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Touring tyre - 35 or 38

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26 September 2006
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9 October 2006
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Michael Tissington
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  1. For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up to
    45.

    --
    Michael Tissington
    http://www.sqlview.net

  2. Michael Tissington said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up to
    45.

    Get the biggest tire you're willing to push. You'll give up a tiny
    bit of rolling resistance in return for (potentially) better ride and
    (certainly) better pinch flat resistance. You'll also get a bit more
    "float" out of a fatter tire if you find yourself in loose dirt or
    rocks.

    Mark Hickey
    Habanero Cycles
    http://www.habcycles.com
    Home of the $795 ti frame

  3. Michael Tissington said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up to
    45.

    For touring, in general, the larger tyre will be the better choice.
    At some point, you will encounter loose sand and gravel surfaces, and
    the wider tyre will handle these more gracefully. In addition,
    there's more tread surface to absorb wear, and more crush depth to
    provide cushioning and prevent pinch flats on bumps.

    --
    Typoes are a feature, not a bug.
    Some gardening required to reply via email.
    Words processed in a facility that contains nuts.

  4. Michael Tissington said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up to
    45.

    I did 1200 miles on 35's.

    Ken

    Messengers and mountain bikers share a common chromosome. ~James Bethea

  5. "Michael Tissington" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up
    to 45.

    --
    Michael Tissington
    http://www.sqlview.net


    All else being equal, fatter tires will give a less harsh ride on paved
    roads.
    Fatter tires will help you "float" when the road surface is soft (mud, sand,
    gravel, etc.)
    They have higher rolling resistance and greater weight. I don't know how
    to quantitate this.

    Does anyone know the magnitude of the effect of various tire widths on
    rolling resistance when compared to other forces acting on a touring
    bicycle when riding on flat hard pavement. My guess is that the rolling
    resistance is insignificant compared to weight when climbing any sort of
    grade on a loaded touring bike.

    What's the power required to propel a loaded touring bike with front and
    rear panniers (bike about 30 lbs, gear about 50 lbs, rider 150 lbs) on flat
    hard pavement with 700 x 21 tires?, 28? 38?

    BobT

  6. "BobT" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:5u8Sg.1402$Rp3.7@dukeread12...

    Quoted message said:

    What's the power required to propel a loaded touring bike with front and
    rear panniers (bike about 30 lbs, gear about 50 lbs, rider 150 lbs) on


    flat

    Quoted message said:

    hard pavement with 700 x 21 tires?, 28? 38?

    You forgot to mention the most important parameter: speed.

    Lou

  7. On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 06:51:52 -0500, "BobT"
    <[email hidden]> wrote:

    [snip]

    Quoted message said:

    Does anyone know the magnitude of the effect of various tire widths on
    rolling resistance when compared to other forces acting on a touring
    bicycle when riding on flat hard pavement. My guess is that the rolling
    resistance is insignificant compared to weight when climbing any sort of
    grade on a loaded touring bike.

    What's the power required to propel a loaded touring bike with front and
    rear panniers (bike about 30 lbs, gear about 50 lbs, rider 150 lbs) on flat
    hard pavement with 700 x 21 tires?, 28? 38?

    BobT

    Dear Bob,

    Try this calculator:

    http://www.kreuzotter.de/english/espeed.htm

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    To check if the calculator notices the weight effect on rolling
    resistance, lower the bike weight from 80-lbs to 30-lbs. Yes, the
    speed and time improve: 16.3 mph and 3:04:02.9.

    You can set the power and solve for speed and change other variables.

    If you have specific rolling resistances for particular tires, try
    this calculator:

    http://w3.iac.net/~curta/bp/velocityN/velocity.html

    In addition to offering more variables and oodles of decimals, the
    Austin calculator gives convenient side-by-side comparisons.

    Cheers,

    Carl Fogel

  8. BobT said:

    "Michael Tissington" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up
    to 45.

