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if only they / we knew

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Australia and New Zealand
Published
27 May 2006
Last activity
29 May 2006
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monsterman
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  1. tinyurl.comgxj2h

    I wonder how the "wider costs to society" are calculated .. ...

  2. monsterman said:

    http://tinyurl.com/gxj2h*

    Stupid, in that most people already have the car. The marginal costs are
    only about $0.15/km once you've already paid rego. Unless you can do
    without the car altogether, you may as well use it. In fact, it's arguably
    sensible to make the most of your fixed costs by doing as many km as
    possible.

    "Wider costs" are included in that "fixed", although they're really
    marginal. They're way too hard to truly factor in.

    --
    Dave Hughes | [email hidden]
    "Remember - if all you have is an axe, every problem
    looks like hours of fun." -- Frossie, ASR

  3. Random Data said:
    monsterman said:

    http://tinyurl.com/gxj2h*

    Stupid, in that most people already have the car. The marginal costs are
    only about $0.15/km once you've already paid rego. Unless you can do
    without the car altogether, you may as well use it. In fact, it's arguably
    sensible to make the most of your fixed costs by doing as many km as
    possible.

    "Wider costs" are included in that "fixed", although they're really
    marginal. They're way too hard to truly factor in.

    I guess that all depends on how you define marginal. The investment in
    car-centric infrastructure is far from marginal. The daily road toll (46
    hospitalisations a day in Victoria) is far from marginal. The emergency
    services required to clean up after the carnage each day is far from
    marginal. That's just off the top of my head, I'm sure there are plenty
    of other fixed costs.

    The truth is that these costs are not transparent to motorists because
    we do not have a user pays system for the roads. Roads are funded out
    of consolidated revenue as are, to some extent, the emergency services.
    I'm not arguing for a user pays system, just stating that not having
    one hides the true cost of a car centric culture.

    Every case is different, for me if I were single I would not buy a car.
    I can get to and from work perfectly well by bicycle, shopping is just
    around the corner. The number of social engagements where I'd not be
    able to use a bicycle are few, certainly few enough to make using a taxi
    a far cheaper proposition. You're right in saying that people who
    already have cars are already getting hammered for their weekly costs.
    The trick is educating people that if their circumstances are right they
    can have a better quality of life by ditching the car and using public
    transport, walking, cycling and occasionally using hire cars.
    --
    Cheers | ~~ __@
    Euan | ~~ _-\<,
    Melbourne, Australia | ~ (*)/ (*)

  4. Euan said:
    Random Data said:
    monsterman said:

    http://tinyurl.com/gxj2h*

    Stupid, in that most people already have the car. The marginal costs are
    only about $0.15/km once you've already paid rego. Unless you can do
    without the car altogether, you may as well use it. In fact, it's arguably
    sensible to make the most of your fixed costs by doing as many km as
    possible.

    "Wider costs" are included in that "fixed", although they're really
    marginal. They're way too hard to truly factor in.

    I guess that all depends on how you define marginal. The investment in
    car-centric infrastructure is far from marginal. [snip]

    Presumably he's defining "marginal" in the economic sense.

    The marginal cost is how much extra it would cost the society for one
    more person to drive a car.

    The first car driver costs billions, as we've got to engineer and build
    a car and road system for him/her. The other users or so only
    contribute to wear and tear on the already existing roads plus the cost
    of production of their own vehicles and petrol and of course
    environmental damage and health care costs.

    On average the cost per user is (total costs) / (number of drivers),
    its quite a lot, but this is a much higher number than (cost of adding
    one more car to the road) / 1.

    Since an entirely car free society isn't really possible, its marginal
    costs which are more relevant. You just can't get a load of wheat from
    the farm to a flour mill using bicycle transportation alone.

    Travis

  5. Travis said:

    Since an entirely car free society isn't really possible, its marginal
    costs which are more relevant. You just can't get a load of wheat from
    the farm to a flour mill using bicycle transportation alone.

    We manage such feats for centuries before we had cars, there is no
    reason that society could not go back to a car free model if the need
    arose. Sure there'd be transitional pain but society's not going to die
    if we lose the motor car.
    --
    Cheers | ~~ __@
    Euan | ~~ _-\<,
    Melbourne, Australia | ~ (*)/ (*)

  6. Euan said:
    Travis said:

    Since an entirely car free society isn't really possible, its marginal
    costs which are more relevant. You just can't get a load of wheat from
    the farm to a flour mill using bicycle transportation alone.

    We manage such feats for centuries before we had cars, there is no
    reason that society could not go back to a car free model if the need
    arose. Sure there'd be transitional pain but society's not going to die
    if we lose the motor car.

    Society somehow survived the French Revolution, the Bolsheviks, the
    Cultural Revolution, the Kmer Rouge etc too, but lots of ordinary
    people didn't....

