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relative risk

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UK and Europe
Published
24 September 2004
Last activity
26 September 2004
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Rich
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  1. Sorry about this, but I can't find the stats I've seen about the relative
    risks of various modes of transport, but I know someone out there will be
    able to put their hands on them, please.

    If you have or can point me at stats comparing the risks of cycling compared
    to other modes, in distance, time, and trip, I would be very grateful. My
    organisation's H&S dept have just produced a guidance note for cycling on
    business, and anyone reading it wouldn't ever cycle again, as it's just a
    collection of the dangers, without putting them into context. Strangely
    enough, they don't feel compelled to do a similar note for driving,
    motorcycling or walking!

  2. Rich said:

    Sorry about this, but I can't find the stats I've seen about the relative
    risks of various modes of transport, but I know someone out there will be
    able to put their hands on them, please.


    There's a Department of Transport report,
    which has been discussed on this list.
    http://www.dft.gov.uk/strategy/futureoftransport/chapter11/challenge.htm

    I'm sure there are plenty of other stats available.

  3. Quoted message said:

    Sorry about this, but I can't find the stats I've seen about the
    relative risks of various modes of transport, but I know someone out
    there will be able to put their hands on them, please.

    <URL://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/ssdataset.asp?vlnk=7250&Pos=&ColRank=
    1&Rank=272>

  4. "ScumOfTheRoad" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Rich said:

    Sorry about this, but I can't find the stats I've seen about the


    relative

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    risks of various modes of transport, but I know someone out there will


    be

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    able to put their hands on them, please.


    There's a Department of Transport report,
    which has been discussed on this list.
    http://www.dft.gov.uk/strategy/futureoftransport/chapter11/challenge.htm

    I'm sure there are plenty of other stats available.


    Of course the raw stats only tell half the picture.
    Typically cyclists tend to be young and male - high risk groups whatever
    mode of transport they use.
    Also cyclists are banned from using the safest roads (more than half car
    mileage is on Motorways).
    If you compare like with like (ie similar aged drivers and cyclists using
    mainly urban roads) then the risk per mile is not all that different - And
    that is
    before you start looking into the risks imposed on other road users.

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Pete

  5. In article <[email hidden]>,
    [email hidden] says...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Of course the raw stats only tell half the picture.
    Typically cyclists tend to be young and male - high risk groups whatever
    mode of transport they use.
    Also cyclists are banned from using the safest roads (more than half car
    mileage is on Motorways).
    If you compare like with like (ie similar aged drivers and cyclists using
    mainly urban roads) then the risk per mile is not all that different - And
    that is
    before you start looking into the risks imposed on other road users.

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Just as a matter of interest, how do they calculate mileages? Men
    in suits don't come round to my house every January to inspect my
    odometers, who's odometers are they inspecting?

    Juliette
    --

  6. Juliette said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,
    [email hidden] says...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Of course the raw stats only tell half the picture.
    Typically cyclists tend to be young and male - high risk groups whatever
    mode of transport they use.
    Also cyclists are banned from using the safest roads (more than half car
    mileage is on Motorways).
    If you compare like with like (ie similar aged drivers and cyclists using
    mainly urban roads) then the risk per mile is not all that different - And
    that is
    before you start looking into the risks imposed on other road users.

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Just as a matter of interest, how do they calculate mileages? Men
    in suits don't come round to my house every January to inspect my
    odometers, who's odometers are they inspecting?

    http://www.statistics.gov.uk/ssd/surveys/national_travel_survey.asp

    I guess it's from this.

    My family was in the national food survey once. My brother was
    persuaded by his girlfriend in the week that it was on that she wanted
    to eat trifle sponges, so they went out to the corner shop to get them
    and ate them on the way back. He was most embarassed when the surveyor
    came round to check the diary, and the entry was checked up on.

    "So, did you make a special journey to get the trifle sponges?"

    "And where did you eat them?"

    "On the way home" (eyebrows raise)

    Etc, etc.

    A

  7. In message <[email hidden]>, Rich
    <[email hidden]> writes

    Quoted message said:

    My
    organisation's H&S dept have just produced a guidance note for cycling on
    business, and anyone reading it wouldn't ever cycle again, as it's just a
    collection of the dangers, without putting them into context. Strangely
    enough, they don't feel compelled to do a similar note for driving,
    motorcycling or walking!


    That's because there's nothing drivers (m/c's included) can do to reduce
    the risks, since their accidents are always someone else's fault.

    --
    Sue ];(🙂

  8. Ambrose Nankivell said:

    "So, did you make a special journey to get the trifle sponges?"

    "And where did you eat them?"

    "On the way home" (eyebrows raise)

    Munchies?

    --
    Peter Headland

  9. Juliette said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,
    [email hidden] says...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Of course the raw stats only tell half the picture.
    Typically cyclists tend to be young and male - high risk groups whatever
    mode of transport they use.
    Also cyclists are banned from using the safest roads (more than half car
    mileage is on Motorways).
    If you compare like with like (ie similar aged drivers and cyclists using
    mainly urban roads) then the risk per mile is not all that different - And
    that is
    before you start looking into the risks imposed on other road users.

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Just as a matter of interest, how do they calculate mileages? Men
    in suits don't come round to my house every January to inspect my
    odometers, who's odometers are they inspecting?

    Juliette
    --

    Yes - those non-existent odometer readings (guessed, I'd hazard to guess - if you'll pardon the pun) that form the denominator in the determination of relative risk...ballpark estimation perhaps? How big is a ballpark - is it comparable to how long a piece of string is?

    Roger

  10. "Peter Owens" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Of course the raw stats only tell half the picture.
    Typically cyclists tend to be young and male - high risk groups whatever
    mode of transport they use.

