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Kin Selection contradiction?

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General fitness, health and nutrition
Published
7 June 2004
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5 July 2004
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Brian Berns
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  1. Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Name And
    Address Supplied at [email hidden]
    wrote on 6/5/04 10:43 PM:

    Quoted message said:

    "Malcolm" <[email hidden]> wrote in
    message news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    The technical term used is "identical by descent",
    which maybe doesn't help much.

    Imagine we have a new mutation which has been going for
    only five or six generations and is thus still very
    rare. The chance of this new mutation being in a
    relative is obviously given by the 1/2, 1/8 metric and
    not the 99% one.

    The point is that every new allele starts off as just
    such a rare mutation, so we use the more restricted
    definition of "related" when calculating whether
    altruism is adaptive.

    I don't see your point. The implication seems to be that
    the relatedness appropriate to Hamilton's rule will
    increase as the allele becomes more frequent. That's
    clearly not the case. Hamilton's rule makes no
    assumption about allele frequencies, except for pq>0.

    This is not correct. Hamilton's Rule makes plenty of
    cryptic assumptions,

    I don't feel that it makes any assumptions - it is a true
    statement.

    Quoted message said:

    which is a primary source of confusion. Let me give
    examples from both ends of the frequency spectrum showing
    why Hamilton's Rule assumes a limited window of frequency
    for the altruism mutation. The Rule assumes that both the
    cost on benefit of the altruistic act affect the frequency
    of the altruism allele in a deterministic and invariant
    way. When the mutation is present in only one copy, only
    the cost of the altruistic behavior affects the fate of
    the allele; so Hamilton's Rule is an invalid and overly-
    optimistic model in this case.

    That would depend on what you think r is in this case.

    Quoted message said:

    When the altruism allele is very common, then the
    coefficient of relatedness (r) is a very poor predictor
    of the presence of the altruism allele in a behavioral
    partner; thus the benefit of altruism does not affect
    the frequency of the altruism allele with probability
    "r" under these conditions either, as assumed by
    Hamilton's Rule.

    Again, what do you think that r actually is?

    Quoted message said:

    For any given social structure and phenotypic expression
    of an "altruism mutation", there would be an optimum
    frequency of the altruism allele corresponding to the
    maximum effect of kin selection; but I have never seen
    this calculated for a given situation.

    Define "maximum effect of kin selection".

  2. [email hidden] (Name And Address
    Supplied) wrote

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    I believe I have an answer. Couldn't Jim prepare an
    article to be posted on the SBE website? In my opinion, a
    scientific journal would be a far more appropriate context
    for such discussion (I previously suggested the Journal of
    Theoretical Biology, which after all is where Hamilton
    published his 1964 papers) but it seems that Jim is
    uncomfortable with this. So perhaps an article on the
    webpage would make a suitable compromise?

    What do you think, Jim?

    Hmmm. I kinda like that idea. Might not be that hard either.
    Maybe I could cut and paste from the archives of my posts
    here in SBE (www.google.com/groups). Then it's just a matter
    of reading a few issues of the Journal of Theoretical
    Biology to find some big words to fill in the gaps ๐Ÿ™‚

    But seriously, I do like this idea. You got me thinking
    along the lines of sending JTE a query letter. I wonder how
    that letter should read?

    Jim

  3. [email hidden] (Joe Felsenstein) wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>, Jim McGinn

    Quoted message said:

    As I explain previously, the logic of Hamilton's kin
    selection pivots off of nothing but an erroneous
    application of english (specifically it involves misusage
    of the word share which involves two different meanings
    of the word being used interchangeably). When this
    misusage is corrected Hamilton's kin selection falls like
    a house of cards. This is true regardless of whether the
    person investigating it is or is not a "sober-minded
    evolution professional."

    Oh here we go again. There have been many debates on this
    newsgroup about the logic of kin selection, between McGinn
    and many others. McGinn is convinced he has refuted the
    logic of Hamilton's rules for kin selection.

    Reality refutes the "logic" of Hamilton's rules for kin
    selection. (I'm just the messenger.)

    No one else seems to agree that he has. Before we

    Quoted message said:

    rehash all this again, interested persons should reread
    some of these previous threads. In particular, I call
    attention to the thread "Re: Part2 (Kin Selection)" which
    you can find by using that phrase in Google Groups
    search, or by using McGinn Felsenstein "kin selection" in
    Google Groups.

    Cool. I'll check it out.

    Quoted message said:


    In a posting of 26 October 2002 I put forward a list of
    assumptions which I hoped to use to demonstrate that in a
    simple model, Hamilton's rule could be derived.

    Derived?

    McGinn immediately (27 October 2002) objected to

    Quoted message said:

    the assumptions, saying that this approach "lacks causal
    validity" and "involves the wholescale inclusion of whole
    sets of unexamined assumptions". He would not put forward
    any simple model of his own that could be shown to come to
    any different conclusion than Hamilton's rule. He objected
    to all simple models as oversimplified.