    Ever read about the life of the pioneers, back when getting sick
    outside of horse riding distance from a doctor meant death and going
    anywhere was a long and dangerous journey, when explorers tended to die
    in the middle of deserts and people went into the Blue Mountains, never
    to come out?

    Not for me, thanks.

    What we really need right now is a nuclear fusion reactor, to produce
    virtually unlimited cheap energy with negligible pollution and low
    risk, to provide the power necessary for charging up whatever energy
    storage devices we'll be running our electric cars off (batteries,
    hydrogen fuel cells, suped up capacitors etc).

    But until we get that, a sensible compromise solution which maximises
    efficient use of the available technology today is the way to go.
    Policies to encourage mass transit and human powered transport where
    possible are of course worthwhile and politicians should be made aware
    that these are issues that we consider to be important.

    Travis

  7. quote='Travis'Euan said:

    Travis wrote:

    We manage such feats for centuries before we had cars, there is no
    reason that society could not go back to a car free model if the need
    arose. Sure there'd be transitional pain but society's not going to die
    if we lose the motor car.

    Society somehow survived the French Revolution, the Bolsheviks, the
    Cultural Revolution, the Kmer Rouge etc too, but lots of ordinary
    people didn't....
    Travis[/QUOTE]

    what would all the bogons do ?? with drag competitions and being able to drive around cruising ?? They could well armed militia and start inciting civil anarchy !

    just imagine Chapel Street, everybody cruising by on bikes with stereos attached to the back.

  8. MikeyOz said:


    just imagine Chapel Street, everybody cruising by on bikes with stereos attached to the back.

    bit like Sydney Rd will be today! 😄

    cyclovia.orgcyclovia.org

  9. Travis said:
    Euan said:
    Travis said:

    Since an entirely car free society isn't really possible, its marginal
    costs which are more relevant. You just can't get a load of wheat from
    the farm to a flour mill using bicycle transportation alone.

    We manage such feats for centuries before we had cars, there is no
    reason that society could not go back to a car free model if the need
    arose. Sure there'd be transitional pain but society's not going to die
    if we lose the motor car.

    Society somehow survived the French Revolution, the Bolsheviks, the
    Cultural Revolution, the Kmer Rouge etc too, but lots of ordinary
    people didn't....

    Which is why I said `society' and not `people'. Oh look, I even said
    there's `be transitional pain.'

    Quoted message said:

    Ever read about the life of the pioneers, back when getting sick
    outside of horse riding distance from a doctor meant death and going
    anywhere was a long and dangerous journey, when explorers tended to die
    in the middle of deserts and people went into the Blue Mountains, never
    to come out?

    Your point? Explorers still die today precisely because they are
    exploring. Explorers try to set out equipped for the challenge but do
    occaisionlly fail. Nothing's changed there.

    Quoted message said:

    What we really need right now is a nuclear fusion reactor, to produce
    virtually unlimited cheap energy with negligible pollution and low
    risk, to provide the power necessary for charging up whatever energy
    storage devices we'll be running our electric cars off (batteries,
    hydrogen fuel cells, suped up capacitors etc).

    I'd prefer to concentrate on solutions using existing technology. If
    someone invents a technology that allows us to continue our currently
    unsustainable way of life then fine. I'd rather not gamble the future
    on what might happen.

    Quoted message said:

    But until we get that, a sensible compromise solution which maximises
    efficient use of the available technology today is the way to go.
    Policies to encourage mass transit and human powered transport where
    possible are of course worthwhile and politicians should be made aware
    that these are issues that we consider to be important.

    Agreed.
    --
    Cheers | ~~ __@
    Euan | ~~ _-\<,
    Melbourne, Australia | ~ (*)/ (*)

  10. In aus.bicycle on Sat, 27 May 2006 23:42:58 GMT

    Euan said:
    Travis said:

    Ever read about the life of the pioneers, back when getting sick
    outside of horse riding distance from a doctor meant death and going
    anywhere was a long and dangerous journey, when explorers tended to die
    in the middle of deserts and people went into the Blue Mountains, never
    to come out?

    Your point? Explorers still die today precisely because they are
    exploring. Explorers try to set out equipped for the challenge but do
    occaisionlly fail. Nothing's changed there.

    You noted the explorers, but missed the doctor....

    If there's very little motor transport, there's very little motor
    transport suitable road.

    How quickly do you want an ambulance, and what do you want it equipped
    with?

    Zebee

  11. Zebee Johnstone said:

    In aus.bicycle on Sat, 27 May 2006 23:42:58 GMT

    Euan said:
    Travis said:

    Ever read about the life of the pioneers, back when getting sick
    outside of horse riding distance from a doctor meant death and going
    anywhere was a long and dangerous journey, when explorers tended to die
    in the middle of deserts and people went into the Blue Mountains, never
    to come out?

