T
Tim Woodall
Guest
I've had an idea (and three glasses of wine which is why I posted to the
does a bicycle wheel sink or swim thread
This is not intended to be "fair". It is likely to be of more benefit to
the more wealthy members of society. But the following is an idea I've
had as to how it might be possible to encourage some people to leave
their cars at home (or just drive to the nearest station) rather than
drive all the way to wherever they are going.
The goal is to make public transport roughly equivalent in costs to
using a car. Two of the big problems with many people using rail
transport are 1. it's marginal cost is significantly higher than using a
car and 2. it is almost impossible to estimate the cost of a journey
that you have never done before.
First some figures:
back in the late 90's I was self employed and driving a relatively high
milage. My running costs (this includes everything except the purchase
of the car) worked out at about 8p per mile. (As much of this expense
was tax deductable and I did a (suspiciously to the taxman) low personal
milage my accountant recommended I kept detailed records of every trip I
made and every receipt for money spent - most of my local personal
travel was done by bicycle)
Not so long ago I scrapped my car. It still had half a tank of fuel from
January when I scrapped it in May/June. Quick look through my records
makes me think this was probably costing me about 50GBP/month to leave
parked on the drive. During this period the car was sufficiently old and
had done a sufficiently high milage that there was no depreciation in value.
(Arguably it lost up to 500GBP in value. It would have cost me 500GBP to get
it through it's MOT - there was some tricky jobs expensive in labour
rather than parts - and I was told it would be worth about 500GBP with
12 months MOT. The council took it away and scrapped it for free. Over
the lifetime of the car it lost about 600GBP/year in depreciation)
So, as a first guess, it seems reasonable to say a basic car costs about
1000GBP/year fixed costs (including depreciation) and 10p/vehicle mile
running costs.
So I propose the following:
A national "public transport" card for 1000GBP/pa
This would entitle the bearer to:
. Any journey on public transport at a maximum cost of 10p/mile.
. The right for a number (to be determined) of people to travel with the
bearer at no additional cost.
. The right for the card to be used by a number (to be determined) of
named people. Note that any of the named people can use the card but the
card must be in the posession of the person using it at the time.
(These rules are designed to be as flexible as a car - actually they are
slightly more flexible because it is possible to post the rail card to
someone else if the person who wants to use it and the person who
currently has it are geographically separated for some reason)
There _may_ need to be some additional "Congestion charging". As this
stands, my getting one of these cards and paying a per-mile 10p charge
would cost me approximately the same as my season ticket [1]
However, congestion charging can be applied to all modes of transport.
Exactly how this should be structured is open for debate. I would
suggest having fixed periods of the day regardless of where you are
rather than attaching charging to particular routes so that again the
costs can be estimated before the journey is undertaken. If every city
centre has different times and routes that charging applies to then it
will just get everyone annoyed when they discover at the station that
"oh, theres a 5GBP surplus for using the West Coast Line between
Northampton and Rugby between 07:22 and 08:46" or alternatively,
discovering, as they drive up to their destination that Sunderland
charges 5GBP if you use any of the bridges between 8am and 9am.
[1] Actually I'm slightly odd in that I pay the extra to get an all
zones travel card on the underground despite the fact that it would be
cheaper for me to pay per journey as I like the convenience of not
having to buy a ticket. (generally I cycle across London)
I'm not quite sure how the milage should be calculated for public
transport. My own feeling is it should be point-point as the crow flies
for each leg of any journey. Therefore, if your local bus does 16 miles
through 5 villages to get to the station you will only pay the 5 mile
"direct" route. I can't see how an end to end charge could work
logistically and anyway cars can't always take the most direct route
either. (This still places the car at an advantage for local travel
because you will still pay the price in increased journey time but for
most long distance rail journey should favour the train because of it's
higher speeds)
My dream would be to sell about 5 million of these tickets. A
significant proportion may be parents buying them for their children
It's safer than a car or moped, it doesn't incur the insurance hikes,
it can be used before someone can legally drive, and, of course, it can
also be used by the parents when convenient. It won't be "Mum, can I
borrow your car" it will be "Son, can I borrow your railcard"
But some should also be people who would otherwise use the car. I don't
think this will reduce car ownership initially as I suspect many of the
early adopters will be people who can easily afford an extra 1000GBP.
They will probably still use their car locally (because it's quicker
than the bus and more convenient if you have stuff to carry) but might
start to use mixed mode car-train-bus/taxi for some trips. (and maybe
eventually we can encourage them to use a bicycle for part of their
journey)
Question: Do we wan't to encourage people to travel less or use cars
less? At these prices I would probably get one of these cards even if it
didn't affect my season ticket price at all. (Not certainly - the
marginal cost would have to be 5p/mile to ensure it)
Not counting my travel card journeys I make about 900GBP of journeys
per year. At 10p/mile + 1000GBP this would cost me about 1500GBP. But,
as a result of having the card I would probably make quite a lot of extra
journeys that I otherwise wouldn't have made. This would then mean that
I would probably spend more nights away in hotels and so would also be
spending more money in the economy.
One final thought. I think some new car purchases give cash back/free
insurance etc as incentives. Maybe, just maybe, some dealers might start
giving free rail cards as incentives.
