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Dehydration Question

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Road Cycling
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19 July 2003
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Mark Hill
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  1. Ok, sports physiologists. Assuming Armstrong's claim of losing 7kg in the TT due to dehydration
    is true....

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong says he
    weighed 70kg at the start. What would a ten percent loss do? That seems nearly catastrophic to me -
    is it even possible to conceive that he finished second in the TT with that kind of water loss?

    How long would it take for the body to recover assuming full hydration efforts such as IV's etc?
    Would he even have a chance given the heat and the difficulty of the next two stages?

    Mark

  2. Mark Hill said:


    Ok, sports physiologists. Assuming Armstrong's claim of losing 7kg in the TT due to dehydration is
    true....

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong says
    he weighed 70kg at the start. What would a ten percent loss do? That seems nearly catastrophic
    to me - is it even possible to conceive that he finished second in the TT with that kind of
    water loss?

    How long would it take for the body to recover assuming full hydration efforts such as IV's etc?
    Would he even have a chance given the heat and the difficulty of the next two stages?

    Mark

    It does not appear he dug as deep today. Tomorrow is not a good stage for GC'ers to get away and the
    weather forcast is better. So it is Luz Ardiden on Monday or bust...

  3. "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Ok, sports physiologists. Assuming Armstrong's claim of losing 7kg in the TT due to dehydration is
    true....

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong says
    he weighed 70kg at the start. What would a


    ten

    Quoted message said:

    percent loss do?

    Loss of life?

    Quoted message said:

    That seems nearly catastrophic to me - is it even possible to conceive that he finished second in
    the TT with that kind of water


    loss?

    Something is not quite right. How about this; if you lose 2 kilos in water

    Now everything else falls in to place.

    Quoted message said:


    How long would it take for the body to recover assuming full hydration efforts such as IV's etc?
    Would he even have a chance given the heat and the difficulty of the next two stages?

    Mark

  4. "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Ok, sports physiologists. Assuming Armstrong's claim of losing 7kg in the TT due to dehydration is
    true....

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong says
    he weighed 70kg at the start. What would a


    ten

    Quoted message said:

    percent loss do? That seems nearly catastrophic to me - is it even


    possible

    Quoted message said:

    to conceive that he finished second in the TT with that kind of water


    loss?

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    Quoted message said:

    How long would it take for the body to recover assuming full hydration efforts such as IV's etc?
    Would he even have a chance given the heat and the difficulty of the next two stages?

  5. Ken Papai said:

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    Go read Carmichael on OLN.

  6. "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong says
    he weighed 70kg at the start. What would a


    ten

    Quoted message said:

    percent loss do? That seems nearly catastrophic to me - is it even


    possible

    Quoted message said:

    to conceive that he finished second in the TT with that kind of water


    loss?

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    *GASP*!!! How dare you doubt the word of St. LANCE!!! That's quite blasphemous Kenny, perhaps you
    should repent.

    - Boyd S.

  7. "Boyd Speerschneider" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Ligget and Sherwin claimed a 5% loss in water weight = a 20% loss in performance. Armstrong
    says he weighed 70kg at the start. What would a


    ten

    Quoted message said:

    percent loss do? That seems nearly catastrophic to me - is it even


    possible

    Quoted message said:

    to conceive that he finished second in the TT with that kind of water


    loss?

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    *GASP*!!! How dare you doubt the word of St. LANCE!!! That's quite blasphemous Kenny, perhaps you
    should repent.

    - Boyd S.

    Someone has obviously pirated his account.

  8. Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.


    It was 6kg not 7kg...I quoted 7 based on Phil and Paul's comments. Here is Armstrong quoted on
    cyclingnews.com:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial at
    66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish second in the TT in that case.
    I guess that would explain why he lost so much time at the end of the TT. After that kind of water
    loss would it be even possible for someone to finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the
    finish the next day?

    Mark

  9. "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.
    >
    > 7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    It was 6kg not 7kg...I quoted 7 based on Phil and Paul's comments. Here


    is

    Quoted message said:

    Armstrong quoted on cyclingnews.com:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial
    at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish


    second

    Quoted message said:

    in the TT in that case. I guess that would explain why he lost so much


    time

    Quoted message said:

    at the end of the TT. After that kind of water loss would it be even possible for someone to
    finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the finish the next day?

    Mark

    Sure it is possible considering that Lance puts out 600 watts at his anaerobic threshold.

    IOW, you need to understand that LA and CC both get creative with the numbers. Think about it.

  10. "Nick Burns" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    Armstrong quoted on cyclingnews.com:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg


    and

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    finished the time trial at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish


    second

    Quoted message said:

    in the TT in that case. I guess that would explain why he lost so much


    time

    Quoted message said:

    at the end of the TT. After that kind of water loss would it be even possible for someone to
    finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the finish the next day?

    Mark

    Sure it is possible considering that Lance puts out 600 watts at his anaerobic threshold.

    IOW, you need to understand that LA and CC both get creative with the numbers. Think about it.

    Which is why I suggested the original comments were window dressing. I was looking for an expert
    sports physiology opinion to put it into perspective; I'm not familiar with the research.

    It seems that an 8% loss the day prior would seriously degrade that 600 watt AT power.

    As it turns out, they weighed him at medical control and found him to be
    70.5 kg. The other four kilos come from the four liters of water he drank before going to medical.
    That's their story anyhow.