    Your point? Explorers still die today precisely because they are
    exploring. Explorers try to set out equipped for the challenge but do
    occaisionlly fail. Nothing's changed there.

    You noted the explorers, but missed the doctor....

    So today we have ready access to doctors, ambulances etc.. It wasn't
    always so and may not always be. Society will survive or mutate in to
    another society, the human race will adapt as it has before.

    Quoted message said:

    If there's very little motor transport, there's very little motor
    transport suitable road.

    And not much suitable for road bikes either in all liilihood.

    Quoted message said:

    How quickly do you want an ambulance, and what do you want it equipped
    with?

    As quick as current technology allows obviously. We don't always get
    what we want though, do we?
    --
    Cheers | ~~ __@
    Euan | ~~ _-\<,
    Melbourne, Australia | ~ (*)/ (*)

  12. Travis said:

    What we really need right now is a nuclear fusion reactor

    Or even better, cheaper solar energy conversion, since that would be less
    likely to increase global temperatures. Being a bit parochial, I also like
    the idea that Australia could become a significant solar energy exporter.

    Of course there could be social issues related to cycling even if our energy
    sources and vehicles were so efficient that we did not have to worry about
    petrol costs or pollution.

    People travelling everywhere in tiny, super=efficient cars (plastic bugs?)
    could still have accidents so the road toll probably won't vanish. Lack of
    exercise could still be a problem. And those who exercise by cycling will
    run the risk of being sideswiped by a plastic bug driver.

    Cheers,

    Vince

  13. Zebee Johnstone said:


    You noted the explorers, but missed the doctor....

    If there's very little motor transport, there's very little motor
    transport suitable road.

    Roads may not have tar surfaces, but bicycle travel will be able to continue
    on more basic roads and tracks. Remember Australia's rural bicycle boom in
    the 1890s predated good rural roads by at least two decades. Arthur
    Richardson first rode across the Nullarbor in 1896. There was no road link.

    Quoted message said:

    How quickly do you want an ambulance, and what do you want it equipped
    with?

    Maybe we'll focus on using our highly developed medical skills to provide
    more local, 'grass-roots' health care. Like getting people to lead a more
    active lifestyle, ensuring most people can practise first aid. Accidents
    will always happen, but with less cars on the roads and more compact towns
    the distance/time to get medical assistance need not be worse. One would
    hope we will conserve our scarce energy resources for essential services,
    like providing for medical care, fire fighting, police etc

    --
    Cheers
    Peter

    ~~~ ~ _@
    ~~ ~ _- \,
    ~~ (*)/ (*)

  14. MikeyOz said:

    what would all the bogons do ?? with drag competitions and being able to drive around cruising ?? They could well armed militia and start inciting civil anarchy !

    just imagine Chapel Street, everybody cruising by on bikes with stereos attached to the back.

    Lowrider culture would go viral?!?

    BTW - have a giggle at this:

    Let's all buy a bicycle and break our leg
    http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/5/26/231530/721

    {mild sarcasm}Don Young's got it all wrong, it's collarbone + ribs. {/mild sarcasm}

  15. Euan said:

    I guess that all depends on how you define marginal.

    I'm using marginal in the sense I used it in the first paragraph, which is
    to say "something affected by a change in what I can vary". While I'm
    bundling the cost of accidents, etc. in as a fixed cost, it does depend to
    an extent on the number of km travelled. However, it's not necessarily
    directly proportional, unlike fuel.

    I'd also suggest you're in a relative minority in your ability to not have
    a car. For a lot of people in the 'burbs their lifestyle is built so much
    around having a car that ditching one is hard - you're too far from
    shops/work a lot of the time. It'd be manageable, but it's a lot easier in
    the inner suburbs where walking is a possibility.

    --
    Dave Hughes | [email hidden]
    "...and Trogdor smote the kerrek. And all was laid to burnination."
    - Strongbad

  16. On 2006-05-28, Random Data (aka Bruce)
    was almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea:

    Quoted message said:

    I'd also suggest you're in a relative minority in your ability to not have
    a car. For a lot of people in the 'burbs their lifestyle is built so much
    around having a car that ditching one is hard - you're too far from
    shops/work a lot of the time. It'd be manageable, but it's a lot easier in
    the inner suburbs where walking is a possibility.

    Bellushi. I'm too far from anything interesting, and hence don't walk
    anywhere; I use the bike for everything. Hence, my walking muscles
    atrophied 4 years ago.

    So much pain every few years when I find myself at a two week long
    conference.

    --
    TimC
    There's only one way to better your memory. Everytime you forget
    something, poke your brain with a stick. That'll teach it. -- Ash

  17. "Random Data" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Euan said:

    I guess that all depends on how you define marginal.

    I'm using marginal in the sense I used it in the first paragraph, which is
    to say "something affected by a change in what I can vary". While I'm
    bundling the cost of accidents, etc. in as a fixed cost, it does depend to
    an extent on the number of km travelled. However, it's not necessarily
    directly proportional, unlike fuel.

