flanman said:There was a time trial in colorado last weekend. 6 Mile out/ 6 mile back with a screaming tailwind out/ headwind back. It was a crosswind, so I'm not sure of the portion parallel to the course. Out was nearly -1% gradient, back +1%. The time splits were typically in the ratio of about 1.5:1 between back and out.
Intuitively, it would make sense to push it with the tailwind and conserve slightly with the headwind. I ran some simulations with the kreuzotter.de calculator and they all indicated that it was slightly advantageous to push it with the headwind. This is with power -5% out and +3% back (to make average power constant). A greater power variation will have greater results.
However, depending on the wind, the difference isn't huge. About a 2 s advantage for 5mph wind and about 10s for a 15 mph wind. I don't trust the calculations that much as they predict a speed that's much too high on the outward leg (can't spin that fast).
A power variation of +/- 10% is probably too big, unless you've got great recovery powers.
I've read one paper by Swain and was not impressed.
In short, you're probably better off just trying to concentrate on breathing well and dipping your head slightly against the headwind than worrying about power variations. Pushing it on hills is definitely the way to go though.
geez this ain't rocket science guys: when you start to slow down: push harder ... 🙂
seriously.
Now on our trad. local course here we have a long false flat ~10k @1.6% going out , then a cloverleaf turnround with grades +/- 8-9% and the fast -1.6% leg home (total ~21k).
Ignoring the prevailing winds, it's definitely faster to ride this course with higher power going out vs. coming home. The turnround is best ridden with pretty variable power and normally even standing up for a portion.
Running the course thru the NP pacing algorithm suggests the overall best times (in calm conditions) will be done with IIRC around 20% power delta outbound vs. return. Practically speaking I find the limiter on that course is how much I can average for 15-20min going out around 40-42-43 kph going out vs. the 55-60kph return leg.
just ran some numbers and the model suggests the following outleg/retleg power ratios vs. outleg headwind:
Calm ........ 1.17
+1 m/s ..... 1.22
+3 m/s ..... 1.31
+5 m/s ..... 1.43
-1 m/s ...... 1.13
-3 m/s ...... 1.06
-5 m/s ...... 0.99
anyhow it's just an example where the overall duration may be 26-30 min but a big limiter is 15-20MP. It definitely doesn't teach one good pacing and it's not a route I like for TT training either. but for racing, it is what it is ...