i'm thinking even the most steady hill or flat course can't come close to approximating the steady unwavering pace you can attain on a set of rollers or a trainner.
I tried doing an hour at FTP last week on a fairly flat course, i found it hard to keep my power between 200 and 300w. On the rollers i can usualy just pick a gear and cadence then cruise along for an hour watching tv and me PT graph shows no more then a 10w variation.
I menchain this because having small spikes up and down around your FTP can definitly influence how much energy you have for the rest of the interval.
Say for example, 5 mins into your first 20min, there's a very short, but steep rolling hill, like not even 30meters, and you decide to just power up it, and end up pushing yourself up to 450w for 10 or 20 seconds, HR goes up, cadence goes down a tad, then you settle back down to your FTP of 260w. Even missing slight grade changes like 1% can push my power up to 320 or 330w without me even noticing. Not to menchain going down the other side of a slight slope i always have to be aware that i'm keeping my power up over 200w, cause my natural tendency is to glass crank it a bit and recover.
There's also hopping out of the saddle to avoid bumps, dips, cracks, pot holes, the nervousness and anxiety of dealing with cars, worrying about getting a flat, trying to watch the road but also your power read out.... etc
Once you factor in all those real world scenario's it's easy to see how you could prematurely weeken your legs if you're trying to do a steady 260w ftp 2x20.
One last though, indoors you can pretty much carve your cadence in stone where being outside changes in cadence or having a completely different cadence cause you're doing your FTP workout on a hill can skew results quite a bit too if you're not in your more efficient cadence range.
There's a hill around here i climb at 400W takes about 2 and a half mins if i pace myself for 10 repeats. and i'm pretty dead once i'm done # 3
On the rollers i can hold 400w for over 4 minutes 5 or 6 times in a row cause there's no changes, accelerations(bumps) my legs have to work thru it's completely steady and a continuous load, and i'm at my optimal cadence of 95-100 the whole time instead of 80-90 which is usualy what i do when climbing in the saddle.
Just my experience though.