    I'd also suggest you're in a relative minority in your ability to not have
    a car. For a lot of people in the 'burbs their lifestyle is built so much
    around having a car that ditching one is hard - you're too far from
    shops/work a lot of the time. It'd be manageable, but it's a lot easier in
    the inner suburbs where walking is a possibility.

    --


    It doesn't have to be an all or nothng exercise. (I keep finding myself
    using that sentence) My girlfriend owns a car. So we are a household with
    two adults and one car which remains in the driveway most days. Now granted
    we're not way out in the burbs (West Footscray) but our distance from the
    city doesn't dictate how we do or do not use the car. She works in Prahran
    and I work in East Kew so our commutes are notably further than the distance
    we live from the city. Neither of us drive to work. When I was living in the
    outer eastern suburbs (Ferntree Gully, Croydon) it would not have been any
    more difficult to live without a car than it would be for me now. We use a
    car, but only when we need it and that's fairly seldom. Generally it comes
    down to a need to cart stuff. We're neither of us particularly fit.
    (although it would seem that we're better than most) So I'd be prepared to
    suggest that ditching one of two cars in the two car family and replacing
    the other car with something less landbargish would be perfectly feasible.
    Oh, and for those of you who were suggesting that a large car is neccessary
    in order to use a baby capsule, I quite easily fitted and used a current
    standards compliant baby capsule in a '98 3 door Hyundai Excel hatch the
    other day. So when my girlfriend and I have a child we're not going to need
    to change that car.

  18. Random Data said:

    I'd also suggest you're in a relative minority in your ability to not have
    a car. For a lot of people in the 'burbs their lifestyle is built so much
    around having a car that ditching one is hard - you're too far from
    shops/work a lot of the time. It'd be manageable, but it's a lot easier in
    the inner suburbs where walking is a possibility.

    Dingley Village is classified as the inner burbs? I work in the CBD,
    it's 30kms each way. In peak hour the time taken to ride can be quicker
    than the time taken to drive.
    --
    Cheers | ~~ __@
    Euan | ~~ _-\<,
    Melbourne, Australia | ~ (*)/ (*)

  19. TimC said:

    Bellushi. I'm too far from anything interesting, and hence don't walk
    anywhere; I use the bike for everything. Hence, my walking muscles
    atrophied 4 years ago.

    OK, I'll withdraw the distance comment *in part*. We're about 25km from
    the CBD, with one car and two small kids, and get weird looks from
    neighbours and coworkers. Resound probably expressed it best as coming
    down to needing to cart stuff. We'd have to do a lot more shopping trips,
    since stocking up once or twice a week becomes too hard. We've got a bike
    trailer, but even the local shops is a killer uphill, and we're
    approaching the weight limit of the trailer with just kids. I doubt my
    wife could tow the trailer with both kids up the hill.

    The convenience of being able to jump in the car and easily transport two
    kids + shopping and assorted [censored] means we're not going to do without any
    time soon. In the inner city we'd be able to walk and use a pram/backpack
    without too much trouble. And we're probably better off public transport
    wise than a huge number of Sydney siders.

    --
    Dave Hughes | [email hidden]
    "It's 106 miles to Chicago, we've got a full tank of gas, half a pack
    of cigarettes, it's dark, and we're wearing sunglasses" - Elwood Blues

  20. On 2006-05-28, Euan (aka Bruce)
    was almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea:

    Quoted message said:
    Random Data said:

    I'd also suggest you're in a relative minority in your ability to not have
    a car. For a lot of people in the 'burbs their lifestyle is built so much
    around having a car that ditching one is hard - you're too far from
    shops/work a lot of the time. It'd be manageable, but it's a lot easier in
    the inner suburbs where walking is a possibility.

    Dingley Village is classified as the inner burbs? I work in the CBD,
    it's 30kms each way. In peak hour the time taken to ride can be quicker
    than the time taken to drive.

    Yeah, but you have a car in the family. So presumably, you do less
    shopping on the bike than you otherwise would have to if you had to go
    shopping for you and SusieB on the bike.

    I forgot that my own shopping does require a bit of juggling if I want
    to get it on the way home instead of climbing back up that hill
    unnecessarily (to those who say I should look forward to getting on
    the bike more, I say bah -- give me more hours in the day dammit). I
    have to plan ahead if I want to get both icecream and a lettuce (the
    icecream always wins). And I have to go shopping every second day,
    most of the time. And that's just for me and the little furry buggers
    (the icecream also wins out of the furry bugger food and litter).

    --
    TimC
    hey Beavis, we're segfaulting, heh heh heh, I know, Butthead, so let's
    SIGBUS from inside the handler, heh heh heh --Stephen J. Turnbull

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