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Distribution of frame sizes?

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3 November 2005
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  1. Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    Thanks!

    Joseph

  2. Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    Thanks!

    Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    in the moiddle, of course.

    20-56cm
    10-52cm
    5-58
    3-60
    5-50
    3-48
    6-54

    or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.

    Quoted message said:

    Joseph

  3. Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    1. Main question is how many of the potential riders will be women? A
    correct answer to this would kind of answer the sizing question all by
    itself. For normal road riding, its about 4-5 men per 1 woman. For
    spinning people, it may be a higher percentage of women riders. Thus
    necessitating far more small bikes.

    2. For men only, I'd make a bell curve with the 54 or 56 in the
    center. And then I'd probably skew the bell curve towards the smaller
    sizes.

    3. Are these going to be road bikes with drop handlebars? Or upright
    hybrid bikes with flat handlebars? If hybrid, it probably does not
    make much difference what sizes you get since you pretty much sit bolt
    upright on any size hybrid.

  4. Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    1. Main question is how many of the potential riders will be women? A
    correct answer to this would kind of answer the sizing question all by
    itself. For normal road riding, its about 4-5 men per 1 woman. For
    spinning people, it may be a higher percentage of women riders. Thus
    necessitating far more small bikes.

    2. For men only, I'd make a bell curve with the 54 or 56 in the
    center. And then I'd probably skew the bell curve towards the smaller
    sizes.

    3. Are these going to be road bikes with drop handlebars? Or upright
    hybrid bikes with flat handlebars? If hybrid, it probably does not
    make much difference what sizes you get since you pretty much sit bolt
    upright on any size hybrid.

    Good point about the male-female ratio. I guess I should get curves for
    each, then mix based on more info from the guy. Ideally I'd get
    measurmens on all the members of the club, but that isn't an option.

    These are road bikes with drops, and part of the reason for not going
    to S, M, L bikes is to be able to really dial in the fit. The idea is
    to make some road riders out of these folks, and getting them proper
    fit is essential to giving them the full experience. It also has to do
    with the deal with the supplier, of course.

    Joseph

  5. Qui si parla Campagnolo said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    Thanks!

    Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    in the moiddle, of course.

    20-56cm
    10-52cm
    5-58
    3-60
    5-50
    3-48
    6-54

    or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.

    Quoted message said:

    Joseph

    The statistics on leg length give a mean of 96cm for a male 20yr or
    older. The SD is about 4.5cm. This isn't stand over height but the sum
    of knee height and upper leg length. If you scale this to an average
    male frame of 57cm, then the SD becomes about 1.7cm.

    These measurements follow a normal distribution, so for men you will
    need about 12% 60cm, 38% 58cm, 38% 56cm, 10% 54cm, and 2% 52cm.
    Assuming an average of 53cm for women, you will need about 2% 58cm, 10%
    56cm, 38% 54cm, 38% 52cm, 10% 51cm and 2% 50cm.

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    The problem, of course, is what is the ratio of men to women. Guess
    wrong and you will have mud on your face.

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

  6. Bob Wheeler said:
    Qui si parla Campagnolo said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    Thanks!

    Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    in the moiddle, of course.

    20-56cm
    10-52cm
    5-58
    3-60
    5-50
    3-48
    6-54

    or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.

    Quoted message said:

    Joseph

    The statistics on leg length give a mean of 96cm for a male 20yr or
    older. The SD is about 4.5cm. This isn't stand over height but the sum
    of knee height and upper leg length. If you scale this to an average
    male frame of 57cm, then the SD becomes about 1.7cm.

    These measurements follow a normal distribution, so for men you will
    need about 12% 60cm, 38% 58cm, 38% 56cm, 10% 54cm, and 2% 52cm.
    Assuming an average of 53cm for women, you will need about 2% 58cm, 10%
    56cm, 38% 54cm, 38% 52cm, 10% 51cm and 2% 50cm.

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    The problem, of course, is what is the ratio of men to women. Guess
    wrong and you will have mud on your face.

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

    Sounds good to me, but what stand-over do you suppose this 96cm
    corresponds to? If I knew that I could apply our standard sizing
    formula. How did you arrive at 57cm?

    This is quite interesting. Where did you get the statistical info on
    leg length? I have been curious for a while about this topic. In
    figuring out things about my seating position, I have come across
    statements like "If you have long thighs, you should do foo, otherwise
    do bar." How do I know if I have long thighs? Sounds like your source
    may be the answer!