Views? Opinions? Insults?
Tim.
does a bicycle wheel sink or swim thread
This is not intended to be "fair". It is likely to be of more benefit to
the more wealthy members of society. But the following is an idea I've
had as to how it might be possible to encourage some people to leave
their cars at home (or just drive to the nearest station) rather than
drive all the way to wherever they are going.
The goal is to make public transport roughly equivalent in costs to
using a car. Two of the big problems with many people using rail
transport are 1. it's marginal cost is significantly higher than using a
car and 2. it is almost impossible to estimate the cost of a journey
that you have never done before.
First some figures:
back in the late 90's I was self employed and driving a relatively high
milage. My running costs (this includes everything except the purchase
of the car) worked out at about 8p per mile. (As much of this expense
was tax deductable and I did a (suspiciously to the taxman) low personal
milage my accountant recommended I kept detailed records of every trip I
made and every receipt for money spent - most of my local personal
travel was done by bicycle)
Not so long ago I scrapped my car. It still had half a tank of fuel from
January when I scrapped it in May/June. Quick look through my records
makes me think this was probably costing me about 50GBP/month to leave
parked on the drive. During this period the car was sufficiently old and
had done a sufficiently high milage that there was no depreciation in value.
(Arguably it lost up to 500GBP in value. It would have cost me 500GBP to get
it through it's MOT - there was some tricky jobs expensive in labour
rather than parts - and I was told it would be worth about 500GBP with
12 months MOT. The council took it away and scrapped it for free. Over
the lifetime of the car it lost about 600GBP/year in depreciation)
So, as a first guess, it seems reasonable to say a basic car costs about
1000GBP/year fixed costs (including depreciation) and 10p/vehicle mile
running costs.
So I propose the following:
A national "public transport" card for 1000GBP/pa
This would entitle the bearer to:
. Any journey on public transport at a maximum cost of 10p/mile.
. The right for a number (to be determined) of people to travel with the
bearer at no additional cost.
. The right for the card to be used by a number (to be determined) of
named people. Note that any of the named people can use the card but the
card must be in the posession of the person using it at the time.
(These rules are designed to be as flexible as a car - actually they are
slightly more flexible because it is possible to post the rail card to
someone else if the person who wants to use it and the person who
currently has it are geographically separated for some reason)
There _may_ need to be some additional "Congestion charging". As this
stands, my getting one of these cards and paying a per-mile 10p charge
would cost me approximately the same as my season ticket [1]
However, congestion charging can be applied to all modes of transport.
Exactly how this should be structured is open for debate. I would
suggest having fixed periods of the day regardless of where you are
rather than attaching charging to particular routes so that again the
costs can be estimated before the journey is undertaken. If every city
centre has different times and routes that charging applies to then it
will just get everyone annoyed when they discover at the station that
"oh, theres a 5GBP surplus for using the West Coast Line between
Northampton and Rugby between 07:22 and 08:46" or alternatively,
discovering, as they drive up to their destination that Sunderland
charges 5GBP if you use any of the bridges between 8am and 9am.
[1] Actually I'm slightly odd in that I pay the extra to get an all
zones travel card on the underground despite the fact that it would be
cheaper for me to pay per journey as I like the convenience of not
having to buy a ticket. (generally I cycle across London)
I'm not quite sure how the milage should be calculated for public
transport. My own feeling is it should be point-point as the crow flies
for each leg of any journey. Therefore, if your local bus does 16 miles
through 5 villages to get to the station you will only pay the 5 mile
"direct" route. I can't see how an end to end charge could work
logistically and anyway cars can't always take the most direct route
either. (This still places the car at an advantage for local travel
because you will still pay the price in increased journey time but for
most long distance rail journey should favour the train because of it's
higher speeds)
My dream would be to sell about 5 million of these tickets. A
significant proportion may be parents buying them for their children
It's safer than a car or moped, it doesn't incur the insurance hikes,
it can be used before someone can legally drive, and, of course, it can
also be used by the parents when convenient. It won't be "Mum, can I
borrow your car" it will be "Son, can I borrow your railcard"
But some should also be people who would otherwise use the car. I don't
think this will reduce car ownership initially as I suspect many of the
early adopters will be people who can easily afford an extra 1000GBP.
They will probably still use their car locally (because it's quicker
than the bus and more convenient if you have stuff to carry) but might
start to use mixed mode car-train-bus/taxi for some trips. (and maybe
eventually we can encourage them to use a bicycle for part of their
journey)
Question: Do we wan't to encourage people to travel less or use cars
less? At these prices I would probably get one of these cards even if it
didn't affect my season ticket price at all. (Not certainly - the
marginal cost would have to be 5p/mile to ensure it)
Not counting my travel card journeys I make about 900GBP of journeys
per year. At 10p/mile + 1000GBP this would cost me about 1500GBP. But,
as a result of having the card I would probably make quite a lot of extra
journeys that I otherwise wouldn't have made. This would then mean that
I would probably spend more nights away in hotels and so would also be
spending more money in the economy.
One final thought. I think some new car purchases give cash back/free
insurance etc as incentives. Maybe, just maybe, some dealers might start
giving free rail cards as incentives.
Views? Opinions? Insults?
Tim.