    Quoted message said:

    All else being equal, fatter tires...have higher rolling resistance

    No, no, no! All else being equal, wider bicycle tyres have lower
    rolling resistance than their narrow brethren. Schwalbe explain why
    this is so on their web page for the Big Apple

    http://www.schwalbe.com/gbl/en/bicycle/on_tour/produktgruppe/?gesamt=276&ID_Produktgruppe=24

    And it's been mentioned here many times before. The widely believed
    fallacy that narrow tyres have lower rolling resistance is making
    hundreds of cyclists ride uncomfortable, puncture prone tyres for
    nothing. At touring speeds, the lower rolling resistance of a 38 more
    than makes up for the tiny increase in aerodynamic drag and all up
    weight compared with a 23

    Kinky Cowboy*

    *Batteries not included
    May contain traces of nuts
    Your milage may vary

  9. Kinky Cowboy said:
    BobT said:

    "Michael Tissington" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between

    700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up
    to 45.

    Quoted message said:

    All else being equal, fatter tires...have higher rolling resistance

    No, no, no! All else being equal, wider bicycle tyres have lower
    rolling resistance than their narrow brethren. Schwalbe explain why
    this is so on their web page for the Big Apple

    http://www.schwalbe.com/gbl/en/bicycle/on_tour/produktgruppe/?gesamt=276&ID_Produktgruppe=24

    And it's been mentioned here many times before. The widely believed
    fallacy that narrow tyres have lower rolling resistance is making
    hundreds of cyclists ride uncomfortable, puncture prone tyres for
    nothing. At touring speeds, the lower rolling resistance of a 38 more
    than makes up for the tiny increase in aerodynamic drag and all up
    weight compared with a 23

    Interesting article. Thanks for that, but I've two questions:
    1) The article states, "It is amazing that wide tires roll more easily,
    but that is because a broader tire has a smaller footprint in the
    driving direction. So the tire bounces less and the flattening of the
    footprint on the road is smaller."
    --Seems like this wouldn't be true with narrow tires inflated to full or
    as-near-to-full-as-appropriate pressures. To be clear, my experience is
    limited to 32 mm, 25 mm, and 23 mm tires.

    2) "With an air pressure of 30psi (2 Bar) the rolling resistance is
    about 30 per cent lower than a 1.3/8 (37mm) wide tire."
    --Assuming that's the gospel truth, does a valid comparison of a
    'balloon' tire to one that's 37 mm wide validate your comparison of a 38
    mm to a 23 mm wide tire?

  10. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Paul Hobson said:
    Kinky Cowboy said:
    BobT said:

    "Michael Tissington" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...
    > For a long distance tour (with some rough road) how do I decide between
    >
    > 700 C x 35 or 700 C x 38 in the same tyre, the rims and frame can take up
    > to 45.

    Quoted message said:

    All else being equal, fatter tires...have higher rolling resistance

    No, no, no! All else being equal, wider bicycle tyres have lower
    rolling resistance than their narrow brethren. Schwalbe explain why
    this is so on their web page for the Big Apple

    http://www.schwalbe.com/gbl/en/bicycle/on_tour/produktgruppe/?gesamt=276&ID_Produktgruppe=24

    And it's been mentioned here many times before. The widely believed
    fallacy that narrow tyres have lower rolling resistance is making
    hundreds of cyclists ride uncomfortable, puncture prone tyres for
    nothing. At touring speeds, the lower rolling resistance of a 38 more
    than makes up for the tiny increase in aerodynamic drag and all up
    weight compared with a 23

    Interesting article. Thanks for that, but I've two questions:
    1) The article states, "It is amazing that wide tires roll more easily,
    but that is because a broader tire has a smaller footprint in the
    driving direction. So the tire bounces less and the flattening of the
    footprint on the road is smaller."
    --Seems like this wouldn't be true with narrow tires inflated to full or
    as-near-to-full-as-appropriate pressures. To be clear, my experience is
    limited to 32 mm, 25 mm, and 23 mm tires.

