wolfix said:Trek was very strong before Armstrong......The money in cycling is not in the high end stuff, it is the recreational market where the money is made.
Since the demise of Schwinn, Trek has taken over being the #1 name in America. They have a strong distribution network, backed by a bicycle in every dollor market.
What is defined as the "recreational market?"
Not knowing much about the bicycle industry, it would seem to me that the low end market is made up of companies like Pacific, which now owns Schwinn, and sold via super markets like Walmart. It's cheap, low, low quality stuff, and although the total revenue from that section of the market may be considerable, I can't see there woud be much of a profit margin for anyone other than Walmart itself. The Walmartization of that end of the market seems to have destroyed a lot of bike shops that used to rely on low end sales, which makes me suspect there is little money to be made there.
The high end market may be small, but there are a surprising number of people who get into the sport by buying a five thousand dollar bike before they even know whether they like riding or not. The bigger bike companies are selling way overpriced bikes with frames made in China (Last I checked minimum wage per month in Beijing is $102. It falls to $34 in poorer provinces) to the clueless that cost more than my current ride's frame, which was hand made out of titanium in Colorado by people paid a livable wage in the U.S. Someone is macking it hard in this end of the market. Adding to my suspician is that the bike shops that stay in business seem to cater to the high end.
That leaves the middle of the market, perhaps with prices in the $800 to $2000. Competition via price may be fierce in this section. Maybe there is a lot of money here because there seems to be a lot of "fake" bicycle companies that take Asian made frames, sometimes generic ones, and slap their own graphics on them and sell into this price range; literally the only thing of value these companies seem to add is a cool name. Downside is that many, maybe most, introductory riders will not stay with the sport long and will not end up purchasing many accessories.
Talking about assessories, especially soft goods but it also applies to selling two dollars of styrofoam, plastic, and nylon (helmets) for $200, this is where I suspect the real money is to be made; and it would mostly be made at the highish end of the market. I would not be surprised that in the right location you could do well by opening a bike shop that did not sell bikes at all and instead sold mostly clothing and other assessories.