Tim McNamara said:Quoted message said:Or have they become significantly cheaper at the level needed for
bicycle lighting? Any prices?
Beats me, ask an electrical engineer.
The low power LEDs are a commodity item costing a couple of cents each,
if that much. The very high power LEDs (3-5W) are still very expensive
due to yield issues. The mid-range LEDs, 1W or so, are around $3 each in
large quantities. Note that traffic lights use 100mW or so LEDs, which
are around 20 cents each in quantity.
Quoted message said:Presumably the manufacturers are looking for ways to enlarge their
market into other areas- automotive headlights, in particular since
that'd be millions of sales per year.
For "being seen" applications, and low wattage indicator lamps, LEDs
rule. For applications where a beam needs to be projected, it's only
when a weak beam is adequate. Headlights are moving to HID. It is not
likely that LEDs will ever be used for motor vehicle headlights.
Quoted message said:How the hell would I know? I'm a psychologist! :-D
Ah, that explains a lot. Why didn’t you admit this earlier?
The fabrication process for the low power LEDs is static. For the higher
power LEDs, it's all down to figuring out a way to manage thermals.
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:As a single product, no. As a class of products, hub gears were
The only figure that I see in your post is a 90% figure--you firmly
believe that the old 3-speed is the optimal gear system for about
90% of the public. Since (at least in the U.S.) 90% of the bicycle
public shifted (sorry, couldn't resist it) to a different gear
system years ago, that would raise some questions in any intro to
economics class, wouldn't it?
The 3 speed hub is woefully inadequate in my area. Even the multi-use
paths have hills where a 3 speed rider would be doing a heck of a lot of
walking.
Quoted message said:Sure. The amswer is the market often buys (1) what's marketed most
heavily and (2) what's available. Whether or not it is the best
product for their individual use is a different question. Look at the
SUV market, for example, with only a tiny minority of buyers having an
actual practical use for the things.
Actually, where I live, a majority of buyers have a practical use for it
about 0.1% of the time. If you ask 95% of the people in my area why they
bought a 4WD SUV, the answer will be so that they don't have to put on
tire chains when they go to the mountains in the winter (tire chains are
often mandated by the highway patrol, mainly to slow people down, even
when they are not needed for traction, but 4WD with snow tires are
usually exempt).
Quoted message said:However, the consumer may be
waking up to reality with sales of the biggest Ford SUVs being down
20% over the past year. Ford's current strategy is to try building an
even bigger version, apparently thinking that the consumers feel the
current product is too small...
This is not their strategy. They have just announced that they have
discontinued their behemoth Excursion due to poor sales. There are no
plans to build anything larger than the Excursion.
Steve
http://bicyclelighting.com
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"If you can't answer a man's argument, all
is not lost; you can still call him vile
names."
Elbert Hubbard
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