Alex Simmons said:Yes and No.
IOW - we really don't have enough knowledge of you and your abilities to answer the question.
Yes, if you have the ability to generate the power required (whatever that may be) by June. That means improving sustainable power output and reducing aerodynamic drag (& rolling resistance).
No if you can't.
If your aero status stays the same, you'll need roughly 30% more power than your current best hour power. That's quite a lot to improve in one season.
Hey Alex, where did the 30% come from? Not being combative, just curious.
Oh, and since we're talking improvement and percentages, I've got my own lofty goals for this season. Right now, my estimated FTP is 285 and I'm at 69kg. In September, I want FTP to be at 335 and my weight to be 67kg, which will get me to the magic (for me, anyway) 5w/kg mark for FTP. That's a 17.5% improvement in FTP, and a 21% improvement in power/weight.
I've taken a good couple of months off serious riding to hit the gym, so I'm somewhat detrained. I"ve been riding for 16 years, though, and I ain't in my late 20s anymore, so my basic cycling adaptations are already there, and I'm not at my physical prime anymore.
What's the consensus? You think this is doable? I know it's a pretty tall order, and I partly post this for motivation's sake - to announce my goals and get a little encouragement.
Hey! That'd make a pretty good thread topic!! Make a thread where folks are talking about this year's goals and posting monthly or quarterly updates on their progress.