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Pantani Dead

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Cycling Equipment
Published
14 February 2004
Last activity
23 February 2004
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Graham
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  1. <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    Thought I was a curmudgeon...'bout bikes, afterall...

    Peter Chisholm


    <snip>

    To paraphrase: I have posted with curmudgeons, sir, and you are no curmudgeon. Until your posts are
    indistiguishable from Jobst's, I will refrain from categorizing you thusly.

    Re: Pantani's passing: a sad end for a good competitor.

    App

  2. "Carl Fogel" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Benjamin Weiner <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<40306a8f$1@darkstar>...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Carl Fogel said:

    Tim McNamara <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    > ISTR a reference that in the 1970's some worldwide health


    study found

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > that the life expectancy of pro cyclists was well below


    average (like

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > 53 years). I've never been able find the original data,


    though.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    procycling.comnews main.asp

    Quoted message said:

    It might be hard to find because it was French. It sounds as if it was a study of post-war
    Tour de France riders.

    Quoted message said:

    I'm curious whether such studies connect the wide-spread drug use in professional bicycling
    with shortened life-spans.

    This topic is occasionally debated in rec.bicycles.racing.


    Nobody has

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    ever given a reference to a trustworthy study that found that


    ex-pro

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    cyclists have a short life expectancy, and there are several


    reasons

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    why studies like the above are flawed. You can Google search


    rbr for

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    "life expectancy" for details. Robert Chung has explained a


    couple of

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    times why such studies would be quite hard to do right.


    Here's

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    a pithy one:


    ttp://groups.google.com/groups?q=life+expectancy+winners+group:rec.bicycles.racing&hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-
    8&scoring=r&selm=3C57EAEC.1B5C47B1%40nospam.com&rnum=3

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    A couple of obvious examples: The number of pro cyclists has


    increased

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    greatly over the 20th century (faster than the population as


    a whole I

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    expect). The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists


    are still

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    alive. Therefore the sample of dead cyclists is biased


    towards people

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    who died young. You can't just compare to the population as


    a whole

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    without controlling for the difference in distributions of


    birthdates.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    (See Chung's post on the difference between longitudinal and


    cohort

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    studies.)

    I believe that the reference remembered by Tim is either an


    urban

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    legend or statistically flawed.

    Dear Benjamin,

    The logic behind those arguments may need more explanation.

    The number of pro cyclists may have increased (or decreased or remained the same) and may have
    changed at a different rate than the population as a whole--but how does this affect their
    predicted longevity?

    The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists may still be alive, but then so are the majority
    of the people in the population as a whole who were born in the same year as the cyclists.

    If pro cyclists born in 1956 are dying at a significantly different rate than my high school
    class, then they're dying at a different rate.

    A proper study is certainly tricky and tedious, but but given roughly 100 to 200 pros riding in
    the post-war Tour every year for the last fifty years, it hardly seems impossible.

    My spreadsheet shows an average of 151 riders starting the Tour each year from 1946 to 2003.
    Obviously, many of the 8611 starters were duplicates, veterans riding the Tour again. But even if
    we assume an absurdly high 10-Tour average, there would be 861 riders over 57 years.

    Much of what I saw in those posts consisted of examples and counter-examples limited to Tour winners--
    a group of only 30 riders over 57 years, too small to be significant because a single occurrence
    may skew things wildly. (To cite the obvious example, testicular cancer does not strike 1 out of
    30 men--the incidence is roughly 0.5% by the age of 75, 1 victim out of 200.)

    Life insurance companies and pension funds do this sort of thing well enough to make money at it.
    They have a fairly clear notion of the differences that you mention, so it would be interesting if
    they've done a study. Unfortunately, professional bicyclists are a very small group, so they may
    have been ignored as not being worth the trouble.

    Incidentally, professional cyclists on the Tour probably do have a lower life-expectancy than the
    population as a whole--simply because they're all men. Women are slightly more than half the
    population and live 5-7 years longer, on average, in Europe and America.

