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For Landis : Dr Davis

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Road Cycling
Published
23 May 2007
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25 May 2007
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Sandy
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  1. Authoratative in is presentation, he didn't nibble away at the LNDD lab - he
    did his best to savage it. At very least, he offered a position one could
    take to discredit the results and physical procedures at that lab.

    But there is something a little disturbing, which can be read two ways.

    His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths appear, as I
    see it.

    First, that if the new instrumentation, software, procedures are all the
    latest in the state of the art, and the older generation instruments are now
    antiques, less reliable too, then the Test B protocol is no better than
    informative, but not conclusive, even if properly performed. Everyone
    agrees that Test A is unsatisfactory, as it will not identify certain doping
    methods. Now, Test B is called into question in the overall scheme. As I
    have posited before, both methodologies are suspect, there is variation
    between WADA labs on the precise procedures which constitute good practice.

    What's the panel to do????? Not an easy task, but one clear avenue is to
    discard the entire set of findings on Landis, as the WADA and UCI rules of
    finding a violation is not supported by a clear scientific consensus. The
    more likely route is to allow this in as evidence of performance of the
    proper tests, and more or less properly, but give it limited NOT irrebutable
    weight in proof of doping.

    What then ????? Then, one is left with the testimony of everyone _except_
    the academics, and you have to look at Landis' _conduct_ to be
    determinative. Conduct as he himself testified, as well as circumstantial
    evidence from other lay witnesses. Also, the testimony of Joe Papp can be
    given limited weight to show that doping is done, the kind of product in
    question is in common use, and even Landis stated that he searched the
    internet to learn about the effects of various doping products.

    I think this has turned out to be a very hard case. Most of all, in my
    mind, it will need to rest on what Landis proposed himself - you can believe
    him or not. If anything, I see this arb as having arrived at exactly the
    right issue to be resolved. If UCI loses, and appeals to TAS, and wins
    reversal on the basis of all the technical testimony, then we know that WADA
    is, unequivocally, an evil. But we already knew that.
    --
    Bonne route !

    Sandy
    Verneuil-sur-Seine FR

  2. RicodJour said:
    Sandy said:


    Everyone
    agrees that Test A is unsatisfactory, as it will not identify certain doping
    methods. Now, Test B is called into question in the overall scheme. As I
    have posited before, both methodologies are suspect, there is variation
    between WADA labs on the precise procedures which constitute good practice.

    What's the panel to do?????

    WWKSD? What Would King Solomon Do?

    Cut Landis in half, suspend the guilty half and let the clean half
    ride.

    Which half gets the good hip?

    Ron

  3. Sandy said:

    His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths appear, as I
    see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the shelf.
    His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo testing
    and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a lab
    machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old machine
    and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the effort and
    justify the risk.

    Curtis L. Russell
    Odenton, MD (USA)
    Just someone on two wheels...

  4. On 23 May 2007 05:02:39 -0700, RicodJour <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    WWKSD? What Would King Solomon Do?

    Cut Landis in half, suspend the guilty half and let the clean half
    ride.

    R

    Only works if his real mother is in the audience. Keep to the story
    line.

    Curtis L. Russell
    Odenton, MD (USA)
    Just someone on two wheels...

  5. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:
    Sandy said:

    His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths appear, as I
    see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the shelf.
    His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo testing
    and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a lab
    machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old machine
    and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the effort and
    justify the risk.

    Is semi-quack engineering more or less common among medical guys than in
    other enterprises?

    But yeah, for all the reasons indicated in this case, I think that
    automating any routine test is probably the way to go, as much as
    possible. Process control and all that.

    --
    Ryan Cousineau [email hidden] http://www.wiredcola.com/
    "I don't want kids who are thinking about going into mathematics
    to think that they have to take drugs to succeed." -Paul Erdos

  6. Ryan Cousineau said:

    Is semi-quack engineering more or less common among medical guys than in
    other enterprises?

    More. As is their maths, just ask REChung.

    --
    E. Dronkert

  7. Ewoud Dronkert said:

    maths, just ask REChung.

    Whose name, btw, is just one letter shy of maths (sort of) in German.

    --
    E. Dronkert

  8. On Wed, 23 May 2007 13:45:42 GMT, Ryan Cousineau <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    Is semi-quack engineering more or less common among medical guys than in
    other enterprises?

    It took two months and two visits for our last robot to be cleared for
    use. At our end. Same for the one before that. The robots had to be
    certified for the processes that we use them for; then we had to show
    that we had the processes and personnel to run them. Doubt that a
    certified lab has much room for quack engineering.

    Now there are labs that have relationships that permit them to stray
    later - like a local lab here in Baltimore that was a captive for a
    hospital and didn't stay up to snuff. OTOH, if you are in the open
    marketplace, you have to maintain marketplace recognized
    certifications, and that doesn't really leave you a lot of room to run
    quack engineering or quack processes. You and the machines get tested
    regularly and you have to score in the upper fractions of the upper
    percentile to keep the certs. Everyone does.