    2) "With an air pressure of 30psi (2 Bar) the rolling resistance is
    about 30 per cent lower than a 1.3/8 (37mm) wide tire."
    --Assuming that's the gospel truth, does a valid comparison of a
    'balloon' tire to one that's 37 mm wide validate your comparison of a 38
    mm to a 23 mm wide tire?

    We need good laboratory data. I run 28 mm slicks at
    90-115 psi on my town bike, and whenever I coast along
    with another town bike, I coast farther.

    --
    Michael Press

  11. Quoted message said:

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    Mark Hickey
    Habanero Cycles
    http://www.habcycles.com
    Home of the $795 ti frame

  12. On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 21:17:00 -0700, Mark Hickey <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    Mark Hickey
    Habanero Cycles
    http://www.habcycles.com
    Home of the $795 ti frame

    Dear Mark,

    Consider your sincere but extremely dubious theory that a 1 mph
    difference between "more upright" and presumably "on the drops"
    positions would be surprising.

    Take the defaults here:

    http://www.kreuzotter.de/english/espeed.htm

    Choose on-the-drops, and the prediction is 19.4 mph.

    Choose hands-on-tops, and the prediction drops to 17.3 mph, 2.1 mph
    slower.

    That's without the wider, squashier cyclocross tires.

    Go to 1.75" off-road tire, and the predicted speed drops to 16.2 mph.

    For a cross-check, try this calculator, which is the MPH version that
    suggests tire types instead of allowing specific RR values:

    http://w3.iac.net/~curta/bp/velocity/velocity.html

    Reduce the 300 watt default to 160 watts, choose clincher tires, and
    use "drops"--the prediction is 19.46 mph.

    Switch to "hoods"--the predicted speed drops to 17.98 mph.

    Put on a pair of MTB tires--the predicted speed drops to 16.05 mph.

    This is why Tour riders aren't using 38 mm tires--the extra rolling
    resistance of the heavier construction and the increased wind drag of
    the wider tires is subject to the laws of physics. To reduce sidewall
    flexing enough to improve the RR of the wider tires would require an
    unreasonably harsh ride.

    If you're interested in the details of the calculations and the RR
    values used, here's the source code for the mph version of the Austin
    calculator:

    String words[] = {"hoods", "bartops", "bar ends", "drops", "aerobars",
    "drafting"};
    double values[] = {0.388, 0.445, 0.420, 0.300, 0.233, 0.200};

    String words[] = {"clincher", "tubular", "MTB"};
    double values[] = {0.005, 0.004, 0.012};

    http://w3.iac.net/~curta/bp/velocity/Velocity.java

    Obviously, individual riders will have different actual wind drag
    coefficents, just as individual tires will vary (as will inflation and
    road surface). Plenty of clinchers are over 0.0060, and lots of mtb
    tires are under 0.0120. Heavy touring tires tend to be around 0.0100.
    Here's a table that suggests such averages, but remember that it's
    mostly for small versions of the named tires:

    http://www.legslarry.beerdrinkers.co.uk/tech/JL.htm

    And here's the IHPVA's calculator, harder to use, but with some tire
    RR and drag coefficient values for comparison:

    http://www.recumbents.com/wisil/simul/HPV_Simul.asp

    These raw differences are very small--19 vs 17 mph.

    And we're bad at noticing them--try guessing your speed for a while
    and then comparing it to the cyclocomputer--can you reliably
    distinguish 17 from 18 mph?

    It takes a cyclocomputer, a stopwatch, and a lot of rides around the
    same route to find out that we were averaging 10% slower. Indeed,
    that's why the calculators and computers are useful--they take out the
    variables of traffic, how lively you felt that day, and what the
    almost imperceptible wind was doing.

    Three mph is a gentle walk down a long hallway. The wind on your face
    is practically imperceptible. But plug a 3 mph headwind into one of
    those calculators and see what happens:

    http://www.kreuzotter.de/english/espeed.htm

    Take the defaults, choose hands-on-tops, and it predicts. 19.4 mph.