    Joseph

  7. You need to consider how the frame is measured. For example, Trek sizing
    is around 3cm bigger than LeMond sizing.

  8. Quoted message said:

    Good point about the male-female ratio. I guess I should get curves for
    each, then mix based on more info from the guy. Ideally I'd get
    measurmens on all the members of the club, but that isn't an option.

    These are road bikes with drops, and part of the reason for not going
    to S, M, L bikes is to be able to really dial in the fit. The idea is
    to make some road riders out of these folks, and getting them proper
    fit is essential to giving them the full experience. It also has to do
    with the deal with the supplier, of course.

    Joseph

    Just make sure not to skimp *too* much on the 48cm size (only one in
    that size, as someone suggested, is not going to be enough, methinks).
    I'm a petite woman and would need that size *or smaller*, and I have
    lots of female roadie friends who also take the smallest size "stock"
    bike (or custom). Most women 5'3" or under are going to need the 48 cm,
    unless they have long arms and torso for a woman. My road bike is
    actually a 46 cm WSD (Womens-Specific Design) frame with 650 wheels, and
    I'm 5'2", which isn't *that* tiny. There are women in my bike club even
    shorter than me, who ride 43-44 cm WSD bikes! We tend to be the
    forgotten ones....

    Emily

  9. Quoted message said:
    Bob Wheeler said:
    Qui si parla Campagnolo said:

    [email hidden] wrote:

    >Hi Everyone,
    >
    >Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    >can help me out here.
    >
    >Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    >of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    >tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.
    >
    >So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    >The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    >52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    >style frames.
    >
    >So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    >size curve for the population of road riders?
    >
    >Thanks!
    >

    Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    in the moiddle, of course.

    20-56cm
    10-52cm
    5-58
    3-60
    5-50
    3-48
    6-54

    or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.

    >Joseph


    The statistics on leg length give a mean of 96cm for a male 20yr or
    older. The SD is about 4.5cm. This isn't stand over height but the sum
    of knee height and upper leg length. If you scale this to an average
    male frame of 57cm, then the SD becomes about 1.7cm.

    These measurements follow a normal distribution, so for men you will
    need about 12% 60cm, 38% 58cm, 38% 56cm, 10% 54cm, and 2% 52cm.
    Assuming an average of 53cm for women, you will need about 2% 58cm, 10%
    56cm, 38% 54cm, 38% 52cm, 10% 51cm and 2% 50cm.

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    The problem, of course, is what is the ratio of men to women. Guess
    wrong and you will have mud on your face.

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

    Sounds good to me, but what stand-over do you suppose this 96cm
    corresponds to? If I knew that I could apply our standard sizing
    formula. How did you arrive at 57cm?

    This is quite interesting. Where did you get the statistical info on
    leg length? I have been curious for a while about this topic. In
    figuring out things about my seating position, I have come across
    statements like "If you have long thighs, you should do foo, otherwise
    do bar." How do I know if I have long thighs? Sounds like your source
    may be the answer!

    Joseph

    I got it from
    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/about/major/nhanes/Anthropometric%20Measures.htm

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

  10. Emily said:
    Quoted message said:

    Good point about the male-female ratio. I guess I should get curves for
    each, then mix based on more info from the guy. Ideally I'd get
    measurmens on all the members of the club, but that isn't an option.

    These are road bikes with drops, and part of the reason for not going
    to S, M, L bikes is to be able to really dial in the fit. The idea is
    to make some road riders out of these folks, and getting them proper
    fit is essential to giving them the full experience. It also has to do
    with the deal with the supplier, of course.

    Joseph

    Just make sure not to skimp *too* much on the 48cm size (only one in
    that size, as someone suggested, is not going to be enough, methinks).
    I'm a petite woman and would need that size *or smaller*, and I have
    lots of female roadie friends who also take the smallest size "stock"
    bike (or custom). Most women 5'3" or under are going to need the 48 cm,
    unless they have long arms and torso for a woman. My road bike is
    actually a 46 cm WSD (Womens-Specific Design) frame with 650 wheels, and
    I'm 5'2", which isn't *that* tiny. There are women in my bike club even
    shorter than me, who ride 43-44 cm WSD bikes! We tend to be the
    forgotten ones....

    Emily

    I have thought about that. Whatever ends up being the end result, I
    will probably favor the small end. I myself would use a 58 or 60, but I
    can always use a frame that is too small in a pinch. Not as easy for
    someone to use a frame that is too big!

    My guess is that this group of folks will have a higher percentage of
    women than an average group of road riders, so special attention is
    going to be paid to this.

