robkit said:I just finished a year of "base training", very little high end work, after no cycling for 8 yrs. My number was 76 so what level could i hope to seeby next year, given a regime of VO2max intervals through the winter? I will probably do another test in April.
IANAEP*, but my understanding is that 76 is an unusually high VO2 max number, even for an elite-level trained athlete. You probably have a formidable genetic gift. My understanding concerning VO2max is as follows:
1. Absolute VO2max plateaus very quickly (with a few months of hard training) at a genetically set maximum.
2. Improvements to absolute VO2max can range from 10-25%. This is usually an "improvement" relative to an untrained state. I.e., you've already climbed partway up that curve. Also, the bigger responders (those who might make 25% improvements) tend to be those who started out at the low end of normal. So, life's tough when it comes to absolute VO2max; choose your parents well.
3. You can still improve your relative VO2max (absolute VO2max divided by bodyweight) by reducing body mass. I don't know how light you are to have your current relative VO2max. If you're still carrying around some extra fat (and who isn't, really?), this could be a worthwhile avenue to explore.
As to your question about the relative importance of VO2max vs. "threshold" (functional, anaerobic, lactate, etc.), consider that threshold is much more trainable than VO2max. I.e., most riders are able to improve their thresholds for several years of focused training. Also, VO2max is less sport-specific than threshold; a great VO2max from running is still somewhat applicable to cycling, since most VO2max adaptations are central (i.e., heart, blood, etc.), whereas "threshold" adaptation happen out in the sport-specific muscles.
Since you already have an excellent VO2max, and since you've only been training in cycling for a year, I would hazard a guess that you'd get a lot more out of training your threshold than training VO2max. Just a guess, though, and all riders are different. Hey, maybe you're a freak of nature and a few months of VO2Max intervals will get you into the low 90's; anything's possible.
* "I am not an exercise physiologist."