    What pathology are we talking about? The latest on Pantani is that he died of cerebral and pulmonary
    edema of unknown etiology. AFIK, Cerebral and pulmonary edema occurring together are not the sort of
    thing you see routinely in uninjured people living below the top of Mt. Everest -- although I have
    heard of marathon runners getting pulmonary and cerebral edema due to a lack of sodium
    (hyponatremia). There may be a cycling related cause for Pantani's death, but I certainly do no know
    what it is. Without looking at the pathology, there really is no way of saying whether Pantani or
    any other pro cyclist died due to a cycling-related cause as opposed to something else. The may just
    be an unlucky populaiton. -- Jay Beattie.

  3. John Everett said:

    Sad about Marco

    Agreed. I'm really sorry we won't be seeing him contending in the high mountains of the grand tours.

    Quoted message said:

    ...but let me indulge my curmudgeonly side and ask what this has to do with techical issues?

    Pantani was reputedly on the forefront of many technical advances in bicycle racing. Those advances
    may have been chemical and illegal, but they were technical nonetheless.

    dvt at psu dot edu

  4. Ryan Cousineau <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    [snip]

    Quoted message said:

    I would be surprised if that was so. The kind of things cyclists do to their bodies just aren't
    that abusive: you don't hear of runners suffering short lifespans, just shin splints. Similarly,
    soccer stars don't routinely drop dead, either.

    Cycling is a no-impact sport, so possibly issue related to the lack of bone-density buildup come
    into play (do a lot of old cyclists die of complications from broken hips?)

    If you're looking recently, there were a disturbing number of young cyclists for a while who died
    in their sleep of heart troubles. This is widely assumed to have been the result of EPO abuse, but
    sometimes young athletes in all kinds of sports just drop dead, thanks to an undiagnosed heart
    ailment or something similar.

    It even happens to actors. Just ask John Ritter,

    Dear Ryan,

    John Ritter may be a poor example. He was 54, hardly young, and collapsed and died while working on
    a hot stage, not in his sleep.

    The usual description of how EPO kills is that it produces far more red blood cells than normal.
    This helps endurance, but has the dangerous side effect of making the blood more viscous--thicker,
    in layman's terms.

    Any dehydration makes this even worse, something that has led to suspicion of EPO abuse among
    marathon runners who refuse to compete when the temperature is predicted to rise above 85 degrees.

    When an extremely fit young cyclist using EPO goes to sleep, his resting heart rate may drop down
    into the 40's or so--barely idling, to use another layman's phrase. The theory is that the too-thick
    blood presents too much resistance, so the victim dies quietly in his sleep, just as a cold, barely
    idling engine dies if its normal 10-40w oil is replaced with thick 85-90w gear oil.

    What raises suspicion of EPO is when young cyclists go to bed and wake up dead instead of collapsing
    during competition. Much of the debate on these matters is anecdotal and poorly documented (try to
    find the names of the dozens of Dutch and Belgian riders who died shortly after EPO became
    available). Autopsies are, despite television, not terribly accurate--and if the drug testers can
    barely deal with EPO, how is the ordinary coroner going to figure it out?

    My impression is that young pro cyclists have been waking up dead or dying while doing nothing more
    strenuous than walking around for about twenty years. I'd be interested if anyone knew of cyclists
    dropping dead in the middle of races, where ordinary undiagnosed heart problems would seem to be
    more likely to surface.

    Carl Fogel

  5. In article <[email hidden]>,

    (Carl Fogel) said:

    Ryan Cousineau <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<rcousine-
    [email hidden]>...

    [snip]

    Quoted message said:

    I would be surprised if that was so. The kind of things cyclists do to their bodies just aren't
    that abusive: you don't hear of runners suffering short lifespans, just shin splints. Similarly,
    soccer stars don't routinely drop dead, either.

    Cycling is a no-impact sport, so possibly issue related to the lack of bone-density buildup come
    into play (do a lot of old cyclists die of complications from broken hips?)

    If you're looking recently, there were a disturbing number of young cyclists for a while who
    died in their sleep of heart troubles. This is widely assumed to have been the result of EPO
    abuse, but sometimes young athletes in all kinds of sports just drop dead, thanks to an
    undiagnosed heart ailment or something similar.