    Joseph

  11. Bob Wheeler said:
    Quoted message said:
    Bob Wheeler said:

    Qui si parla Campagnolo wrote:

    >[email hidden] wrote:
    >
    >
    >>Hi Everyone,
    >>
    >>Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    >>can help me out here.
    >>
    >>Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    >>of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    >>tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.
    >>
    >>So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    >>The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    >>52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    >>style frames.
    >>
    >>So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    >>size curve for the population of road riders?
    >>
    >>Thanks!
    >>
    >
    >
    >Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    >52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    >in the moiddle, of course.
    >
    >20-56cm
    >10-52cm
    >5-58
    >3-60
    >5-50
    >3-48
    >6-54
    >
    >
    >or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.
    >
    >
    >>Joseph
    >
    >
    The statistics on leg length give a mean of 96cm for a male 20yr or
    older. The SD is about 4.5cm. This isn't stand over height but the sum
    of knee height and upper leg length. If you scale this to an average
    male frame of 57cm, then the SD becomes about 1.7cm.

    These measurements follow a normal distribution, so for men you will
    need about 12% 60cm, 38% 58cm, 38% 56cm, 10% 54cm, and 2% 52cm.
    Assuming an average of 53cm for women, you will need about 2% 58cm, 10%
    56cm, 38% 54cm, 38% 52cm, 10% 51cm and 2% 50cm.

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    The problem, of course, is what is the ratio of men to women. Guess
    wrong and you will have mud on your face.

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

    Sounds good to me, but what stand-over do you suppose this 96cm
    corresponds to? If I knew that I could apply our standard sizing
    formula. How did you arrive at 57cm?

    This is quite interesting. Where did you get the statistical info on
    leg length? I have been curious for a while about this topic. In
    figuring out things about my seating position, I have come across
    statements like "If you have long thighs, you should do foo, otherwise
    do bar." How do I know if I have long thighs? Sounds like your source
    may be the answer!

    Joseph

    I got it from
    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/about/major/nhanes/Anthropometric%20Measures.htm

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

    Lots of interesting info there. The problem is matching a frame size to
    a composite leg length that is measured in some unknown way. Maybe
    using height would be just as good. I assume the correlation for inseam
    related to total height is pretty close. Close enough that we could
    just say that inseam is a straight ratio to height. (I am obviously not
    a statistician, but you see what I mean, right?)

    So what sample size do we need measurments on to make a reasonable
    guess as to what a "normal" inseam to height ratio is if we are
    interested in a precision of about 1cm? Maybe enough folks on this NG
    will supply data. And then this ratio could be applied to the data on
    heights to get an inseam curve.

    Or do you have some other suggestion?

    Thanks!

    Joseph

  12. Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Quoted message said:

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    Assuming that most people buy roughly the correct size of bike, and
    assuming that women & men sell used bikes at roughly the same rate,
    the distribution of used bikes being sold should roughly match the
    distribution of new bikes being bought. Therefore, all the
    information that you need is contained at the histogram (for road
    bikes, both sexes) at this URL location :

    http://sporting-goods.search.ebay.com/bike_Complete-Bikes-Frames_W0QQcatrefZC12QQfsooZ1QQfsopZ1QQsacatZ98084

    I'll just quote the histogram (on the left side of the screen, about
    1/4 of the way down the page) that is currently being reported :

    Frame Size
    44-45 cm (7)
    46-47 cm (28)
    48-49 cm (44)
    50-51 cm (79)
    52-53 cm (99)
    54-55 cm (146)
    56-57 cm (135)
    58-59 cm (115)
    60-61 cm (63)
    62-63 cm (24)
    64-65 cm (11)
    XS (7)
    S (53)
    M (234)
    L (245)
    XL (31)
    Other (62)

    - Don Gillies
    San Diego, CA

  13. Why not just survey the spin class participants?

    There's also no inherent tradeoff between compact geometry and fit.
    Assuming a decent number of sizes to choose from, (i.e. more than just
    S,M,L) you can fit people just as well, and new riders might feel more
    comfortable with more standover.

  14. Quoted message said:

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example. And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to do.

    --Mike-- Chain Reaction Bicycles
    www.ChainReactionBicycles.com

    "Bob Wheeler" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Qui si parla Campagnolo said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Perhaps someone who runs a bike store or has other relevant experience
    can help me out here.

    Someone I know who owns a health club is contemplating buying a fleet
    of bikes to rent/loan to spinning folks for organized rides. I am
    tentatively in charge of getting the bikes.

