"Benjamin Weiner" <[email hidden]> wrote in message "]news:[email hidden]...
Quoted message said:Andy Coggan said:Supposedly he did the yeoman's duty expected of him during the TTT.
Quoted message said:BTW, one of the most telling observations I've seen is somebody's report that Armstrong was only
pulling for ~30 s at a time during the TTT, vs.
~40
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:s for Ekimov and a whopping full minute for the resurgent Hincapie. Not exactly what you'd
expect if Armstrong had the form of previous years...
Armstrong did do a faster prologue than Eki, Hincapie, and about 180 other people, you think his
form fell off between then and the TTT?
No, I think that human performance varies a little bit day-to-day, such that you might beat somebody
in the prologue yet not be as strong as they are on the day of the TTT. However, if you were
markedly superior to somebody else, even on a bad day (e.g., TTT) you'd still be ripping their legs
off. It certainly doesn't sound like that was the case, as you might have expected in years past.
Look at it this way: Armstrong wanted that TTT win badly, and could benefit tremendously from any
time he could put into his rivals...so if he were really stronger than e.g., Hincapie, why wasn't he
the one taking the monster pulls, especially towards the end as they were overhauling ONCE's splits?
I think that Armstrong is getting older and slowing down, but is still good enough overall (climbing
and TTing) to win the TdF, although possibly/probably without winning a single stage (excepting the
*team* time trial).
Another prediction: the Armstrong of 2003 couldn't take the hour record away from Boardman even if
he tried (which he won't).
Andy Coggan