Here is a letter from cyclingnews.com:
"In my previous two letters (March 11 and 18) I outlined basic problems with
both the researchers' and testers' logic in using this test to begin with,
and problems associated with false positives. The fact that the test is very
good at preventing false negatives (which it was originally designed to do),
while producing unknown numbers of false positives (there is currently no
alternative test to confirm positives), leads to two obvious conclusions
when considering the results of the Athens Olympics blood tests:
1) Since the test rarely yields false negatives, the practice of homologous
blood doping is extremely rare or non-existent.
2) Since blood doping is extremely rare or non-existent, and there is some
unknown probability of false positives, it is reasonable to expect that:
a) False positives could easily outnumber true positives or,
b) All positives are false. Like many others, I find the prospect of a false
accusation far more repugnant than the prospect of letting a very few
cheaters get away with their crimes. Until there is an alternative test to
verify positives (as is the case when an initial HIV test is positive), the
current test for homologous blood doping simply should not be used.
John Winnie, Jr."
Now, wait a minute according to "reggie" and Lafferty we don't need to worry
about anything concerning Tyler Hamilton except whether he'll be punished
severely enough for his transgressions.
And yet here is a man knowledgeable in the field who says that there is a
good chance that ALL POSITIVES ARE FALSE POSITIVES or FALSE POSITIVES
OUTNUMBER TRUE POSITIVES.
Hmm, since there was only two positives and at least one of them couldn't be
interpreted as a positive by the testing laboratory but required the man
whose reputation would be threatened by a ineffective testing procedure, I
suppose I have to wonder why the CAS hasn't come up with a finding yet.
After all, if the science was flawless, as Lafferty and "reggie" are
convinced, wouldn't it be an open and shut case?