    Add an almost unnoticeable 3 mph headwind, and the predicted speed
    drops almost 9% to 17.7 mph.

    Turn it around to a -3 mph tailwind. Predicted speed rises to 21.2
    mph, a little more than a 9% increase.

    Cheers,

    Carl Fogel

  13. On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 23:05:29 -0600, [email hidden] wrote:

    [snip]

    Quoted message said:

    Three mph is a gentle walk down a long hallway. The wind on your face
    is practically imperceptible. But plug a 3 mph headwind into one of
    those calculators and see what happens:

    http://www.kreuzotter.de/english/espeed.htm

    Take the defaults, choose hands-on-tops, and it predicts. 19.4 mph.


    ^^^^^ er, drops

    Quoted message said:

    Add an almost unnoticeable 3 mph headwind, and the predicted speed
    drops almost 9% to 17.7 mph.

    Turn it around to a -3 mph tailwind. Predicted speed rises to 21.2
    mph, a little more than a 9% increase.

    Cheers,

    Carl Fogel

    Curses! Hands-on-drops just above here, for 19.4 mph, not
    hands-on-tops.

    CF

  14. On Wed, 27 Sep 2006 01:27:16 +0100, Kinky Cowboy <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    No, no, no! All else being equal, wider bicycle tyres have lower
    rolling resistance than their narrow brethren. Schwalbe explain why
    this is so on their web page for the Big Apple

    http://www.schwalbe.com/gbl/en/bicycle/on_tour/produktgruppe/?gesamt=276&ID_Produktgruppe=24

    And it's been mentioned here many times before. The widely believed
    fallacy that narrow tyres have lower rolling resistance is making
    hundreds of cyclists ride uncomfortable, puncture prone tyres for
    nothing. At touring speeds, the lower rolling resistance of a 38 more
    than makes up for the tiny increase in aerodynamic drag and all up
    weight compared with a 23

    There are no two tires of 38 and 23 where "all else is equal" and I
    doubt a 38 exists that has as low rolling resistance as a good 23 at
    the proper pressure for each tire.
    --
    JT
    ****************************
    Remove "remove" to reply
    Visit http://www.jt10000.com
    ****************************

  15. Quoted message said:

    Mark Hickey <[email hidden]>wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    Quoted message said:

    Consider your sincere but extremely dubious theory that a 1 mph
    difference between "more upright" and presumably "on the drops"
    positions would be surprising.

    That's quite an assumption - why would you assume that I'd ride the
    bike with lower bars "on the drops" and the bike with the higher bars
    "on the hoods"? If anything, the tendency is the opposite.

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:


    Reduce the 300 watt default to 160 watts, choose clincher tires, and
    use "drops"--the prediction is 19.46 mph.

    Switch to "hoods"--the predicted speed drops to 17.98 mph.

    Put on a pair of MTB tires--the predicted speed drops to 16.05 mph.

    Here's where I think your example starts divorcing itself from my
    experience - we were looking at a 1.5mph penalty for "touring tires",
    yet "MTB tires" exhibit "only" about 1.9mph of penalty. Based on the
    calculation variables you include below, I'd conclude that "MTB
    (tires)" are knobbies (since they have 3X the (presumed rolling
    resistance) value of a tubular.

    Quoted message said:

    This is why Tour riders aren't using 38 mm tires--the extra rolling
    resistance of the heavier construction and the increased wind drag of
    the wider tires is subject to the laws of physics. To reduce sidewall
    flexing enough to improve the RR of the wider tires would require an
    unreasonably harsh ride.

