Tour prediction

Alas, although I have no desire to see Lance Arrogance I
mean Armstrong win, I'm sure he will, and all the
speculations about what could happen, from a flat tire, to
Lance being kidnapped by aliens that look like Elvis are
nothing but wishful thinking. They could just skip the TdF
this year, given that the result is a foregone conclusion.

Kevin Knorpp said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year,
and 2005 is close. Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in
2006 while Jan is recovering from a cocaine addiction and
eating disorder..

"Ken" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
"]news:[email hidden]...

Quoted message said:

Alas, although I have no desire to see Lance Arrogance
I mean Armstrong win, I'm sure he will, and all the
speculations about what could happen, from a flat tire,
to Lance being kidnapped by aliens that look like Elvis
are nothing but wishful thinking.

Quoted message said:

They could just skip the TdF this year, given that the
result is a foregone conclusion.

Well now, I think I'll save this bit of text for a few
weeks.

Quoted message said:

Kevin Knorpp said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year,
and 2005 is

close.

Quoted message said:

Quoted message said:

Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in 2006 while Jan is
recovering from a cocaine addiction and eating
disorder..

"Kevin Knorpp" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<hyJyc.18049$eu.12818@attbi_s02>...

Quoted message said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year,
and 2005 is close. Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in
2006 while Jan is recovering from a cocaine addiction and
eating disorder..

My Prediction:

In light of two new turn of events, Mayo and Tyler's
performence in Dauphine and Vino's crash, here are my
predicitons

I think heading into the Pyrenees Lance, Tyler and Heras
will be neck and neck > 30 sec seperating them. Ulrich
will be 45-60 sec back moslty do to the TTT. Mayo and
2:00min+ back.

The Pyrenees will be a dog fight with attacks going like
crazy. poor Ulrich will suffer the most here falling
2:00min+ behind. Mayo and Heras will leap frog Armstrong.
Tyler will be in the mix. I say top 5 seperated by around
two minutes bookended by Mayo and Ulrich. Good times!

Alpe D'heuz has looks like this:

Mayo Armstrong 15sec Ulrich 23sec Hamilton 27 sec Heras 44
sec (not his style)

Some of the other pure climbers may mix up the places a
little but at the end of the day the GC will look like this

Mayo Armstrong :37 Hamilton :39 Heras 1:21 Ulrich 2:34

I also suspect a dark horse to be in there someplace (not a
real revelation though). Maybe Simoni.

Everyone will be screaming about a Hamilton Armstrong TT
dual. It will be a let down as Armstrong will hand out a
lashing to Tyler and beat him by 1:35. Ulrich will
salvage his tour and beat Lance by 18 seconds in the
final TT, but Tyler will hang on for second. The climbers
will be relegated

Final GC:

Armstrong Hamilton 1:37 Ulrich 1:40

Of course this is all tatal BS, but there you go.

I think this year's tour will be too close to call and will
go down to the Stage 19, 60km TT.

1. Hamilton
2. Armstrong
3. Ulrich
4. Mayo

-tom