cause of
    collisions to bicyclists'!

    Yes, the 'psychological' factors might be real, or they might just
    reflect the demand characteristics of his study but we cannot conclude
    that whatever his study shows or doesn't show is of much relevance if
    we are trying to understand why so many motorists claim that they
    'didn't see' a cyclist or other VRU. He mentions that driver aggression
    and so on also are important, but ignores the importance of such
    factors. I could go though the report page by page but however good or
    bad the report is doesn't mean that these primary failings are any less
    significant.

    Almost 80% of drivers who hit cyclists claim that they 'didn't see'
    them even though 90% of crashes occur in perfectly good daylight
    conditions and often involve cyclists who were wearing 'high
    visibility' clothing and so on. When a driver claims that they 'didn't
    see' a cyclist this is nothing but an unreliable self-report. Drivers
    know that if they claim this they may get away with a fine or even no
    penalty even if they have killed or injured someone whilst if they were
    honest and said 'It was just a cyclist so I pulled out anyway as I
    assumed they would be able to stop' or some such they would possibly
    get less sympathy in court.

    Research such as this takes the almost certainly biased self-reporting
    of drivers and then acts as though this supposed widespread inability
    to 'see' cyclists is a genuine phenomena! Taking these claims at face
    value in itself might be seen by some as adding validity to the claims.
    This error is then compounded by finding some minor
    perceptual/cognitive trait and claiming that this further validates the
    original claims, even though other far more important factors have been
    deliberately ignored.

    How people act in an experimental situation cannot readily be
    generalised to the 'real world' especially when the experimental
    design becomes more and more divorced from real life. I have read some
    'conspicuity' research which had high levels of ecological validity and
    this supports the view that drivers are perfectly able to see objects
    much less conspicuous that a 6 foot by 2 foot cyclist in normal
    lighting conditions. One primary conclusion of such research is that it
    is necessary to make the rewards of 'seeing' a target (or the
    punishments for not doing so) significant. This is why cycling
    policemen are, apparently, much easier to 'see' that cyclists who do
    not have the word 'Police' across their backs. If it was made clear
    that drivers would always be held to account for failing to 'see' a
    cyclist you can guarantee that the number of 'failed to see' reports
    would fall.

    The bottom line is that 'research' such as this is often undertaken by
    persons with some sympathy with the hypothesis that 'drivers can't see
    cyclists' and who are looking to 'prove' what they already believe. At
    times this belief is not even conscious with the researcher
    uncritically accepting that the 'drivers cant 'see' cyclists'
    hypothesis must have some validity, after all that is what drivers who
    run down cyclists say.... Those who defend such research are very often
    simply the car-centric seeking to excuse the behaviour of drivers.

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