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    So for a fleet of 50 bikes, how many of each size?? What is the bike
    size curve for the population of road riders?

    Thanks!

    Well of course, most men ride around a 56cm-58cm or so, most women
    52-50cm or so..most should be there. A couple largest an smallest, most
    in the moiddle, of course.

    20-56cm
    10-52cm
    5-58
    3-60
    5-50
    3-48
    6-54

    or something like that. 54s for shortish men, tallish women.

    Quoted message said:

    Joseph

    The statistics on leg length give a mean of 96cm for a male 20yr or older.
    The SD is about 4.5cm. This isn't stand over height but the sum of knee
    height and upper leg length. If you scale this to an average male frame of
    57cm, then the SD becomes about 1.7cm.

    These measurements follow a normal distribution, so for men you will need
    about 12% 60cm, 38% 58cm, 38% 56cm, 10% 54cm, and 2% 52cm. Assuming an
    average of 53cm for women, you will need about 2% 58cm, 10% 56cm, 38%
    54cm, 38% 52cm, 10% 51cm and 2% 50cm.

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    The problem, of course, is what is the ratio of men to women. Guess wrong
    and you will have mud on your face.

    --
    Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
    ECHIP, Inc. --- Randomness comes in bunches.

  15. Dave said:

    Why not just survey the spin class participants?

    There's also no inherent tradeoff between compact geometry and fit.
    Assuming a decent number of sizes to choose from, (i.e. more than just
    S,M,L) you can fit people just as well, and new riders might feel more
    comfortable with more standover.

    This may be true, but the choice of bikes also has a lot to do with
    "marketing" future sales, and other sponsorship deals, etc.

    The club has a tie-in with a shop that focuses on a particular brand,
    as well as sposors a team which uses this brand. And part of their
    pitch is "other clubs force everyone onto S, M, L bikes, while we take
    the time to find a bike that fits, blah, blah, blah"

    Joseph

  16. Mike Jacoubowsky said:
    Quoted message said:

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example. And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to do.

    Having an appropriate number of WSD bikes is important. Just a thought,
    but perhaps you sell a large number of these WSD bikes because you are
    known to carry them and known to give good service to women who need
    them?

    We do have some info on the club members but this project will include
    many more folks than just the folks in the club. Spouses, etc, as well
    as members of clubs in the same franchise but owned by others. In is
    not practical to get accurate info that way.

    Assuming I can get enough info on the heights of the folks involved,
    what do you suppose is a good height:inseam ratio to guess male inseam
    from known height? Female? I've been using .48 for males which is based
    on a slightly modified version of myself.

    Joseph

  17. Donald Gillies said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hi Everyone,

    Quoted message said:

    So my question is, which percentage of the fleet should each size be?
    The bikes I'm looking at come in 2cm increments (c-c): 60, 58, 56, 54,
    52, 50, 48. For various reasons we are not going with S, M, L compact
    style frames.

    Assuming that most people buy roughly the correct size of bike, and
    assuming that women & men sell used bikes at roughly the same rate,
    the distribution of used bikes being sold should roughly match the
    distribution of new bikes being bought. Therefore, all the
    information that you need is contained at the histogram (for road
    bikes, both sexes) at this URL location :

    http://sporting-goods.search.ebay.com/bike_Complete-Bikes-Frames_W0QQcatrefZC12QQfsooZ1QQfsopZ1QQsacatZ98084

    I'll just quote the histogram (on the left side of the screen, about
    1/4 of the way down the page) that is currently being reported :

    Frame Size
    44-45 cm (7)
    46-47 cm (28)
    48-49 cm (44)
    50-51 cm (79)
    52-53 cm (99)
    54-55 cm (146)
    56-57 cm (135)
    58-59 cm (115)
    60-61 cm (63)
    62-63 cm (24)
    64-65 cm (11)
    XS (7)
    S (53)
    M (234)
    L (245)
    XL (31)
    Other (62)

    - Don Gillies
    San Diego, CA

    That is very interesting. It is fun seeing all the info people are
    finding. This may be the most useful batch of info so far.

    But here is a theory: The upper and lower ends may be exagerated. Since
    the extreme ends of the curve will always have a smaller pool of local
    buyers, perhaps folks with really small bikes or really big bikes will
    be more likely to try to sell on ebay to reach a larger market.
    Likewise with buyers.

    I live in the boonies and there are about 30 active members of my
    bicycle club. If I had some 56cm fames to sell, I'm sure I could sell
    them to one of them no problem. But I have a 59 for sale, and there is
    only one other guy who rides a 59, and he doesn't want it. So I'll try
    ebay.