    It even happens to actors. Just ask John Ritter,

    Dear Ryan,

    John Ritter may be a poor example. He was 54, hardly young, and collapsed and died while working
    on a hot stage, not in his sleep.

    The usual description of how EPO kills is that it produces far more red blood cells than normal.
    This helps endurance, but has the dangerous side effect of making the blood more viscous--thicker,
    in layman's terms.

    Quoted message said:

    My impression is that young pro cyclists have been waking up dead or dying while doing nothing
    more strenuous than walking around for about twenty years. I'd be interested if anyone knew of
    cyclists dropping dead in the middle of races, where ordinary undiagnosed heart problems would
    seem to be more likely to surface.

    Good points, all. This does distinguish typical cycling "heart failure" deaths from the rare collapse-on-the-
    field deaths seen in other sports.

    --
    Ryan Cousineau, [email hidden] sfu.ca~rcousine President, Fabrizio Mazzoleni Fan Club

  6. Carl Fogel said:

    The logic behind those arguments may need more explanation.

    Carl, please do not say "may need" when you mean "I want"; eschew the passive voice.

    Quoted message said:

    The number of pro cyclists may have increased (or decreased or remained the same) and may have
    changed at a different rate than the population as a whole--but how does this affect their
    predicted longevity?

    It affects the distribution of observed ages of death, because you aren't measuring the longevity of
    all the ones still alive. Here is a very simple example. Suppose I have a bunch of pathological
    bunnies. 1/4 of these bunnies live 1 year and 3/4 of them live 5 years. Over a long period of time
    (several times greater than 5 years) the average age of death of the bunny population approaches 4
    years. Suppose I look at a biased-young cohort of bunnies born two years ago. All the ones that died
    were 1 year old, much less than the average. Holy [censored], these bunnies are on dope! Well, not really.
    This is the problem with the "average age of death = 53" apocryphal result cited earlier. You can
    get around that by looking at the incidence of dying young in a subgroup versus the general
    population, but again you have to control for the distribution of birthdates.

    Quoted message said:

    The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists may still be alive, but then so are the majority
    of the people in the population as a whole who were born in the same year as the cyclists.

    Quoted message said:

    If pro cyclists born in 1956 are dying at a significantly different rate than my high school
    class, then they're dying at a different rate.

    Now you're controlling for the distribution of birthdates, which is the right thing to do, but much
    more of a pain. People writing newspaper articles are unlikely to do this. Don't forget to control
    for economic status, which is correlated with life expectancy - traditionally I believe many
    European professionals have been from poor and working class backgrounds.

    Quoted message said:

    A proper study is certainly tricky and tedious, but but given roughly 100 to 200 pros riding in
    the post-war Tour every year for the last fifty years, it hardly seems impossible.

    Very well, Carl, I commission you to do it. I actually think even with that total sample number it
    might be difficult to get a statistically meaningful result, since the early deaths are still a
    small percentage of the total.

  7. On 16 Feb 2004 14:17:46 GMT, [email hidden] (Qui si parla

    Campagnolo) said:

    Jon-<< Sad about Marco; but let me indulge my curmudgeonly side and ask what this has to do with
    techical issues? >><BR><BR>

    Thought I was a curmudgeon...'bout bikes, afterall...

    rec.bicycles.misc, rec.bicycles.racing, rec.bicycles.soc...all 'bout bikes...and each a more
    appropriate forum for discussing Pantani's death.

    jeverett3<AT>earthlink<DOT>net home.earthlink.net~jeverett3

  8. Benjamin Weiner <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<4031df7b$1@darkstar>...

    Quoted message said:
    Carl Fogel said:

    The logic behind those arguments may need more explanation.

    Carl, please do not say "may need" when you mean "I want"; eschew the passive voice.

    Quoted message said:

    The number of pro cyclists may have increased (or decreased or remained the same) and may have
    changed at a different rate than the population as a whole--but how does this affect their
    predicted longevity?

