Quoted post said:Originally posted by Insight Driver
Working in the energy conversion field for over 30 years I would suggest that you may not realize just how efficient the conversion could be. Efficiency from motion to electric to electric motor is in excess of 90%. In addition, there are gains when breaking for the motor goes into regen mode and would pump current back into the storage device.
There are devices called super capacitors that would be an ideal storage device for a bike.
That said, an invovation like that could be very viable. Imagine coasting down a hill and having stored energy to help you up the next incline. A bike like that could improve average speeds quite a bit opening up the possibility of making a true commuter bicycle that could be a viable alternative to the automobile.
I also see a possible improvement going to a direct drive configuration rather than using a chain and cogs. With composite advances the strength of the drive shaft and gearing would be adequate with little or no weight penality over a tradition chain/deraileur setup.
All this is speculation. Who knows? I think the bicycle as piece of fitness or fun equipment for the average person will always be a market segment that manufacturers will try their best to appeal to.
It has struck me that the recumbent would benefit from a drive shaft and from front wheel drive, particularly if it is a three wheeler with two of the wheels in the front. That would eliminate the enormous length of chain going all the way to the back wheel. It seems that they have stretched it way back there because that is the way it has always been done on uprights. You would of course need to consider how much weight over the front drive wheel you have, but if you use a 3 wheeler, you could have the front 2 wheels close to your vertical center of gravity with respect to direction of linear motion. This way, you would still have power on the uphill. With materials weights going down so much and strengths going up, it seems like it might even be feasible now.
Consider what the future will hold if they ever solve the problems and get nanotechnology into the production phase. We may then see bicycle weights, even for recumbents, go well below 5 lbs and the strength of the entire "vehicle" go way up too. If that's the case, we may be pedalling something looking almost like an aerodynamic small car which you could easily lift and carry.
I think the next 100 years will show more changes in the bicycle than we have seen in the past 100, even if it takes 50 years to perfect nanotechnology. This development may be closer than we realize.