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Started by Andre · · Last activity · 6 posts · 516 views

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Road Cycling
Published
18 March 2008
Last activity
19 March 2008
Original author
Andre
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6
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  1. Writers are crazy. Lately every time some rider wins a stage he is
    automatically a favourite to win Milan-San Remo. Freire being the
    last. In February they were saying Boonen was the favourite because of
    his early form. Then it was Gilbert when he won the Tour of Mallorca.
    The other day it was Pettacchi. Then Cancellara. Then O'Grady got into
    it too. Even Thor was mentioned during Paris-Nice, and Steegmans.
    Yes, those are some of the favorites, but what the writers don't
    mention is that there are many other riders, and it's probably going
    to be one of the unmentionables that will win it.
    I don't think Pettacchi has the power. I don't think O'Grady is back
    to full strength. DiLuca looks lost. Boonen wants it badly but he
    didn't show much in Adriatico.

    So I'm picking Gilbert

    Andre

  2. Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    Andre <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    Writers are crazy. Lately every time some rider wins a stage he is
    automatically a favourite to win Milan-San Remo. Freire being the
    last. In February they were saying Boonen was the favourite because of
    his early form. Then it was Gilbert when he won the Tour of Mallorca.
    The other day it was Pettacchi. Then Cancellara. Then O'Grady got into
    it too. Even Thor was mentioned during Paris-Nice, and Steegmans.
    Yes, those are some of the favorites, but what the writers don't
    mention is that there are many other riders, and it's probably going
    to be one of the unmentionables that will win it.
    I don't think Pettacchi has the power. I don't think O'Grady is back
    to full strength. DiLuca looks lost. Boonen wants it badly but he
    didn't show much in Adriatico.

    So I'm picking Gilbert

    Andre

    Gilbert looks good for the win, yeah. But the principle you object to
    really does work in but backwards. See - I haven't won any early spring
    race, and so I think it's a sure bet I am not taking first across the line
    in San Remo. I'll let Philippe have his day, even if I like the last few
    hundred metres.

  3. "Andre"wrote in message

    Quoted message said:

    Writers are crazy. Lately every time some rider wins a stage he is
    automatically a favourite to win Milan-San Remo.

    I could be guilty of the same thing. I thought Hincappie looked scary fast
    when he bridged to Zirbel to close the gap in the last stage of california.
    It reminded me of Van Petegem when he bridged to the final break in PR in
    2003(?). So, new team, new fork, power to spare at the end of a long day on
    a climb, the ablility to stay away and win from a break... Big George goes
    on the poggio and it sticks.

    If stays together a good number of guys will have a shot, but I don't think
    hincappie is one of them. The best bet in that case would be to say
    Quickstep.

  4. TM said:

    "Andre"wrote in message

    Quoted message said:

    Writers are crazy. Lately every time some rider wins a stage he is
    automatically a favourite to win Milan-San Remo.

    I could be guilty of the same thing.  I thought Hincappie looked scary fast
    when he bridged to Zirbel to close the gap in the last stage of california..
    It reminded me of Van Petegem when he bridged to the final break in PR in
    2003(?).  So, new team, new fork, power to spare at the end of a long day on
    a climb, the ablility to stay away and win from a break... Big George goes
    on the poggio and it sticks.

    If stays together a good number of guys will have a shot, but I don't think
    hincappie is one of them.  The best bet in that case would be to say
    Quickstep.

    if it stays together: freire, petacchi, cavendish
    if a break sticks: cancellara, bettini, di luca

  5. Andre said:

    Writers are crazy. Lately every time some rider wins a stage he is
    automatically a favourite to win Milan-San Remo. Freire being the
    last. In February they were saying Boonen was the favourite because of
    his early form. Then it was Gilbert when he won the Tour of Mallorca.
    The other day it was Pettacchi. Then Cancellara. Then O'Grady got into
    it too. Even Thor was mentioned during Paris-Nice, and Steegmans.
    Yes, those are some of the favorites, but what the writers don't
    mention is that there are many other riders, and it's probably going
    to be one of the unmentionables that will win it.

    You'd have to go back to the Gee-Whiz days to find a winner who was not
    a big favorite. G. Colombo and his first win as a pro, nothing
    remarkable for the rest of his 8-year career.

  6. Quoted message said:

    You'd have to go back to the Gee-Whiz days to find a winner who was not
    a big favorite.

    yep, all the way back to, um, 2006

    http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/03/19/sports/BIKE.php

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