D
Mark,
I think you're approaching these questions with the right motivations,
but I respecfully think that you're conclusions are offbase.
I am all for using force in the Middle East. I live in NYC,
experienced 9/11 right up close, and I am no pacificist. That said, I
see Iraq as a complete misuse of our resources.
We now know that there was no imminent threat in Iraq. In fact, there
was no real threat at all. Hussein's weapons programs were not even
close to being advanced. Iraq was way behind Iran, North Korea,
Pakistan, and even Libya when it comes to weapons production. In
short, there is no reason to believe that Hussein was our number one
threat. This seems fairly indisputable (except to hardline Republicans
and knee-jerk patriots who can face the truth). And so I simply
believe that we should have been using our troops over the past three
years to go after other more serious threats.
Once they realized that they got the WMD argument wrong, the
conservative tactic has been to fall back on "flip-flop"
justifications. 1) Hussein was a dictator who gassed his own people.
And 2) Iraq will be a beacon of democracy that will stabilize the
region, so even if we got the WMD argument wrong, it's worth it.
Both arguments strike me as being weak. Hussein was a dictator, but,
he was at once our dictator. We armed him during the Iran-Iraq war,
and he commited many of his worst atrocities while we actively
supported him. We just didn't care at the time. It only became an
issue once we wanted to find a reason to go to war. And that makes the
humanitarian argument seem fairly hollow to me.
As for Iraq becoming a stable democracy, well, maybe it will ... in
50-100 years. In the near term, democracy will result in another
Shiite Islamic state like the one we have Iran, and that will do
nothing to stabilize the region. It will be a very long time before
Iraq becomes anything close to a stabilizing force, a model for the
rest of the region. Democracies don't get built overnight. In the
meantime, it will be a huge distraction for us. And I don't that this
is an opportunity cost that we can afford.
>
> I think your view of "no good reason" is quite different from my view.
> I see a tyrannic dictator who had killed at least 300,000 of his own
> people (we've gone into other countries for less). We would have
> taken him out in '91, but Saddam signed a cease-fire guaranteeing he
> would destroy his known and admitted WMD stores (something he never
> did comply with). He ignored 17 UN sanctions, tried to assassinate an
> ex-US president, and was openly aiding terrorists. Quite simply, he
> had to go.
>
> And I happen to agree with Bush's assessment of what a free Iraq and
> Afghanistan will mean to the region. Only time will tell if we're
> right, or hopelessly optimistic. Thing is, my international
> experience makes me even more convinced that people really do tend to
> want the same things, even across very different cultures.
>
> >Most every American knows in their heart of hearts that this was a
> >largely pointless war. If you're really honest with yourself, you'll
> >admit that the "imminent threat" wasn't in Iraq; that other countries
> >(N. Korea, for example) and terrorist organizations present a much
> >more severe threat; and that we've diverted our resources in a serious
> >way. Most Americans won't consciously admit this because they want to
> >support the troops. But I can guarantee you that if N. Korea attacked
> >us tomorrow, there would be tremendous anger towards Bush because
> >everyone would suddenly see Iraq as a needless drain of our resources.
>
> I think a better question would have been this... had Bush NOT taken
> out Saddam, and then we were attacked and tens of thousands of
> Americans killed by WMDs that were traced to Iraq, can you even
> IMAGINE the outcry by those who are now screaming the loudest about
> going into Iraq? Personally, I like the fact that the US has a little
> more credibility when we bark now (witness the huge changes in Saudi
> Arabia and Pakistan toward terrorists, and the disarming of Libya, for
> example). But that's just me - we'll both know in 20 years whether
> it's the right path or not.
>
> Mark Hickey
> Habanero Cycles
> http://www.habcycles.com
> Home of the $695 ti frame
I think you're approaching these questions with the right motivations,
but I respecfully think that you're conclusions are offbase.
I am all for using force in the Middle East. I live in NYC,
experienced 9/11 right up close, and I am no pacificist. That said, I
see Iraq as a complete misuse of our resources.
We now know that there was no imminent threat in Iraq. In fact, there
was no real threat at all. Hussein's weapons programs were not even
close to being advanced. Iraq was way behind Iran, North Korea,
Pakistan, and even Libya when it comes to weapons production. In
short, there is no reason to believe that Hussein was our number one
threat. This seems fairly indisputable (except to hardline Republicans
and knee-jerk patriots who can face the truth). And so I simply
believe that we should have been using our troops over the past three
years to go after other more serious threats.
Once they realized that they got the WMD argument wrong, the
conservative tactic has been to fall back on "flip-flop"
justifications. 1) Hussein was a dictator who gassed his own people.
And 2) Iraq will be a beacon of democracy that will stabilize the
region, so even if we got the WMD argument wrong, it's worth it.
Both arguments strike me as being weak. Hussein was a dictator, but,
he was at once our dictator. We armed him during the Iran-Iraq war,
and he commited many of his worst atrocities while we actively
supported him. We just didn't care at the time. It only became an
issue once we wanted to find a reason to go to war. And that makes the
humanitarian argument seem fairly hollow to me.
As for Iraq becoming a stable democracy, well, maybe it will ... in
50-100 years. In the near term, democracy will result in another
Shiite Islamic state like the one we have Iran, and that will do
nothing to stabilize the region. It will be a very long time before
Iraq becomes anything close to a stabilizing force, a model for the
rest of the region. Democracies don't get built overnight. In the
meantime, it will be a huge distraction for us. And I don't that this
is an opportunity cost that we can afford.
>
> I think your view of "no good reason" is quite different from my view.
> I see a tyrannic dictator who had killed at least 300,000 of his own
> people (we've gone into other countries for less). We would have
> taken him out in '91, but Saddam signed a cease-fire guaranteeing he
> would destroy his known and admitted WMD stores (something he never
> did comply with). He ignored 17 UN sanctions, tried to assassinate an
> ex-US president, and was openly aiding terrorists. Quite simply, he
> had to go.
>
> And I happen to agree with Bush's assessment of what a free Iraq and
> Afghanistan will mean to the region. Only time will tell if we're
> right, or hopelessly optimistic. Thing is, my international
> experience makes me even more convinced that people really do tend to
> want the same things, even across very different cultures.
>
> >Most every American knows in their heart of hearts that this was a
> >largely pointless war. If you're really honest with yourself, you'll
> >admit that the "imminent threat" wasn't in Iraq; that other countries
> >(N. Korea, for example) and terrorist organizations present a much
> >more severe threat; and that we've diverted our resources in a serious
> >way. Most Americans won't consciously admit this because they want to
> >support the troops. But I can guarantee you that if N. Korea attacked
> >us tomorrow, there would be tremendous anger towards Bush because
> >everyone would suddenly see Iraq as a needless drain of our resources.
>
> I think a better question would have been this... had Bush NOT taken
> out Saddam, and then we were attacked and tens of thousands of
> Americans killed by WMDs that were traced to Iraq, can you even
> IMAGINE the outcry by those who are now screaming the loudest about
> going into Iraq? Personally, I like the fact that the US has a little
> more credibility when we bark now (witness the huge changes in Saudi
> Arabia and Pakistan toward terrorists, and the disarming of Libya, for
> example). But that's just me - we'll both know in 20 years whether
> it's the right path or not.
>
> Mark Hickey
> Habanero Cycles
> http://www.habcycles.com
> Home of the $695 ti frame