    Just a theory, but the info looks good.

    Thanks!

    Joseph

  18. quote=''Dave said:

    Why not just survey the spin class participants?

    There's also no inherent tradeoff between compact geometry and fit.
    Assuming a decent number of sizes to choose from, (i.e. more than just
    S,M,L) you can fit people just as well, and new riders might feel more
    comfortable with more standover.

    This may be true, but the choice of bikes also has a lot to do with
    "marketing" future sales, and other sponsorship deals, etc.

    The club has a tie-in with a shop that focuses on a particular brand,
    as well as sposors a team which uses this brand. And part of their
    pitch is "other clubs force everyone onto S, M, L bikes, while we take
    the time to find a bike that fits, blah, blah, blah"

    Joseph[/QUOTE]

    If the marketting emphasis is on bicycle "fit", rather than merely go with a wide variety of standard proportion frames, you might also want to consider some other combinations such as 54 long top tube for persons with short legs & long arms, or a 62 short top tube for persons with short arms/long legs. For many persons with the long arm/short leg senario the compact geometry makes more sense than standard frames-does the manufacture make some compact bike frames?

    The issue hasn't been discussed, but will there be still growing youths in the mix that might also skew the sizing distribution downward?

  19. Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very
    large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example.
    And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both
    men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health
    club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to
    do.

    Having an appropriate number of WSD bikes is important. Just a thought,
    but perhaps you sell a large number of these WSD bikes because you are
    known to carry them and known to give good service to women who need
    them?

    That's part of it, sure, but keep in mind that, what you're doing may bring
    out more women wanting to participate than men. Women often gravitate
    towards things that are perceived as "safe" ways to exercise, and riding in
    groups is seen as safer than riding on their own... plus cycling can be a
    very social activity, more so than, say, running). This may be a way to get
    a lot more women interested in joining the club.

    Quoted message said:

    We do have some info on the club members but this project will include
    many more folks than just the folks in the club. Spouses, etc, as well
    as members of clubs in the same franchise but owned by others. In is
    not practical to get accurate info that way.

    However, if your club is large enough (and given the number of bikes you're
    talking about, it sounds like it is), you still may get a fairly
    representative sampling by checking out the needs of your current
    membership. At the very least this should serve as a safety check for any
    numbers you might derive from formulas.

    Quoted message said:

    Assuming I can get enough info on the heights of the folks involved,
    what do you suppose is a good height:inseam ratio to guess male inseam
    from known height? Female? I've been using .48 for males which is based
    on a slightly modified version of myself.

    Y'know, having been in business for 25+ years, and having always seen proper
    fit as a big thing, you'd think I would have kept track of something as
    simple as "Customers of "x" height, on average, have purchased bikes of "y"
    size. But we haven't. We have fit charts that we use (New England Cycling
    Academy) and don't pay much attention to the connection between height and
    frame size. Having said that, 9 times out of 10 I can look at someone and
    come up with what frame size they're going to take, when they're standing
    (not when on a bike). I can even guess pretty well where the stem's going to
    be too, just by noting how much of the person are legs vs arms vs torso.

    But getting back to your dilemma- have you thought about calling up a bike
    rental company, perhaps a travel company, and see how their size runs skew?

    Keep in mind that, no matter how hard you try, you'll get it wrong. What
    that means to me is that it makes sense to leave a fair amount of room to
    fine-tune things down the road, so don't buy more than, say, 60% initially.
    Start your program a bit slower than you might have been thinking of doing,
    and any errors will be far less costly (because you can correct them with
    as-yet-unpurchased inventory).

    --Mike-- Chain Reaction Bicycles
    www.ChainReactionBicycles.com

    <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Mike Jacoubowsky said:
    Quoted message said:

    Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    3 60cm,
    10 58cm,
    12 56cm,
    12 54cm,
    10 52cm
    3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very
    large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example.
    And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both
    men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health
    club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to
    do.

    Having an appropriate number of WSD bikes is important. Just a thought,
    but perhaps you sell a large number of these WSD bikes because you are
    known to carry them and known to give good service to women who need
    them?

    We do have some info on the club members but this project will include
    many more folks than just the folks in the club. Spouses, etc, as well
    as members of clubs in the same franchise but owned by others. In is
    not practical to get accurate info that way.

    Assuming I can get enough info on the heights of the folks involved,
    what do you suppose is a good height:inseam ratio to guess male inseam
    from known height? Female? I've been using .48 for males which is based
    on a slightly modified version of myself.