    If you're interested in the details of the calculations and the RR
    values used, here's the source code for the mph version of the Austin
    calculator:

    String words[] = {"hoods", "bartops", "bar ends", "drops", "aerobars",
    "drafting"};
    double values[] = {0.388, 0.445, 0.420, 0.300, 0.233, 0.200};

    String words[] = {"clincher", "tubular", "MTB"};
    double values[] = {0.005, 0.004, 0.012};

    http://w3.iac.net/~curta/bp/velocity/Velocity.java

    Obviously, individual riders will have different actual wind drag
    coefficents, just as individual tires will vary (as will inflation and
    road surface). Plenty of clinchers are over 0.0060, and lots of mtb
    tires are under 0.0120. Heavy touring tires tend to be around 0.0100.
    Here's a table that suggests such averages, but remember that it's
    mostly for small versions of the named tires:

    http://www.legslarry.beerdrinkers.co.uk/tech/JL.htm

    Great chart - though I think it reinforces my belief that the 1.5mph
    penalty is vastly overstated. The RR value tends to be within .001 or
    ..002 of a smallish road slick, and the wattage penalty in the 10-20
    watt range. There are exceptions of course, but generally for tires
    I'd never consider for touring.

    Quoted message said:

    And here's the IHPVA's calculator, harder to use, but with some tire
    RR and drag coefficient values for comparison:

    http://www.recumbents.com/wisil/simul/HPV_Simul.asp

    These raw differences are very small--19 vs 17 mph.

    And we're bad at noticing them--try guessing your speed for a while
    and then comparing it to the cyclocomputer--can you reliably
    distinguish 17 from 18 mph?

    Probably not.

    Mark Hickey
    Habanero Cycles
    http://www.habcycles.com
    Home of the $795 ti frame

  16. On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 21:17:00 -0700, Mark Hickey <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    I have measured the speed difference; on a 10 mile course, my TT bike
    with Conti GP Supersonic 23mm at 110psi is about 1 minute faster than
    my cross bike on 37mm Conti SportContact at 80psi. Putting the best
    gloss on the narrow tires, I've done a timed training run on the cross
    bike, early season, in 28:20 and my best time later in the year on the
    TT bike was 25:56. But...the TT bike has tribars and weighs about 3kg
    less than my cross bike, and the TT race time was on the course as
    raced (it's a 9.5mile loop+1/2 mile overlap) and the training ride had
    the start/finish point moved nearer to home so there was a net
    altitude gain rather than the net drop which using the proper course
    gives you. Only about 20ft either way, but still worth a few seconds.

    Another test; I did a standing start kilo on the cross bike in 1:26
    and a week later did 1:21 on the TT bike. That's a 1.6mph difference
    in a test which should substantially favour the TT bike

    So, whatever difference the tyres are making is so small that it's
    totally masked by other factors, at my modest racing speed. On the fat
    tyres, I can ride in comfort for 5 hours, take in some off road
    sections if I want to and have a huge peace of mind about punctures.

    If I were the OP, I'd be skipping straight past the 38 and looking for
    a suitable 42 or 45. Based on my experience with the 37mm tyres, I'll
    be replacing them with the CityContact 42 when they wear out

    Kinky Cowboy*

    *Batteries not included
    May contain traces of nuts
    Your milage may vary

  17. On Thu, 28 Sep 2006 00:38:53 +0100, Kinky Cowboy <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 21:17:00 -0700, Mark Hickey <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    I have measured the speed difference; on a 10 mile course, my TT bike
    with Conti GP Supersonic 23mm at 110psi is about 1 minute faster than
    my cross bike on 37mm Conti SportContact at 80psi. Putting the best
    gloss on the narrow tires, I've done a timed training run on the cross
    bike, early season, in 28:20 and my best time later in the year on the
    TT bike was 25:56. But...the TT bike has tribars and weighs about 3kg
    less than my cross bike, and the TT race time was on the course as
    raced (it's a 9.5mile loop+1/2 mile overlap) and the training ride had
    the start/finish point moved nearer to home so there was a net
    altitude gain rather than the net drop which using the proper course
    gives you. Only about 20ft either way, but still worth a few seconds.

