catlike said:.......I have set the goal for myself to reach the avarage speed of 35 km/h for 40 km ride in 3 years and try to reach the speed of 38 km/h for 40 km trip in 5 years ( I will be 36 years old then). Is it possible or my goals are too optimistic.
Catlike,
You are 31. Increasing your average speed over a 40K distance from 30 km/h to 35 km/h in 3 years is a reasonable and reachable goal. In fact, you may surprise yourself and be riding 5 km/h faster in much less time than 3 years. I started riding 6-10 hours per week when I was 50 in 2005. Here are my 40K TT average speeds.
August 2005……. 32.4 km/h
September 2005… 32.8 km/h
June 2006……….. 35.4 km/h
August 2006…….. 36.7 km/h
May 2007………...37.1 km/h
I improved my average speed roughly 4.7 km/h in 2 years. A 5 km/h average speed increase over a 40K distance is well within the physiological capabilities of most 31 year olds. If your current average 40K speed was 39 km/h and you wanted to increase your average speed another 5 km/h then that wouldn't be as easy. So, yes, you can do this. In the speed ranges that you are trying to improve through you are making the transition from being a good recreational rider to someone who could get involved in the beginning categories of bike racing! 😎
Most 31 year olds are physiologically capable of riding 35-38 km/h for 40K but when you look around, most can't. It isn't because of their age or a prior history of smoking. People who are fast on their bikes in this range of speed are rare because it takes time that many people with pressing claims from jobs or families don't have. But in an absence of more pressing claims it also takes a kind of courage to turn off the TV, get off the couch and say no to other trivial distractions and instead faithfully ride your bike. Once you are out the door the splendor of riding takes over and this makes even difficult rides fun. But crossing that threshold, getting out of our comfortable homes, getting started, it's this getting on the bike in the first place that takes a fortitude that is rarer in people. So when I see someone who is good on their bike at the speeds you are aspiring to achieve, I don't see someone physiologically exceptional, but someone with an exceptional character………..(which is also physiological……).
Have you read through Tyson's Thread "Its Killing me but…" Tyson's thread and others in the Cycling Training and Power Training Forums help you think about the number, intensity and duration of your training rides so that you make steady progress towards your goals.
Good luck. Report back and let us hear about the progress you are making!