    It affects the distribution of observed ages of death, because you aren't measuring the longevity
    of all the ones still alive. Here is a very simple example. Suppose I have a bunch of pathological
    bunnies. 1/4 of these bunnies live 1 year and 3/4 of them live 5 years. Over a long period of time
    (several times greater than 5 years) the average age of death of the bunny population approaches 4
    years. Suppose I look at a biased-young cohort of bunnies born two years ago. All the ones that
    died were 1 year old, much less than the average. Holy [censored], these bunnies are on dope! Well, not
    really. This is the problem with the "average age of death = 53" apocryphal result cited earlier.
    You can get around that by looking at the incidence of dying young in a subgroup versus the
    general population, but again you have to control for the distribution of birthdates.

    Quoted message said:

    The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists may still be alive, but then so are the
    majority of the people in the population as a whole who were born in the same year as the
    cyclists.

    Quoted message said:

    If pro cyclists born in 1956 are dying at a significantly different rate than my high school
    class, then they're dying at a different rate.

    Now you're controlling for the distribution of birthdates, which is the right thing to do, but
    much more of a pain. People writing newspaper articles are unlikely to do this. Don't forget to
    control for economic status, which is correlated with life expectancy - traditionally I believe
    many European professionals have been from poor and working class backgrounds.

    Quoted message said:

    A proper study is certainly tricky and tedious, but but given roughly 100 to 200 pros riding in
    the post-war Tour every year for the last fifty years, it hardly seems impossible.

    Very well, Carl, I commission you to do it. I actually think even with that total sample number it
    might be difficult to get a statistically meaningful result, since the early deaths are still a
    small percentage of the total.

    Dear Benjamin,

    If two different groups with the same birth year have different death rates, they have different
    death rates. You seem to be the only poster in this thread who was not controlling for birth rates
    or other obvious matters.

    If professional cyclists do die markedly younger on average than the general population, due to drug
    use or other factors, studies would confirm this. Dodging this seems to be the point of your post.

    Carl Fogel

  9. "Jay Beattie" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    "Carl Fogel" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    Benjamin Weiner <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<40306a8f$1@darkstar>...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Carl Fogel <[email hidden]> wrote:
    > Tim McNamara <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > > ISTR a reference that in the 1970's some worldwide health


    study found

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > > that the life expectancy of pro cyclists was well below


    average (like

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > > 53 years). I've never been able find the original data,


    though.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > procycling.comnews main.asp

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > It might be hard to find because it was French. It sounds as if it was a study of post-war
    > Tour de France riders.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > I'm curious whether such studies connect the wide-spread drug use in professional bicycling
    > with shortened life-spans.

    This topic is occasionally debated in rec.bicycles.racing.


    Nobody has

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    ever given a reference to a trustworthy study that found that


    ex-pro

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    cyclists have a short life expectancy, and there are several


    reasons

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    why studies like the above are flawed. You can Google search


    rbr for

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    "life expectancy" for details. Robert Chung has explained a


    couple of

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    times why such studies would be quite hard to do right.


    Here's

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    a pithy one:


    ://groups.google.com/groups?q=life+expectancy+winners+group:rec.bicycles.racing&hl=en&lr=&ie=UTF-
    8&scoring=r&selm=3C57EAEC.1B5C47B1%40nospam.com&rnum=3

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    A couple of obvious examples: The number of pro cyclists has


    increased

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    greatly over the 20th century (faster than the population as


    a whole I

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    expect). The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists


    are still

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    alive. Therefore the sample of dead cyclists is biased


    towards people

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    who died young. You can't just compare to the population as


    a whole

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    without controlling for the difference in distributions of


    birthdates.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    (See Chung's post on the difference between longitudinal and


    cohort

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    studies.)

    I believe that the reference remembered by Tim is either an


    urban

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    legend or statistically flawed.

    Dear Benjamin,

    The logic behind those arguments may need more explanation.

    The number of pro cyclists may have increased (or decreased or remained the same) and may have
    changed at a different rate than the population as a whole--but how does this affect their
    predicted longevity?

    The majority of post-war Tour de France cyclists may still be alive, but then so are the
    majority of the people in the population as a whole who were born in the same year as the
    cyclists.

    If pro cyclists born in 1956 are dying at a significantly different rate than my high school
    class, then they're dying at a different rate.