    Another test; I did a standing start kilo on the cross bike in 1:26
    and a week later did 1:21 on the TT bike. That's a 1.6mph difference
    in a test which should substantially favour the TT bike

    So, whatever difference the tyres are making is so small that it's
    totally masked by other factors, at my modest racing speed. On the fat
    tyres, I can ride in comfort for 5 hours, take in some off road
    sections if I want to and have a huge peace of mind about punctures.

    If I were the OP, I'd be skipping straight past the 38 and looking for
    a suitable 42 or 45. Based on my experience with the 37mm tyres, I'll
    be replacing them with the CityContact 42 when they wear out

    Kinky Cowboy*

    *Batteries not included
    May contain traces of nuts
    Your milage may vary

    Dear Kinky,

    For fun, play with a calculator:

    http://www.kreuzotter.de/english/espeed.htm

    Let's bump you up to 250 watts, put in 10 miles, and test a triathlon
    bike. The predicted speed and time are 24.5 mph and 24:29.4 in the
    ballpark.

    Now switch to hands-on-drops.

    The predicted speed drops to 23.2 mph and the predicted time rises to
    25:51.7, 1.3 mph and 82 seconds slower with the same tires.

    Add a pair of "wide high-pressure slicks" to the hands-on-drops bike.

    Predicted speed drops to 22.4 mph and time rises to 26:47.1.

    Use the "robust wide touring" tires.

    Speed goes down to 21.4 mph and time goes up to 28:02.2.

    I agree that for riders who don't care about time, these differences
    are insignificant--a bit more than 10% at most.

    But it's worth emphasizing that "tests" of less than several hundred
    rides year-round on the same loop aren't worth much. Fewer tests are
    usually skewed by variables such as wind, temperature, humidity, and
    what the rider ate for breakfast, as well as the psychological goad of
    seeing how fast the different bike can go--just paying more attention
    than usual is going to improve your times and give a false impression.

    To illustrate such variation, here are my times on my daily 15.2 mile
    ride for September 13-19:

    46:09
    43:51
    48:13
    46:08
    46:40
    45:48
    48:35

    I count off for the sole traffic light and for any cars that
    inconvenience me, so it's basically a very sedate TT course. Note the
    4:44 spread in times, about 10%, all for the same bike and rider in
    only seven days.

    (I blame the slow times on the wind and take full credit for whatever
    the hell led to the unusually fast 43:51--probably the same wind
    changing direction at just the right point on my ride.)

    Even an average for a week is well-nigh useless.

    (I really like that average of 46:29 for those seven recent rides
    because it's so much better than my average for the year so far of
    48:27.)

    To illustrate the point again, here are my 7 rides from January 1st,
    when it was so unusually warm, averaging over 60 degrees, that I was
    riding in my shorts:

    51:07
    49:06
    49:15
    52:15
    48:47
    49:45
    49:17

    Same bike, same rider, same clothes, same 15.2 mile loop, but probably
    windier. The average is an embarrassing 49:56. I was 3:36 slower and
    would have been more than a mile behind my more recent average at the
    finish line.

    Cheers,

    Carl Fogel

  18. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Kinky Cowboy said:

    On Tue, 26 Sep 2006 21:17:00 -0700, Mark Hickey <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If you plug in 80-lb bike and 150-lb rider, hands on tops, and 50
    miles into the distance at the bottom, it predicts a speed of 17.5 mph
    and a time of 2:51:25.7. (Wind drag would increase with panniers, but
    we'll ignore that.)

    Change from "narrow racing" tires to the hideous "robust touring"
    tires and try again. The calculator predicts 15.8 mph and 3:09:52.4,
    about 18 minutes longer on a 3-hour trip.

    That seems like an awful lot of penalty just for going with fatter
    tires - what are the specs on those "hideous robust touring" tires?
    Inflation?

    For example, I ride typical 23 or 25mm high-pressure (110-120psi)
    tires on my road bike, and 35mm semi-slicks (85-90psi) on my 'cross
    bike, and would be surprised if there's a 1mph delta, even with the
    more upright position on the 'cross bike.