    Mark

  11. "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.
    >
    > 7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    It was 6kg not 7kg...I quoted 7 based on Phil and Paul's comments. Here


    is

    Quoted message said:

    Armstrong quoted on cyclingnews.com:

    6kg still sounds a little creative to me. A loss of 13 lbs, in a couple hours on someone who weighs
    barely 159 lbs??? Ouch.

    Quoted message said:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial
    at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish


    second

    Quoted message said:

    in the TT in that case. I guess that would explain why he lost so much


    time

    Quoted message said:

    at the end of the TT. After that kind of water loss would it be even possible for someone to
    finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the finish the next day?

    Mark

  12. "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Ok, sports physiologists. Assuming Armstrong's claim of losing 7kg in the TT due to dehydration is
    true....

    I think that's where we need to stop. No need for all the math; this is just some face-saving public
    relations.

  13. Nick Burns wrote in message ...

    Quoted message said:


    "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    > "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    Quoted message said:

    > > That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.
    > >
    > > 7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.
    >

    It was 6kg not 7kg...I quoted 7 based on Phil and Paul's comments. Here


    is

    Quoted message said:

    Armstrong quoted on cyclingnews.com:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial
    at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish


    second

    Quoted message said:

    in the TT in that case. I guess that would explain why he lost so much


    time

    Quoted message said:

    at the end of the TT. After that kind of water loss would it be even possible for someone to
    finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the finish the next day?

    Mark

    Sure it is possible considering that Lance puts out 600 watts at his anaerobic threshold.

    IOW, you need to understand that LA and CC both get creative with the numbers. Think about it.

    I just read the Carmichael comments. If they were correct, one would think that Ulrich would have
    been at least as depleted as Armstrong at the end of the time trial. He is a bigger man, was racing
    under the same conditions and is, supposedly, less fit than Armstrong due to inactivity.

    He gives no explanation for Armstrong's almost catastrophic fluid loss--if it did happen in they way
    described, someone on the coaching/fitness team was asleep at the switch and should be fired.

  14. Edward Waffle said:

    He gives no explanation for Armstrong's almost catastrophic fluid loss--if it did happen in they
    way described, someone on the coaching/fitness team was asleep at the switch and should be fired.

    The quote is :

    Quoted message said:

    The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial
    at 66.5kg,

    So he lost 6kg in a week, not in one hour, unless he has his days confused.

    Dan

  15. Ken Papai said:

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.

    You sound right to me. A hard hour's effort will drain as much as 5 lbs out of me, but I usually
    don't go 100% for a steady hour. I have much more muscle than top racers to wring out though.

    --
    --
    Lynn Wallace xmission.com~lawall "I'm not proud. We really haven't done everything we
    could to protect our customers. Our products just aren't engineered for security." --Microsoft VP in
    charge of Windows OS Development, Brian Valentine.

  16. "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<NQjSa.101927$H17.31279@sccrnsc02>...

    Quoted message said:

    "Mark Hill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    > "Ken Papai" <[email hidden]> wrote in news:GZgSa.86381$GL4.22521@rwcrnsc53:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > > That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.
    > >
    > > 7 lbs maybe but not 7 kilos.
    >

    It was 6kg not 7kg...I quoted 7 based on Phil and Paul's comments. Here


    is

    Quoted message said:

    Armstrong quoted on cyclingnews.com:

    6kg still sounds a little creative to me. A loss of 13 lbs, in a couple hours on someone who
    weighs barely 159 lbs??? Ouch.

    Quoted message said:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time
    trial at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."

    That's an 8.3% loss. It seems unreal that he would be able to finish


    second

    Quoted message said:

    in the TT in that case. I guess that would explain why he lost so much


    time

    Quoted message said:

    at the end of the TT. After that kind of water loss would it be even possible for someone to
    finish 1:08 down on Sastre in a 1st climb to the finish the next day?

    Mark

    How is it possible for an experienced professional with an expensive coach to allow himself to lose
    13 pounds of water weight in one day? Isn't hydration a well understood science? They weigh
    everything he eats. Why can't they keep him hydrated?

  17. Quoted message said:

    "The fact of the matter is that I started Saturday at probably 72.5kg and finished the time trial
    at 66.5kg, so something definitely went wrong."


    At first I thought he'd just taken a really big dump. Nah, that should have made him faster.
    Never mind

  18. Nick Burns said:

    Something is not quite right. How about this; if you lose 2 kilos in water

    Quoted message said:

    Now everything else falls in to place.

    Sometimes reading this group is all so worthwhile. The fog of confusion is lifted with a single,
    piercingly precise explanation. Reality recrystallizes. Everything makes sense, again.

  19. olntv.comcarmichael13.html

    Interestingly, no mention of IV. Wouldn't that facilitate rehydration? Surely he used it.

    Dan

    Quoted message said:
    Ken Papai said:

    That 10% weight loss cannot possibly be true for just one TT. It's BS.

    Go read Carmichael on OLN.

  20. In article <[email hidden]>, Daniel Connelly

    Quoted message said:

    olntv.comcarmichael13.html

    Interestingly, no mention of IV. Wouldn't that facilitate rehydration? Surely he used it.

    Lance mentioned it today. IV for rehydration is common practice.

    -WG

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