Iktome said:As I recall, the power profiles that Andy created are based on the maximum outputs for all types of cyclists assumed to be at a certain level. So, for example, the 5 second and 1 minute numbers are based on sprint specialists on the track (rather than roadie 'sprinters'😉.
Is there any way to convert the power profile into representative numbers for non-specialists? That is to say, can it be used to estimate what outputs are typical for a strong sprinter in a given category on the road (rather than on the track)?
Or is the revised version of the profile with corresponding USCF categories the attempt to do this?
I ask out of curiosity's sake only; I understand that the profiles are just loose guidelines.
So by "normal" you mean "road only"? How, then, do you account for the fact that most people who race on the track also race on the road (and if one of them happens to be in your race, they're most likely the one you're going to have the hardest time beating in the sprint, individual pursuiters excepted)?
Another/a related factor to consider: the longer the race, the more it will disfavor those with a very high neuromuscular power. However, just because people like Boonen or Pettachi max out at ~20 W/kg (vs. the ~24 W/kg that a match sprinter might develop), that doesn't mean that in a shorter/local race you won't be going up against somebody whose 5 s power is, relatively speaking, higher than theirs.
Lastly, while the associated category guidelines are meant strictly as that, i.e., guidelines, even if you take them at face value they won't tell you what you want to know, since what distinguishes riders of different ability on the road is the aerobic half of the table. I'm a perfect example of that: my neuromuscular power is, and always has been, quite low, but I was a cat. 1 back in my youth, and still win my share of masters races today (though rarely, if ever, if it comes down to a sprint).