    OTOH, I've never actually measured the relative speed (don't bother
    with a computer on anything other than the tandem, and then only to
    make sure the wife is working hard enough). ;-)

    I have measured the speed difference; on a 10 mile course, my TT bike
    with Conti GP Supersonic 23mm at 110psi is about 1 minute faster than
    my cross bike on 37mm Conti SportContact at 80psi. Putting the best
    gloss on the narrow tires, I've done a timed training run on the cross
    bike, early season, in 28:20 and my best time later in the year on the
    TT bike was 25:56. But...the TT bike has tribars and weighs about 3kg
    less than my cross bike, and the TT race time was on the course as
    raced (it's a 9.5mile loop+1/2 mile overlap) and the training ride had
    the start/finish point moved nearer to home so there was a net
    altitude gain rather than the net drop which using the proper course
    gives you. Only about 20ft either way, but still worth a few seconds.

    Another test; I did a standing start kilo on the cross bike in 1:26
    and a week later did 1:21 on the TT bike. That's a 1.6mph difference
    in a test which should substantially favour the TT bike

    So, whatever difference the tyres are making is so small that it's
    totally masked by other factors, at my modest racing speed. On the fat
    tyres, I can ride in comfort for 5 hours, take in some off road
    sections if I want to and have a huge peace of mind about punctures.

    If I were the OP, I'd be skipping straight past the 38 and looking for
    a suitable 42 or 45. Based on my experience with the 37mm tyres, I'll
    be replacing them with the CityContact 42 when they wear out

    This can be settled. Get an assistant to ride one bike
    while you ride the other. Match coasting on various
    surfaces. Then switch mounts and match again. Try to
    eliminate rider air resistance by starting at different
    initial speeds; and by using different rider positions
    where you vary only _one_ rider's position to check
    differences in coasting. You get the idea. The effect of
    the tires may be small to negligible for typical riding,
    but it can be resolved.

    --
    Michael Press

  19. Kinky Cowboy said:

    So, whatever difference the tyres are making is so small that it's
    totally masked by other factors, at my modest racing speed. On the fat
    tyres, I can ride in comfort for 5 hours, take in some off road
    sections if I want to and have a huge peace of mind about punctures.

    If I were the OP, I'd be skipping straight past the 38 and looking for
    a suitable 42 or 45. Based on my experience with the 37mm tyres, I'll
    be replacing them with the CityContact 42 when they wear out

    IIRC, the OP was talking about long distance touring, and the frame and
    wheels would take up to 45. I'd look at the clearance with fenders
    before I went up above 38. (Yeah, it's that important!) I suspect he
    could get fenders and a 38 to work quite easily, but I'd want plenty of
    clearance to change the flat when it's raining.

    Pat

  20. "Michael Press" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,
    Kinky Cowboy <[email hidden]> wrote:


    <snip>

    Quoted message said:


    This can be settled. Get an assistant to ride one bike
    while you ride the other. Match coasting on various
    surfaces. Then switch mounts and match again. Try to
    eliminate rider air resistance by starting at different
    initial speeds; and by using different rider positions
    where you vary only _one_ rider's position to check
    differences in coasting. You get the idea. The effect of
    the tires may be small to negligible for typical riding,
    but it can be resolved.

    --
    Michael Press

    This reminds me a lot of the old sewups vs. HP clincher debates.

    Most of the people in my old cycling group rode sewups. We did a lot of
    high speed "touring" with at least a 50-100 mile ride every weekend
    during most of the year.

    When the then new Michelin, Wolber and IRC 19-25mm high pressure
    clinchers first came out a number people in our group switched to them
    over sewups. They ran them at 90-100 PSI

    I rode Clementi Paris-Roubaix 30mm cotton sewups most of the time. I
    kept them pumped to 75-80 PSI and had very few problems with flats.

    The riders in my group all weighed within 10 to 15 pounds of each other
    and rode similarly equipped pro bikes of the era. When coasting down
    hills, the sewup riders always out distanced the pack.

    Chas.

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