    A proper study is certainly tricky and tedious, but but given roughly 100 to 200 pros riding in
    the post-war Tour every year for the last fifty years, it hardly seems impossible.

    My spreadsheet shows an average of 151 riders starting the Tour each year from 1946 to 2003.
    Obviously, many of the 8611 starters were duplicates, veterans riding the Tour again. But even
    if we assume an absurdly high 10-Tour average, there would be 861 riders over 57 years.

    Much of what I saw in those posts consisted of examples and counter-examples limited to Tour winners--
    a group of only 30 riders over 57 years, too small to be significant because a single occurrence
    may skew things wildly. (To cite the obvious example, testicular cancer does not strike 1 out of
    30 men--the incidence is roughly 0.5% by the age of 75, 1 victim out of 200.)

    Life insurance companies and pension funds do this sort of thing well enough to make money at
    it. They have a fairly clear notion of the differences that you mention, so it would be
    interesting if they've done a study. Unfortunately, professional bicyclists are a very small
    group, so they may have been ignored as not being worth the trouble.

    Incidentally, professional cyclists on the Tour probably do have a lower life-expectancy than
    the population as a whole--simply because they're all men. Women are slightly more than half the
    population and live 5-7 years longer, on average, in Europe and America.

    What pathology are we talking about? The latest on Pantani is that he died of cerebral and
    pulmonary edema of unknown etiology. AFIK, Cerebral and pulmonary edema occurring together are not
    the sort of thing you see routinely in uninjured people living below the top of Mt. Everest --
    although I have heard of marathon runners getting pulmonary and cerebral edema due to a lack of
    sodium (hyponatremia). There may be a cycling related cause for Pantani's death, but I certainly
    do no know what it is. Without looking at the pathology, there really is no way of saying whether
    Pantani or any other pro cyclist died due to a cycling-related cause as opposed to something else.
    The may just be an unlucky populaiton. -- Jay Beattie.

    Dear Jay,

    When a distinct population is "unlucky," there's an explanation. Here, we're wondering whether
    professional cyclists are indeed "unlucky"--that is, do they really die younger than other groups?
    No other group will be the same--women, for example, live markedly longer. Professional marathon
    runners presumably have a different longevity and die of different causes. Ditto for rock stars and
    classical musicians.

    Are there studies? If so, what did they actually find? How accurate and plausible are their
    findings? That is, how many cyclists were tracked? How likely is it that the coroner discovered the
    cause of death? Was there an immediate increase in the death rate after some significant event, such
    as the introduction of EPO? Or is there no increase at all according to the data?

    There is no question, for example, that professional cyclists often exhibit a thickening of the
    heart wall commonly known as athlete's heart. The thickening is considered benign up to some point.
    Beyond that, it's considered a different matter and diagnosed as cardiac myopathy--a bad thing
    indeed. But this is not considered drug-related.

    As for cerebral and pulmonary edema, there are other causes, but the combination is common in acute
    heart failure. There isn't time or fluid for gross general edema to build up overnight, the kind of
    of fluid retention over months of chronic heart failure that the late Dr. Atkins suffered--that was
    almost all water, not fat, building up because his heart was so feeble that he was eligible for
    heart transplant consideration.

    Carl Fogel

  10. Sir, If "pick the nit" you must, you might do well to pick with a little more precision. <g>

    "... arguments may need more explanation," is not passive voice. Passive voice would have been,
    "More explanation would be needed...".

    Cal

    Benjamin Weiner said:
    Carl Fogel said:

    The logic behind those arguments may need more explanation.

    Carl, please do not say "may need" when you mean "I want"; eschew the passive voice.

  11. probably comma couldn't true a wheel. remember george bush supports tobacco its conveinient. jesus
    told him to do it. and he can't true a wheel either.

  12. Carl Fogel said:

    There is no question, for example, that professional cyclists often exhibit a thickening of the
    heart wall commonly known as athlete's heart. The thickening is considered benign up to some
    point. Beyond that, it's considered a different matter and diagnosed as cardiac myopathy--a bad
    thing indeed.

