Armstrong's NYC marathon time?

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

--
BJC

2:35? no way
2:55

CowPunk said:

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

--
BJC

2:35? no way
2:55

Four weeks ago, Armstrong was running around 6 1/2-minute miles in
training. That's likely to be his race pace. 2:35 is not out of the
question, but 2:55 is about 10 minutes too slow a guess. I think he'll
finish under 2:40; the question is by how much,

I will be impressed if he does it under 3 hours.I read in the Austin
paper the other day that he had not done a run over 14-16 miles while
training.If this is indeed the case he will most likely hit the famous
wall about mile 20-22.In my experiance the first marathon is always by
far the toughest.

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

who cares?

Quoted message said:

In my experiance the first marathon is always by
far the toughest.

But this isn't his first marathon. One would hope that as a former pro
triathlete, he'd know what he was doing with respect to marathons.

--
I do not accept unsolicited commercial e-mail. Remove NO_UCE for
legitimate replies.

Victor Kan said:

Quoted message said:

In my experiance the first marathon is always by
far the toughest.

But this isn't his first marathon. One would hope that as a former pro
triathlete, he'd know what he was doing with respect to marathons.

--
I do not accept unsolicited commercial e-mail. Remove NO_UCE for
legitimate replies.

Never did Ironman. Self proclaimed longest was a single half Ironman.
His stated claim is to finish within an hour of the winner so 3:07-3:12
it what he is aming for.

CowPunk said:

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

Quoted message said:

--
BJC2:35? no way

2:55

Jaja his 1st marathon ever 2:55..Lance knows that and will beat it.
2:44 is my guess.

Call it the Jaja line....

RVD

Rik Van Diesel said:

CowPunk said:

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

Quoted message said:

--
BJC2:35? no way

2:55

Jaja his 1st marathon ever 2:55..Lance knows that and will beat it.
2:44 is my guess.

Call it the Jaja line....

Jaja's 2:55 seems like a reasonable goal. But a German ex-pro cyclist
(sorry, can't recall the name right now) ran a 2:42 marathon debut
earlier this year. If LANCE is really compulsive, that'd be the line.

Dwayne wrote:
But a German ex-pro cyclist

Quoted message said:

(sorry, can't recall the name right now) ran a 2:42 marathon debut
earlier this year. If LANCE is really compulsive, that'd be the line.

http://www.cyclingnews.com/news.php?id=news/2006/apr06/apr24news

Rolf Aldag, 2:42:57.

Dwayne said:

Dwayne wrote: But a German ex-pro cyclist

Quoted message said:

(sorry, can't recall the name right now) ran a 2:42 marathon debut
earlier this year. If LANCE is really compulsive, that'd be the line.http://www.cyclingnews.com/news.php?id=news/2006/apr06/apr24news

Rolf Aldag, 2:42:57.

Thank you..I will now pick 2:40.

Dwayne said:

Rik Van Diesel said:

CowPunk said:

BJC wrote:
> I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
> within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

> --
> BJC2:35? no way
2:55

Jaja his 1st marathon ever 2:55..Lance knows that and will beat it.
2:44 is my guess.

Call it the Jaja line....

Jaja's 2:55 seems like a reasonable goal. But a German ex-pro cyclist
(sorry, can't recall the name right now) ran a 2:42 marathon debut
earlier this year. If LANCE is really compulsive, that'd be the line.

Hehhehehe, you used the word "if" before Lance and compulsive.

Ron

RonSonic said:

Dwayne said:

Rik Van Diesel said:

On Oct 19, 6:32 pm, "CowPunk" <[email hidden]> wrote:
> BJC wrote:
> > I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
> > within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.
>
> > --
> > BJC2:35? no way
> 2:55

Jaja his 1st marathon ever 2:55..Lance knows that and will beat it.
2:44 is my guess.

Call it the Jaja line....

Jaja's 2:55 seems like a reasonable goal. But a German ex-pro cyclist
(sorry, can't recall the name right now) ran a 2:42 marathon debut
earlier this year. If LANCE is really compulsive, that'd be the line.

Hehhehehe, you used the word "if" before Lance and compulsive.

Ron

Wrong newsgroup..............should be: rec.[censored].running

"OMC"

Kyle Legate said:

BJC said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

who cares?

The same people who care what Lemond has to say about [censored] Pound
and WADA. 😉

~bob

OMC said:

Wrong newsgroup..............should be: rec.[censored].running

rec.[censored].racing ?

In article <[email hidden]>,

Quoted message said:

I will be impressed if he does it under 3 hours.I read in the Austin
paper the other day that he had not done a run over 14-16 miles while
training.If this is indeed the case he will most likely hit the famous
wall about mile 20-22.In my experiance the first marathon is always by
far the toughest.

Yeah, it's terrible sad when a guy like Armstrong just refuses to
respect the physical demands of an event that pushes you to your cardio
for 3 straight hours. Clearly, he'll be lucky if the event doesn't kill
him. Hope one of his handlers is jogging with a defrib kit.

Having read all the other stuff here, I'll guess at "supermotivated" and
go 2:34

--
Ryan Cousineau [email hidden] http://www.wiredcola.com/
"I don't want kids who are thinking about going into mathematics
to think that they have to take drugs to succeed." -Paul Erdos

Ryan Cousineau said:

Having read all the other stuff here, I'll guess at "supermotivated" and
go 2:34

Too heavy, and too many people too much attention. 3h10.

--
E. Dronkert

Ryan Cousineau said:

Quoted message said:

Having read all the other stuff here, I'll guess at "supermotivated" and
go 2:34

Ewoud Dronkert said:

Too heavy, and too many people too much attention. 3h10.

But if he's supermotivated then weight doesn't count. Ask Lafferty.

"BJC" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
news:[email hidden]...

Quoted message said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

No way. I did my first and only marathon in 2-47. I was running 6 minute
miles in training and could run a 33min 10K. If he is only running 6-30
min/mile in training, he should be slower. I'm saying 2-57.

Phil H

In article
<[email hidden]>,

Phil Holman' piholmanc@yourservice said:

"BJC" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
news:[email hidden]...

Quoted message said:

I'm guessing he's going to have a 1st wave spot, so getting caught
within the masses won't be a problem. I'm going to say 2:35.

No way. I did my first and only marathon in 2-47. I was running 6 minute
miles in training and could run a 33min 10K. If he is only running 6-30
min/mile in training, he should be slower. I'm saying 2-57.

Has the race been run yet? I go with 2:35:00. I am not
an athlete at any level and ran a six minute mile. If
Armstrong is claiming 6:30, then he is sand bagging.

--
Michael Press