    Joseph

  20. Mike Jacoubowsky said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very
    large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example.
    And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both
    men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health
    club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to
    do.

    Having an appropriate number of WSD bikes is important. Just a thought,
    but perhaps you sell a large number of these WSD bikes because you are
    known to carry them and known to give good service to women who need
    them?

    That's part of it, sure, but keep in mind that, what you're doing may bring
    out more women wanting to participate than men. Women often gravitate
    towards things that are perceived as "safe" ways to exercise, and riding in
    groups is seen as safer than riding on their own... plus cycling can be a
    very social activity, more so than, say, running). This may be a way to get
    a lot more women interested in joining the club.

    Getting folks out on the road who might not feel comfortable doing it
    on their own, oor who might not know where to start, or just need akick
    in the pants is what this is all about. I, as well as all others
    involved think we will get a large turn out of women as well.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    We do have some info on the club members but this project will include
    many more folks than just the folks in the club. Spouses, etc, as well
    as members of clubs in the same franchise but owned by others. In is
    not practical to get accurate info that way.

    However, if your club is large enough (and given the number of bikes you're
    talking about, it sounds like it is), you still may get a fairly
    representative sampling by checking out the needs of your current
    membership. At the very least this should serve as a safety check for any
    numbers you might derive from formulas.

    I'll try to get some actual nubers, but it's a whole turf-war thing
    with nagging certain uncooperatvie people that is a can of worms I
    don't want to open.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Assuming I can get enough info on the heights of the folks involved,
    what do you suppose is a good height:inseam ratio to guess male inseam
    from known height? Female? I've been using .48 for males which is based
    on a slightly modified version of myself.

    Y'know, having been in business for 25+ years, and having always seen proper
    fit as a big thing, you'd think I would have kept track of something as
    simple as "Customers of "x" height, on average, have purchased bikes of "y"
    size. But we haven't. We have fit charts that we use (New England Cycling
    Academy) and don't pay much attention to the connection between height and
    frame size. Having said that, 9 times out of 10 I can look at someone and
    come up with what frame size they're going to take, when they're standing
    (not when on a bike). I can even guess pretty well where the stem's going to
    be too, just by noting how much of the person are legs vs arms vs torso.

    But getting back to your dilemma- have you thought about calling up a bike
    rental company, perhaps a travel company, and see how their size runs skew?

    The only folks I have to call are the competition! For sales number I
    have the distributors, but they don't know the breakdown by sex, and
    may have ulterior motives in any number they report.

    Quoted message said:

    Keep in mind that, no matter how hard you try, you'll get it wrong. What
    that means to me is that it makes sense to leave a fair amount of room to
    fine-tune things down the road, so don't buy more than, say, 60% initially.
    Start your program a bit slower than you might have been thinking of doing,
    and any errors will be far less costly (because you can correct them with
    as-yet-unpurchased inventory).

    That's why we are only getting 50 to start!

    Thanks for the input!

    Joseph

    Quoted message said:

    --Mike-- Chain Reaction Bicycles
    www.ChainReactionBicycles.com

    <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Mike Jacoubowsky said:

    > Assuming half men and half women renters, you will need
    > 3 60cm,
    > 10 58cm,
    > 12 56cm,
    > 12 54cm,
    > 10 52cm
    > 3 50cm or 2 50cm and 1 48cm

    Something went wrong with at least the women's numbers; we sell a very
    large
    qty of 47cm & 51cm Trek WSD (Women Specific Design) models, for example.
    And
    keep in mind that you can't assume similar styles of bikes will fit both
    men
    & women equally; a large number of women definitely fit WSD-style bikes
    (typically with shorter top tubes) better.

    I'm not sure why you need to guess at this; your client owns a health
    club
    for goodness sake, what's so tough about doing a survey of their heights?
    Seems like profiling height, weight & sex would be a standard thing to
    do.

    Having an appropriate number of WSD bikes is important. Just a thought,
    but perhaps you sell a large number of these WSD bikes because you are
    known to carry them and known to give good service to women who need
    them?

    We do have some info on the club members but this project will include
    many more folks than just the folks in the club. Spouses, etc, as well
    as members of clubs in the same franchise but owned by others. In is
    not practical to get accurate info that way.

    Assuming I can get enough info on the heights of the folks involved,
    what do you suppose is a good height:inseam ratio to guess male inseam
    from known height? Female? I've been using .48 for males which is based
    on a slightly modified version of myself.

    Joseph

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