Tour prediction

Alas, although I have no desire to see Lance Arrogance I
mean Armstrong win, I'm sure he will, and all the
speculations about what could happen, from a flat tire, to
Lance being kidnapped by aliens that look like Elvis are
nothing but wishful thinking. They could just skip the TdF
this year, given that the result is a foregone conclusion.

Kevin Knorpp said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year, and 2005 is close.
Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in 2006 while Jan is recovering from a
cocaine addiction and eating disorder..

"Ken" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
news:[email hidden]...

Quoted message said:

Alas, although I have no desire to see Lance Arrogance I
mean Armstrong win, I'm sure he will, and all the
speculations about what could happen, from a flat tire, to
Lance being kidnapped by aliens that look like Elvis are
nothing but wishful thinking.

Quoted message said:

They could just skip the TdF
this year, given that the result is a foregone conclusion.

Well now, I think I'll save this bit of text for a few weeks.

Quoted message said:

Kevin Knorpp said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year, and 2005 is

close.

Quoted message said:

Quoted message said:

Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in 2006 while Jan is recovering from a
cocaine addiction and eating disorder..

"Kevin Knorpp" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<hyJyc.18049$eu.12818@attbi_s02>...

Quoted message said:

Lance wins 2004 easily, suprising many after last year, and 2005 is close.
Tyler Hamilton just edges him out in 2006 while Jan is recovering from a
cocaine addiction and eating disorder..

My Prediction:

In light of two new turn of events, Mayo and Tyler's performence in
Dauphine and Vino's crash, here are my predicitons

I think heading into the Pyrenees Lance, Tyler and Heras will be neck
and neck > 30 sec seperating them. Ulrich will be 45-60 sec back
moslty do to the TTT. Mayo and 2:00min+ back.

The Pyrenees will be a dog fight with attacks going like crazy. poor
Ulrich will suffer the most here falling 2:00min+ behind. Mayo and
Heras will leap frog Armstrong. Tyler will be in the mix. I say top 5
seperated by around two minutes bookended by Mayo and Ulrich. Good
times!

Alpe D'heuz has looks like this:

Mayo
Armstrong 15sec
Ulrich 23sec
Hamilton 27 sec
Heras 44 sec (not his style)

Some of the other pure climbers may mix up the places a little but at
the end of the day the GC will look like this

Mayo
Armstrong :37
Hamilton :39
Heras 1:21
Ulrich 2:34

I also suspect a dark horse to be in there someplace (not a real
revelation though). Maybe Simoni.

Everyone will be screaming about a Hamilton Armstrong TT dual. It will
be a let down as Armstrong will hand out a lashing to Tyler and beat
him by 1:35. Ulrich will salvage his tour and beat Lance by 18 seconds
in the final TT, but Tyler will hang on for second. The climbers will
be relegated

Final GC:

Armstrong
Hamilton 1:37
Ulrich 1:40

Of course this is all tatal BS, but there you go.

I think this year's tour will be too close to call and will go down to the
Stage 19, 60km TT.

1. Hamilton
2. Armstrong
3. Ulrich
4. Mayo

-tom