[email hidden] (brianb) wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...
Quoted message said:I don't know that much about bike racing.
But how would someone look at stage 12? It seems like if you really
push to get up the next to last hill, you can open some time, but
can't the peloton and whatnot catch up on the downhill? IE is it
worth it to start pushing around the front side of the Col d' Aspin?
It would be if he was attacked by ALL of the contenders, one after the
other. He couldn't possibly hold them all off. He would probably be
able to limit the damage, but it would drain him. The key is to force
Armstrong to work instead of sitting on a teammate's wheel, then
accelerating alone on the final climb. Very few people can handle
Armstrong's accelerations, but two or three of them can match or
exceed his pace over long climbs. Armstrong is very good at dosing his
efforts, gaining maximum time for his efforts.
Quoted message said:On the way up the mountain, getting the drag off of someone would not
be of much help, b/c people would be going very slowly up the
mountain, no? So it's really of no disadvantage to be out in front,
is this true?
Generally, this is true.
Quoted message said:It seems like in general that the ability to descend is almost as
important as the ability to climb. Kind of odd.
Being a great descender is an important skill, and can cause big time
gaps over a long mountainous stage. Drafting really isn't possible on
technical descents, either.
Quoted message said:Or should someone like lance Armstrong stay with the peloton the whole
way and then push in the last 6km to try to win the stage?
That's what Lance wants to do. His opponents probably cannot use this
strategy because Lance is strong enough to counter it.
Quoted message said:What's the correct strategy?
Attack, attack, attack. If I were CSC, T-Mobile, or especially Phonak,
I would start the attacks on the first big climb of Stages 12 and 13.
Each team has a strong overall contender, and at least one serious
threat. USPS has to be challenged at every opportunity. They have the
best-placed GC contender, so they can let the race come to them.
Quoted message said:Also how long can Lance Armstrong just sit back and let people have
all this time on him? At some point he's got to get a few minutes on
O'Grady and all those people right?
If he just rides with the front group, everyone currently in front of
him on GC will fall off the pace as they conquer the bigger mountains.
Casar may hang on longest, but they will all end up losing ten or
fifteen minutes.
Roland