    Do you have any references that show training ever induces pathological cardiomyopathy? Yes,
    training thickens the left ventricle to some extent. But AFAIK, training can not induce the disease.
    --
    terry morse Palo Alto, CA terrymorse.combike

  13. "Carl Fogel" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    "Jay Beattie" <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    What pathology are we talking about? The latest on Pantani


    is

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    that he died of cerebral and pulmonary edema of unknown


    etiology.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    AFIK, Cerebral and pulmonary edema occurring together are not


    the

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    sort of thing you see routinely in uninjured people living


    below

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    the top of Mt. Everest -- although I have heard of marathon runners getting pulmonary and
    cerebral edema due to a lack of sodium (hyponatremia). There may be a cycling related cause


    for

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Pantani's death, but I certainly do no know what it is.


    Without

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    looking at the pathology, there really is no way of saying whether Pantani or any other pro
    cyclist died due to a cycling-related cause as opposed to something else. The may


    just

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    be an unlucky populaiton. -- Jay Beattie.

    Dear Jay,

    When a distinct population is "unlucky," there's an explanation. Here, we're wondering whether
    professional cyclists are indeed "unlucky"--that is, do they really die younger than other groups?
    No other group will be the same--women, for example, live markedly longer. Professional marathon
    runners presumably have a different longevity and die of different causes. Ditto for rock stars
    and classical musicians.

    Quoted message said:

    Are there studies? If so, what did they actually find? How accurate and plausible are their
    findings? That is, how many cyclists were tracked? How likely is it that the coroner discovered
    the cause of death? Was there an immediate increase in the death rate after some significant
    event, such as the introduction of EPO? Or is there no increase at all according to the data?

    All that I am saying is that pro cyclists may die younger as a population, but that does not tell
    you why. For example, pro cyclists are generally European and may come from populations prone to
    blood disorders. Maybe the Ukraininas get thyroid cancer from Chernobyl. Lance had testicular
    cancer. None of this has any link to cycling -- but it increase the early mortality rate of the pro
    cyclist population. Unless you target a pathological condition associated with cycling (e.g. drug
    use, death by riding off Alpine passes -- or by being hit by the Broom Wagon, or a guy dressed up
    like a devil), you cannot say that dying young is caused by pro cycling anymore than you can say
    that bond-trading caused the early death of all those bond traders on the top floor of the World
    Trade Center.

    Quoted message said:

    There is no question, for example, that professional cyclists often exhibit a thickening of the
    heart wall commonly known as athlete's heart. The thickening is considered benign up to some
    point. Beyond that, it's considered a different matter and diagnosed as cardiac myopathy--a bad
    thing indeed. But this is not considered drug-related.

    As for cerebral and pulmonary edema, there are other causes, but the combination is common in
    acute heart failure. There isn't time or fluid for gross general edema to build up overnight, the
    kind of of fluid retention over months of chronic heart failure that the late Dr. Atkins suffered--
    that was almost all water, not fat, building up because his heart was so feeble that he was
    eligible for heart transplant consideration.

    I suppose we will learn soon enough the lurid details of Pantani's death. Personally, I think it was
    a hit ordered by the NSA. -- Jay Beattie.

  14. Terry Morse said:
    Carl Fogel said:

    There is no question, for example, that professional cyclists often exhibit a thickening of the
    heart wall commonly known as athlete's heart. The thickening is considered benign up to some
    point. Beyond that, it's considered a different matter and diagnosed as cardiac myopathy--a bad
    thing indeed.

    Do you have any references that show training ever induces pathological cardiomyopathy? Yes,
    training thickens the left ventricle to some extent. But AFAIK, training can not induce the
    disease.

    There have been a couple of famous athlete deaths attributed to this condition over the past several
    years. Hmmm, one of them was a basketball player. As far as I recall, sports was not implicated as a
    causal factor in the disease process.

    Here's some information for those interested in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

    4hcm.orghome.php

  15. Another cyclist dead recently, 32y.o., team Banesto (sp?). Anybody know about this?

    Robin Hubert

  16. Terry Morse <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:
    Carl Fogel said:

    There is no question, for example, that professional cyclists often exhibit a thickening of the
    heart wall commonly known as athlete's heart. The thickening is considered benign up to some
    point. Beyond that, it's considered a different matter and diagnosed as cardiac myopathy--a bad
    thing indeed.

