Do any of you know of any quantitative relationship between temperature and marathon finish time. For example, if you finish in 6 hrs when the temperature ranged between 80 and 90+ degrees F (LA marathon) what can you expect for a future race when the temperature ranges between 50 and 70 degrees F or 40 and 60 degrees F with no other changes?
"sms" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...
Quoted message said:
Do any of you know of any quantitative relationship between temperature and marathon finish time. For example, if you finish in 6 hrs when the temperature ranged between 80 and 90+ degrees F (LA marathon) what can you expect for a future race when the temperature ranges between 50 and 70 degrees F or 40 and 60 degrees F with no other changes?
No other changes? How are you going to guarantee that?
I would have said that, for a distance race, especially a road race, especially a marathon there are too many other factors (course, wind, and the most important, fitness) that would make meaningful results impossible to extrapolate.
One dark day on Usenet, "sms" <[email hidden]> said news:kr4Fc.175117 [email hidden]:
Quoted message said:
Do any of you know of any quantitative relationship between temperature and marathon finish time. For example, if you finish in 6 hrs when the temperature ranged between 80 and 90+ degrees F (LA marathon) what can you expect for a future race when the temperature ranges between 50 and 70 degrees F or 40 and 60 degrees F with no other changes?
Steve S.
I pretty mutch agree with Edward. Since a 6 hour marathon is about a 13:45/mi pace (fast walking pace), I would think that if you could manage to run the whole way, that would reduce the time dramatically. One of Bob Glover's rules of thumb is you can count on an increase of one second per mile per degree above 60. His rules of thumb are overly simplistic, but surprisingly accurate. Accuracy may go down due to other factors in the marathon.
Phil M.
-- The essential thing in life is not so much conquering as fighting well.
Baron De Coubertin, founder of the modern Olympic Games
There are too many variables to make this kind of analysis. Some people run better in the heat, some run better in the cold.
"sms" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<kr4Fc.175117$Gx4.71237@bgtnsc04- news.ops.worldnet.att.net>...
Quoted message said:
Do any of you know of any quantitative relationship between temperature and marathon finish time. For example, if you finish in 6 hrs when the temperature ranged between 80 and 90+ degrees F (LA marathon) what can you expect for a future race when the temperature ranges between 50 and 70 degrees F or 40 and 60 degrees F with no other changes?
There are too many variables to make this kind of analysis.
True
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Some people run better in the heat, some run better in the cold.
No way. Heat slows you down substantially. Cold doesn't (well at least not until you get well below zero fahrenheit). You're almost certainly going to run a faster time in the cold, the only question is how much faster. Most of my friends who did Boston this year (for example) were off their bests by 15 minutes or more.
"Phil M." <[email hidden]> wrote in message "]news:[email hidden]...
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One dark day on Usenet, "sms" <[email hidden]> said news:kr4Fc.175117 $Gx4.71237@bgtnsc04- news.ops.worldnet.att.net:
Quoted message said:
Do any of you know of any quantitative relationship between temperature and marathon finish time. For example, if you finish in 6 hrs when the temperature ranged between 80 and 90+ degrees F (LA marathon) what can you expect for a future race when the temperature ranges between 50 and 70 degrees F or 40 and 60 degrees F with no other changes?
Steve S.
I pretty mutch agree with Edward. Since a 6 hour marathon is about a 13:45/mi pace (fast walking pace), I would think that if you could manage to run the whole way, that would reduce the time dramatically. One of Bob Glover's rules of thumb is you can count on an increase of one second per mile per degree above 60. His rules of thumb are overly simplistic, but surprisingly accurate. Accuracy may go down due to other factors in the marathon.
Phil M.
Simplistic, but David Martin (author of "Better Training for Distance Runners"😉 figured that out using race performances. Not the best way to do it, but the only practical way.
"Donovan Rebbechi" <[email hidden]> wrote in message "]news:[email hidden]...
Quoted message said:
John B. said:
There are too many variables to make this kind of analysis.
True
Quoted message said:
Some people run better in the heat, some run better in the cold.
No way. Heat slows you down substantially. Cold doesn't (well at least not until you get well below zero fahrenheit). You're almost certainly going
to run
Quoted message said:
a faster time in the cold, the only question is how much faster. Most of
my
Quoted message said:
friends who did Boston this year (for example) were off their bests by 15 minutes or more.
Some people do prefer heat, that being said I'm not one of them. I definitely run better in cool or cold weather. Our coach who has a 2:19 PR in Boston was asked by many why he wasn't running when we were there this year because it was "his kind of weather". Another woman on our team is also an example of this. My wife and this woman usually finish within a minute of each other in Marathons they have both participated in. She beat my wife by 15 minutes in Boston this past year and had a better time than in 2003 when it was cooler. There are other factors besides the temperature, the humidity levels and wind have to be taken in account too. If there had been high humidity I don't think I would have gotten to the finish at Boston without assistance.
One dark day on Usenet, Donovan Rebbechi <[email hidden]> said :"]news:[email hidden]:
Quoted message said:
John B. said:
There are too many variables to make this kind of analysis.
True
Quoted message said:
Some people run better in the heat, some run better in the cold.
No way. Heat slows you down substantially. Cold doesn't (well at least not until you get well below zero fahrenheit). You're almost certainly going to run a faster time in the cold, the only question is how much faster. Most of my friends who did Boston this year (for example) were off their bests by 15 minutes or more.
I think he meant some people run better than other people in the heat.
Phil M.
-- The essential thing in life is not so much conquering as fighting well.
Baron De Coubertin, founder of the modern Olympic Games