Not sure whether to post this here or in the road racing forum, but since it's power-oriented I'll try here.
I'm a 50 year-old male, 67 kg, who has just gotten started in cycling after well over a decade of physical inactivity. I used to be a middle-distance runner, but my knees can't take the pounding any more. So when I decided to start exercising regularly again, cycling fit the bill.
After six months of cycling, I'm currently at the point where a 3.0 watts/kg effort over 20+ minutes is easy. I'm not sure what an all-out effort for 20 minutes would be for me. For a 5-minute all-out effort, I'm right around 4.0 watts/kg.
My question concerns racing. I have never raced on a bike before, but having begun to regain some fitness, I can feel the competitive juices from my long-ago running days starting to flow again.
I should stress that I have zero experience with pack riding, pacelines, and the like. And my bike handling skills are nothing better than you'd expect from someone who has been riding solo for six months. I have a long way to go in these areas.
My current thoughts are that I'll join the local cycling club once spring rolls around, and spend this coming summer doing group rides whenever I can... the idea being to get comfortable riding in a group, to learn how to be an effective part of a paceline, and to improve my bike handling. I'll then train through next winter, and perhaps try my hand at racing the following summer.
I have no illusions about racing at a high level. Even though I'm in the right age bracket, I know how fast masters races tend to be. My eventual goal, after starting off as a cat 5, would be to become competitive as a cat 4 racer. I mostly want to just have fun with it, but it won't be fun unless I'm at least moderately competitive.
So, my question is this: Given where I am with power right now, and given my plans, is cat 4/5 racing by the summer of '07 a realistic goal? I've seen the power profile chart on the CyclingPeaks web site, and it suggests that I'm not being wildly optimistic. But does it square with anyone's real-world experience?
Thanks!