    I'm always personally most suspicious of labs that have cozy
    relationships as their predominant market. The less open the market,
    IMO the less scrutiny and the more chance for drift.

    Curtis L. Russell
    Odenton, MD (USA)
    Just someone on two wheels...

  9. I counter that Papp's testimony shows that Testoserone & al. really have a
    limited effect. He clearly did not become a superstar because of superior
    Pharms. Until they could show that he was a middling Cat II when he
    discovered the chemically enhanced benefits would I believe he helped the
    USADA.

    Quoted message said:

    As for the testimony of Joe Papp, well, is he any better as a witness of
    the state of performance enhancement than the aspiring pro who posted
    here about his kenacort problem? I know they just brought him in to
    counter the "T is a useless drug for instant performance" assertion from
    the Landis side, but while it's one thing if you've got Dr. Puffinstuff
    declaring that he did a proper study with 10 athletes, and found out
    that testosterone doping was like rocket fuel you could drink, but if
    the most compelling evidence you can find is Joe Papp, nearly-pro rider,
    who has apparently ridden in "multi-day stage races like the Tour de
    France" (what, the Giro, the Vuelta, some other 21-day tour I haven't
    heard about? RAAM?), then I begin to wonder if you don't have a very
    good case on that point.

    http://www.joepapp.com/index.php?page=detailsnews&element=219

    Oh dear heavens. Papp is Kenacort Guy:

    "During the Landis hearing, Papp acknowledged systematically doping
    under the guidance of medical professionals in the United States, Europe
    and Latin America. He admitted to using at various times EPO, HGH,
    cortisone, insulin, thyroid hormone, anabolic steroids and amphetamines"

    Aren't insulin and cortisone like the two-fer of drugs for dumb athletes?

    Looking into the heart or soul of Landis would seem to be a bit outside
    of the purview of this hearing, but I'm not a member of the AAA. or AA.
    I'm an enemy of Bill W.

    Also, and this has now gone from tangent to personal dissing, but can
    anyone please explain the case of Joe Papp's missing wife? Like any
    red-blooded American (note clever Joe Papp riding-the-Tour elision!) I
    think Hugo Chavez is the devil, but if she was hiding in Venezuela, what
    thing was preventing her from traveling to Europe, or the US, or for
    that matter, just to Brazil? As far as I know, the country's borders are
    still open, along with its airports.

    --
    Ryan Cousineau [email hidden] http://www.wiredcola.com/
    "I don't want kids who are thinking about going into mathematics
    to think that they have to take drugs to succeed." -Paul Erdos

  10. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:
    Sandy said:

    His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths appear, as I
    see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the shelf.
    His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo testing
    and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a lab
    machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old machine
    and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the effort and
    justify the risk.

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm thinking of the
    test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of questions raised about that one
    for me when they guy who created it said that he didn't need to do tests for false
    positives, let alone demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in positive results
    than good results.

    --
    tanx,
    Howard

    Never take a tenant with a monkey.

    remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok?

  11. Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    Howard Kveck <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:
    Sandy said:

    His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths
    appear, as I see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the
    shelf. His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo
    testing and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a
    lab machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old
    machine and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the
    effort and justify the risk.

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm
    thinking of the test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of
    questions raised about that one for me when they guy who created it
    said that he didn't need to do tests for false positives, let alone
    demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in
    positive results than good results.

    I find it amusing to speculate what would ensue, should a lot of labs fail
    to find positive samples in any cases over a substantial period of time.
    Would WADA claim that the stuff is there, but deviously masked from
    detection ? A certain GWB tried that approach in a different context. It
    could never be, in that scenario, that there was simply no doping going on.
    --
    Bonne route !

    Sandy
    Verneuil-sur-Seine FR

  12. RicodJour said:

    http://www.hrgiger.com/barmuseum.htm

    You know, just yesterday we were talking at work how, in the context
    of music, something can be in such bad taste it becomes beautiful
    again. I was against that notion and I still am.

    --
    E. Dronkert

  13. Howard Kveck said:

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm thinking of the
    test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of questions raised about that one
    for me when they guy who created it said that he didn't need to do tests for false
    positives, let alone demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in positive results
    than good results.

    Well, procedures do have to go through certification, of course. The
    acceptable margin of error and the protocol for retesting varies based
    on the possible consequences of positives, negatives, false positives
    and false negatives. If you have a procedure to check to see if a
    person is overly sensitive to Wayfarin, you tend to retest even at
    high levels of confidence.

    OTOH, since they do it before prescribing, most of your errors will go
    away rather quickly...