    I'm not arguing but find that surprising, based on my observations they
    appear to be across the age spectrum but females are heavily outnumbered.
    However, it appears to me to be generally youngish males who expose
    themselves to most risk in traffic by bad roadcraft and of course it's
    nearly all young males who engage in stunt type riding, downhillling and the
    like, if their injuries are included in the total.
    Which is a point, if a lad injures himself pratting about on a bike in the
    park or say an off-road ride are their injuries included in the stats? These
    activities are hardly likely to be engaged in by a cycle commuter.

    Pete

  11. Peter Owens said:

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Is this a spoof?
    The photo of Blair and Mandleson is fake.

    A casual study of this group indicates that the greatest
    risk to cyclists is caused by clipless pedals, followed
    by fishing line. How long before both are banned?

    --
    Eiron.

  12. RogerDodger said:


    Yes - those non-existent odometer readings (guessed, I'd
    hazard to guess - if you'll pardon the pun) that form the
    denominator in the determination of relative risk...ballpark
    estimation perhaps? How big is a ballpark - is it comparable
    to how long a piece of string is?

    Roger

    There was an article in the New Scientist a few years ago that compared the
    sizes and relative abundance of string from cosmic string down to DNA and
    came to the conclusion that the length of a piece of string is about a
    meter.
    --
    Mark

    1x1 wheel, 3x2 wheels & 1x3 wheels.

  13. In article <[email hidden]>,
    [email hidden] says...

    Quoted message said:
    RogerDodger said:


    Yes - those non-existent odometer readings (guessed, I'd
    hazard to guess - if you'll pardon the pun) that form the
    denominator in the determination of relative risk...ballpark
    estimation perhaps? How big is a ballpark - is it comparable
    to how long a piece of string is?


    There was an article in the New Scientist a few years ago that compared the
    sizes and relative abundance of string from cosmic string down to DNA and
    came to the conclusion that the length of a piece of string is about a
    meter.

    Right, so the men in suits issue pieces of string to randomly
    selected cyclists and the cyclists have to say how many pieces of
    string are need to cover the distance between them and the off-
    licence? I wonder if the pieces of string are issued joined
    together or if they're precut to the length of a piece of string.

    Juliette
    --

  14. "Eiron" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Peter Owens said:

    A good reference - putting all the stats in context is:
    http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/321/7276/1582

    Is this a spoof?

    The first section is irony.

    Quoted message said:

    The photo of Blair and Mandleson is fake.

    Indeed so - but it makes a serious point.
    Logic follows:
    1. Nobody goes round suggesting that walking is dangerous or that
    protective headgear is required for pedestrians.
    2. Indeed anybody who did so would instantly be identified as a complete
    idiot -
    to such an extent that we even recognise it as an obvious fake when
    it is suggested that even someone with so liitle respect as a polititian
    might be advocating such a thing.
    3. Cycling a mile is safer than walking a mile.
    4. Therefore anybody who suggests cycling is dangerous or requires
    protective headger is ...

  15. "Rich" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    Sorry about this, but I can't find the stats I've seen about the relative
    risks of various modes of transport, but I know someone out there will be
    able to put their hands on them, please.

    If you have or can point me at stats comparing the risks of cycling compared
    to other modes, in distance, time, and trip, I would be very grateful. My
    organisation's H&S dept have just produced a guidance note for cycling on
    business, and anyone reading it wouldn't ever cycle again, as it's just a
    collection of the dangers, without putting them into context. Strangely
    enough, they don't feel compelled to do a similar note for driving,
    motorcycling or walking!

    Cycling is 100% safe. Nobody EVER gets hurt.

    So long as they don't wear a helmet. Apparently even looking at one in
    a shop can be fatal.

    Certain studies have indicated that merely holding the helmet in one's
    hands can give a false sense of indestuctability such as attempting to
    walk out of the shop without opening the door. Of course, if one is
    still holding the said helmet, the increased mass may be enough to
    exacerbate a mild bump on the head into the equivilent of being hit by
    a medium sized asteroid travelling at 18000MPH.

    Russell ;-)

  16. In news:[email hidden],
    Peter Headland <[email hidden]> typed:

    Quoted message said:
    Ambrose Nankivell said:

    "So, did you make a special journey to get the trifle sponges?"

    "And where did you eat them?"

    "On the way home" (eyebrows raise)

    Munchies?

    No, just 16/17 year old experimentation with convention breaking.
    Embarassing for my brother as he wasn't the one who thought that envelope
    needed to be pushed, but he was the one who had to account for it. And
    anyway, anything's embarassing for a teenager.

    A

  17. On 25 Sep 2004 15:44:48 -0700, [email hidden] (Russell) wrote in
    message <[email hidden]>:

    Quoted message said:

    Cycling is 100% safe. Nobody EVER gets hurt.

    Well, it's safer per mile than walking, anyway.

    Quoted message said:

    So long as they don't wear a helmet. Apparently even looking at one in
    a shop can be fatal.

    Ah, the mark of a zealot: characterising opposition to [censored] as
    opposition to their cherished beliefs.

    Guy
    --
    May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
    http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

    88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University

  18. In message <[email hidden]>,
    RogerDodger <[email hidden]> writes

    Quoted message said:


    How big
    is a ballpark - is it comparable to how long a piece of string is?


    A Google search produced this:

    "Then there's the outfield. In an effort to create more excitement for
    sparsely attended Puerto Rican league games, the fences were moved in 15
    feet several years ago. The dimensions are just 315 feet down the lines,
    360 to the power alleys and 398 to center. At least that's what it says
    on the walls."

    So the ballpark is roughly equivalent to a square 90 pieces of string on
    a side.
    However, the ballpark is foreign and probably not to be trusted.

    --
    Sue ];(🙂

    What goes down must come up again - Confucius' Law of Mountain Biking

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