Mike Jacoubowsky said:Quoted message said:Shimano engaged in de facto price fixing by creating a closed
distribution network. There is still some small leakage; at least two
salvage specialists get small quantities of legitimately surplus OEM
material and market them on eBay, but the selection is meager and the
prices vary quite a bit.
It's not price fixing,
Inasmuch as they reportedly established a policy of prohibiting
selling to "unauthorized" MO outlets *at all* (directly interfering in
the distributors' business by telling them who they could and could
not have as customers), it's price fixing. Shimano should let the
distributors choose their customers themselves. I believe that the
only reason that this has not resulted in a lawsuit or a trade
restriction violation action thus far is that the parties cut off do
not have the clout or the resources to throw enough lawyers at the
problem. Had Shimano simply plugged the OEM-goods leak and not cut
off the normal boxed-goods sales to the MO outlets involved, there
would have been no price-fixing, and the pricing would have levelled
anyway, though with a healthier degree of competition than is
currently being seen.
Quoted message said:but rather an attempt to level out the pricing that a
shop pays vs mail-order. In the past, retail stores have been "used" by
mail-order outlets to establish a retail value for a product, which they
could then undercut (by purchasing excess inventory from bike manufacturers)
the retailer by a considerable amount of money, and often make a better
margin than the LBS.
Yes, the initial effect is that mail order pricing may rise a bit (I'm not
convinced that distribution isn't still leaky enough that prices won't still
be lower).
Given the small number of MO outlets still actively selling Shimano
bits, and given the scant few items they're actually discounting to
any significant extent, it doesn't look to me like there's any leakage
into those sellers at all. It appears that there are some specialists
who are buying entire inventories of certain overproduced bikes and/or
genuine overstocks of bits that were ordered for production and not
used; the bits and pieces from this trickle show up on eBay. That
these specialists have no access to the full Shimano line is readily
apparent; the number of items on offer is small, and IMO they are
having little effect on the market.
Quoted message said:But if the pricing is higher than people want to pay, then
Shimano will have to drop them across the board (except at OEM level),
essentially leveling things out. Ultimately, the only person who determines
final pricing is the customer. If people are unwilling to pay what Shimano
is charging, they will go elsewhere. Campagnolo & SRAM.
This is the effect that will eventually be seen, IMO, and in the long
run the consumer will benefit from having a stronger second source
stream available; I have to wonder of SRAM would have been able to
make the inroads we've seen into the aftermarket stream had Shimano
not paved the way by boosting the mail-order prices.
Quoted message said:So if you can't get the super-cheapie mail-order pricing you require, vote
with your wallet and buy a different brand,
There has to be a competitively-oriented second source before the vote
can be cast; in a race with only one cadidate, it's hard to get people
to the polls.
Campy pretty much ignores the mtb market, and SRAM hasn't been as
successful (yet) in coming out with the stuff that the consumers want
as some of us would like, but if the aftermarket is big enough to
merit their attention, I suspect that we'll see more moves from both
of them along with some additional players cropping up from China.
Quoted message said:but please don't blame the LBS.
I never did; I'm well aware of the costs involved in operating a small
business, and the reasons why the small business can't usually compete
with the low-overhead high-volume discounters both mail-order and
in-town.
Quoted message said:The higher pricing is not their fault, and the previous system (that heavily
favored the mail-order outlets) was extremely unfair to the retailer.
It remains to be seen if Shimano will move away from their current
overly restrictive paradigm. I suspect that the US aftermarket sales
stream is a mere trickle by comparison to the OEM stream that's
delivered both here and overseas; it's quite possible that Shimano
really doesn't care whether it has a strong aftermarket sales network
in the US since historically in that market, the vast majority of the
bikes sold never have any major components replaced at all. If
bicycle usage increases and the demand for economically-priced
components goes up, they'll either have to adjust their prices or see
the competition grabbing a larger share of the sales. SRAM has done
what appears to me to be an excellent job of swallowing the chain
market; the handwriting is on the wall IMO. What is really needed in
order to compel a change is a bike usage boom. It could happen, but I
doubt that it will take place overnight.
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