    Do you have any references that show training ever induces pathological cardiomyopathy? Yes,
    training thickens the left ventricle to some extent. But AFAIK, training can not induce the
    disease.

    Dear Terry,

    I think that I wrote even more badly than usual and confused you--sorry.

    My point was only that the benign thickening often found in the heart walls of endurance athletes
    can be a physical effect of professional cycling.

    Then I happily digressed into the related matter of diagnosing this. Unfortunately, the benign
    thickening is hard to distinguish from the early stages of cardiac myopathy, which is not benign.

    Like too many of my digressions, this one could have used a good deal more clarity and explanation.

    Here's a link to an article that explains how the two situations can be confused on an
    echocardiogram:

    fac.org.aripellicc.htm

    You're quite right, as far as I know, to question what looked like a confused claim that exercise
    induces cardiac myopathy. Again, sorry about that. I appreciate how nicely you raised your eyebrows.

    Carl Fogel

  17. Quoted post said:

    Originally posted by Robin Hubert
    Another cyclist dead recently, 32y.o., team Banesto (sp?). Anybody know about this?

    Robin Hubert

    Dear Robin,

    Possibly you're thinking of Jose Maria Jimenez?

    Suffering from depression, he died at 32 in December
    2003 in a Spanish psychiatric hospital.

    Some articles say heart attack, but usually add that
    an autopsy was pending. Perhaps someone knows
    if the autopsy results were ever published.

    Newspapers are rarely good at distinguishing a
    heart attack (blocked arteries) from heart failure.

    In either case, it was (as usual) quite unusual.

    In a November rec.bicycling.racing thread, the
    astonishingly credulous posters debated in
    apparent good faith absurd figures from a college
    student's web site about 100,000 young U.S.
    athletes suffering sudden cardiac death while or
    just after exercising, including some 45,000
    said to perish every year while playing basketball.

    Here's the post in the thread:

    http://groups.google.com/groups?selm=fqyub.7276%24Rk5.6509%40newsread1.news.atl.earthlink.net&output=gplain

    Here's the cited article:

    http://www-unix.oit.umass.edu/~excs597k/carpenter/sdathlete.htm

    Elsewhere, the cited article did give the more
    plausible figure of 0.75 such deaths per year
    per 100,000 young male athletes.

    The article also referred to a JAMA study that
    consisted of only 158 such sudden deaths among
    young male athletes--over eleven years. Ninety
    per cent of these sudden deaths took place
    while exercising or immediately afterward,
    not after the young athletes went to bed.

    Here's where Benjamin Weiner pointed out
    how absurd the 100,000 per year figure was
    and cited more believable data:

    --

    http://groups.google.com/groups?selm=3fbc9644%241%40darkstar&output=gplain

    A real article on sudden cardiac death is at
    http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/wk/mm5106.pdf

    Table 1: all cardiac deaths, US 1999, age 0-34 years: 7546
    (1/3rd of these are 0-4 years old)
    Table 2: sudden cardiac deaths, US 1999, age 0-34 years: 3976

    Until proven otherwise, I wouldn't believe that
    the 100,000 number is for young athletes worldwide,
    either. It could be somebody's misinterpreted BS.

    ---

    I must add that this just Benjamin's telling comment
    demolishing an outrageously bad statistic that everyone
    was taking as gospel, and that it should not be taken as
    implying that he was taking any position about drugs
    and cardiac deaths.

    Cardiac problems are pretty much limited to the very
    young (children with serious congenital problems)
    and the older population (blocked arteries and
    creeping problems). Teenagers and young men rarely
    die of abrupt heart failure and even more rarely in their
    sleep. Normally, roughly nine times as many people
    the age of the cyclists in question would die sudden
    cardiac deaths while exercising or immediately
    afterward as would be found dead in their beds
    the next morning.

    Possibly someone will find an impressive list of
    professional cyclists dropping dead of heart failure
    during or just after races, but mostly they seem to
    die in their sleep in an unusual fashion.