    Curtis L. Russell
    Odenton, MD (USA)
    Just someone on two wheels...

  14. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Sandy said:

    Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    Howard Kveck <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:

    On Wed, 23 May 2007 11:32:25 +0200, "Sandy" <[email hidden]> wrote:

    > His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    > manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    > Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    > participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths
    > appear, as I see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the
    shelf. His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo
    testing and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a
    lab machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old
    machine and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the
    effort and justify the risk.

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm
    thinking of the test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of
    questions raised about that one for me when they guy who created it
    said that he didn't need to do tests for false positives, let alone
    demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in
    positive results than good results.

    I find it amusing to speculate what would ensue, should a lot of labs fail
    to find positive samples in any cases over a substantial period of time.
    Would WADA claim that the stuff is there, but deviously masked from
    detection ?

    Yes, they would be correct, and were they to express the notion
    equably they would attract sympathy from people who are not
    looking for scapegoats.

    --
    Michael Press

  15. Michael Press said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,

    Sandy said:

    Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    Howard Kveck <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,
    Curtis L. Russell <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > On Wed, 23 May 2007 11:32:25 +0200, "Sandy" <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    >> His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    >> manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    >> Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    >> participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths
    >> appear, as I see it.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the
    > shelf. His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo
    > testing and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a
    > lab machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    > anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    > for a test already being performed has to believe that the old
    > machine and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the
    > effort and justify the risk.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm
    thinking of the test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of
    questions raised about that one for me when they guy who created it
    said that he didn't need to do tests for false positives, let alone
    demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in
    positive results than good results.

    Quoted message said:

    I find it amusing to speculate what would ensue, should a lot of labs fail
    to find positive samples in any cases over a substantial period of time.
    Would WADA claim that the stuff is there, but deviously masked from
    detection ?

    Yes, they would be correct, and were they to express the notion
    equably they would attract sympathy from people who are not
    looking for scapegoats.

    --
    Michael Press- Hide quoted text -

    - Show quoted text -

    Except they'd lose their Wada certification in a heartbeat and Pound
    would be accusing them of enabling and assisting the dopers.
    Bill C

  16. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:
    Howard Kveck said:

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm thinking of
    the test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of questions raised about
    that one for me when they guy who created it said that he didn't need to do tests
    for false positives, let alone demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for
    Pound, as it showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in
    positive results than good results.

    Well, procedures do have to go through certification, of course. The
    acceptable margin of error and the protocol for retesting varies based
    on the possible consequences of positives, negatives, false positives
    and false negatives. If you have a procedure to check to see if a
    person is overly sensitive to Wayfarin, you tend to retest even at
    high levels of confidence.

    Yeah, I believe that's how it works in "real life" situations but it really didn't
    seem to be the way I recall them (and the guy who is credited with being behind the
    Aussie EPO blood test in particular) talking about that procedure. The way they did
    it seemed less than optimal to me.

    Quoted message said:

    OTOH, since they do it before prescribing, most of your errors will go
    away rather quickly...

    Yeah, go away in a big way.

    --
    tanx,
    Howard

    Never take a tenant with a monkey.

    remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok?

  17. In article <[email hidden]>, "Sandy" <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:

    Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    Howard Kveck <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,

    Curtis L. Russell said:

    On Wed, 23 May 2007 11:32:25 +0200, "Sandy" <[email hidden]> wrote:

    > His testimony included the fact that he is currently designing,
    > manufacturing and selling a still better instrument. Just like Dr
    > Meier-Augenstein. There is a good deal of self-interest in their
    > participation in this arb. What can one conclude ? Two paths
    > appear, as I see it.

    A bit, but it isn't like cereal, make a claim and put it on the
    shelf. His machine will have to be demonstrably better, and undergo
    testing and certification. You don't put $ 50,000 or more out for a
    lab machine without proof. And I could easily take the position that
    anyone that sets about the effort and process of designing a machine
    for a test already being performed has to believe that the old
    machine and process is flawed and inaccurate enough to warrant the
    effort and justify the risk.

    I think that should appy to procedures as well as machines. I'm
    thinking of the test that WADA is using for EPO. There were a lot of
    questions raised about that one for me when they guy who created it
    said that he didn't need to do tests for false positives, let alone
    demonstrate how it worked. But that seemed fine for Pound, as it
    showed the results that he wanted. He seems far more interested in
    positive results than good results.

    I find it amusing to speculate what would ensue, should a lot of labs fail
    to find positive samples in any cases over a substantial period of time.
    Would WADA claim that the stuff is there, but deviously masked from
    detection ? A certain GWB tried that approach in a different context. It
    could never be, in that scenario, that there was simply no doping going on.

    I think that's about what Pound has been implying all along.

    --
    tanx,
    Howard

    Never take a tenant with a monkey.

    remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok?

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