    Carl Fogel

  18. carlfogel said:
    Robin Hubert said:

    Another cyclist dead recently, 32y.o., team Banesto (sp?).


    Anybody know > about this?

    Quoted message said:

    Robin Hubert

    Dear Robin,

    Possibly you're thinking of Jose Maria Jimenez?

    Suffering from depression, he died at 32 in December 2003 in a Spanish psychiatric hospital.

    Some articles say heart attack, but usually add that an autopsy was pending. Perhaps someone knows
    if the autopsy results were ever published.

    Newspapers are rarely good at distinguishing a heart attack (blocked arteries) from heart failure.

    In either case, it was (as usual) quite unusual.

    In a November rec.bicycling.racing thread, the astonishingly credulous posters debated in apparent
    good faith absurd figures from a college student's web site about 100,000 young U.S. athletes
    suffering sudden cardiac death while or just after exercising, including some 45,000 said to
    perish every year while playing basketball.

    Here's the post in the thread:

    groups.google.comgroups
    news.atl.earthlink.net&output=gplain

    Here's the cited article:

    www-unix.oit.umass.edusdathlete.htm

    Elsewhere, the cited article did give the more plausible figure of .75 such deaths per year per
    100,000 young male athletes.

    The article also referred to a JAMA study that consisted of only 158 such sudden deaths among
    young male athletes--over eleven years. Ninety per cent of these sudden deaths took place while
    exercising or immediately afterward, not after the young athletes went to bed.

    Here's where Benjamin Weiner pointed out how absurd the 100,000 per year figure was and cited more
    believable data:

    --

    groups.google.comgroups put=gplain

    A real article on sudden cardiac death is at cdc.govmm5106.pdf

    Table 1: all cardiac deaths, US 1999, age 0-34 years: 7546
    (1/3rd of these are 0-4 years old) Table 2: sudden cardiac deaths, US 1999, age 0-34 years: 3976

    Until proven otherwise, I wouldn't believe that the 100,000 number is for young athletes
    worldwide, either. It could be somebody's misinterpreted BS.

    ---

    I must add that this just Benjamin's telling comment demolishing an outrageously bad statistic
    that everyone was taking as gospel, and that it should not be taken as implying that he was taking
    any position about drugs and cardiac deaths.

    Cardiac problems are pretty much limited to the very young (children with serious congenital
    problems) and the older population (blocked arteries and creeping problems). Teenagers and young
    men rarely die of abrupt heart failure and even more rarely in their sleep. Normally, roughly nine
    times as many people the age of the cyclists in question would die sudden cardiac deaths while
    exercising or immediately afterward as would be found dead in their beds the next morning.

    Possibly someone will find an impressive list of professional cyclists dropping dead of heart
    failure during or just after races, but mostly they seem to die in their sleep in an unusual
    fashion.

    Carl Fogel

    It was a yes or no question, Carl 🙂

    Bill "j/k...good stuff" S.

  19. John Everett said:
    (Qui si parla Campagnolo) said:

    Jon-<< Sad about Marco; but let me indulge my curmudgeonly side and ask what this has to do with
    techical issues? >><BR><BR>

    Thought I was a curmudgeon...'bout bikes, afterall...

    rec.bicycles.misc, rec.bicycles.racing, rec.bicycles.soc...all 'bout bikes...and each a more
    appropriate forum for discussing Pantani's death.

    jeverett3<AT>earthlink<DOT>net home.earthlink.net~jeverett3

    I was at the trattoria on the corner tonight and happened to see the RAI coverage of Pantani's
    funeral. So sad to see his photo over the bier. (Rerun- it was 3AM in Italy)

    --
    Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org Open every day since 1 April, 1971

  20. John Everett <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:


    rec.bicycles.misc, rec.bicycles.racing, rec.bicycles.soc...all 'bout bikes...and each a more
    appropriate forum for discussing Pantani's death.

    Yes, but in this newsgroup the quality of the information contained in the postings is far superior
    (even with threads which are slightly off topic). rec.bicycles.racing on the other hand attracts
    every nutcase and his wife - and the general tone of the newgroup is frequently abusive - "Dumbass".

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