    He describes the situation in dramatic terms ("falls like
    a house of cards", "the confusion that ensues when such
    care is not taken", "your continued belief in the validity
    of a Hamilton's equation even though you are unable to
    demonstrate it's validity", and "Hamilton's equations has
    never amounted to anything but a rather vague analogy",
    "Hamilton's fantasy", and "the establishment accepted
    Hamilton's Rule and has since continued pretending that it
    makes sense"๐Ÿ˜‰.

    Given our inability to get a model-based argument out of
    McGinn, I asked in frustration (11 November 2002):

    "Perhaps we should see whether he has convinced anyone at
    all. Is there anyone else out there who thinks McGinn has
    shown that Hamilton's result is invalid? If so, do they
    have some model situation that could help us understand
    the logic of that objection?"

    Silence. No one agreed, even tentatively, with McGinn's
    assertions.

    As I recall nobody could dispute my assertions.

    I suggest

    Quoted message said:

    that his argument convinced no one else. If so, this puts
    McGinn's dramatic descriptions into perspective.

    I hope that before a lengthy repetition of this argument,
    that people reread some of this old debate, judge for
    themselves whether they agree with McGinn. If they do, I
    hope that they will explain here why they do.

    And if they don't I hope they will keep it brief and to
    the point.

    Jim

  4. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Jim McGinn said:

    [email hidden] (Joe Felsenstein)
    wrote in message

    Quoted message said:


    Oh here we go again. There have been many debates on this
    newsgroup about the logic of kin selection, between
    McGinn and many others. McGinn is convinced he has
    refuted the logic of Hamilton's rules for kin selection.

    Reality refutes the "logic" of Hamilton's rules for kin
    selection. (I'm just the messenger.)

    Sadly, the message is understood by no one here (other than
    McGinn), as McGinn refuses to give a simple example (a model
    that behaves differently than Hamilton's Rule).

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    In a posting of 26 October 2002 I put forward a list of
    assumptions which I hoped to use to demonstrate that in a
    simple model, Hamilton's rule could be derived.

    Derived?

    Yes, as soon as McGinn accepted the premises as suitable for
    a simple model system, I would go to show that Hamilton's
    Rule can be derived from them. Derived, under the
    assumptions. But McGinn never accepted the assumptions of
    that model, or stated his own model.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Is there anyone else out there who thinks McGinn has
    shown that Hamilton's result is invalid? If so, do they
    have some model situation that could help us understand
    the logic of that objection?"

    Silence. No one agreed, even tentatively, with McGinn's
    assertions.

    As I recall nobody could dispute my assertions.

    That's a funny way to describe a lack of response when I
    made a request for anyone who agreed with McGinn to explain
    his logic!

    Quoted message said:

    And if they don't I hope they will keep it brief and to
    the point.

    In the interests of this much-cherished brevity: if we could
    see McGinn's model we could see whether it worked. If we
    can't, we can't.

    --
    Joe Felsenstein [email hidden]
    Department of Genome Sciences and Department of
    Biology, University of Washington, Box 357730, Seattle,
    WA 98195-7730 USA

  5. in article [email hidden], Perplexed in Peoria at
    [email hidden] wrote on 6/8/04 8:20 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    "Guy Hoelzer" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Name And
    Address Supplied at [email hidden]
    wrote on 6/5/04 10:43 PM:

    Quoted message said:

    "Malcolm" <[email hidden]> wrote in
    message news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    > The technical term used is "identical by descent",
    > which maybe doesn't help much.
    >
    > Imagine we have a new mutation which has been going for
    > only five or six generations and is thus still very
    > rare. The chance of this new mutation being in a
    > relative is obviously given by the 1/2, 1/8 metric and
    > not the 99% one.
    >
    > The point is that every new allele starts off as just
    > such a rare mutation, so we use the more restricted
    > definition of "related" when calculating whether
    > altruism is adaptive.

    I don't see your point. The implication seems to be that
    the relatedness appropriate to Hamilton's rule will
    increase as the allele becomes more frequent. That's
    clearly not the case. Hamilton's rule makes no
    assumption about allele frequencies, except for pq>0.

    This is not correct. Hamilton's Rule makes plenty of
    cryptic assumptions, which is a primary source of
    confusion. Let me give examples from both ends of the
    frequency spectrum showing why Hamilton's Rule assumes a
    limited window of frequency for the altruism mutation.
    The Rule assumes that both the cost on benefit of the
    altruistic act affect the frequency of the altruism
    allele in a deterministic and invariant way. When the
    mutation is present in only one copy, only the cost of
    the altruistic behavior affects the fate of the allele;
    so Hamilton's Rule is an invalid and overly-optimistic
    model in this case. When the altruism allele is very
    common, then the coefficient of relatedness (r) is a very
    poor predictor of the presence of the altruism allele in
    a behavioral partner; thus the benefit of altruism does
    not affect the frequency of the altruism allele with
    probability "r" under these conditions either, as assumed
    by Hamilton's Rule. For any given social structure and
    phenotypic expression of an "altruism mutation", there
    would be an optimum frequency of the altruism allele
    corresponding to the maximum effect of kin selection; but
    I have never seen this calculated for a given situation.
    It would also be helpful to see an analysis of the rate
    at which the effectiveness of kin selection diminishes as
    you move away from this optimum.

    You are wrong about Hamilton's rule being frequency
    sensitive in its applicability. The rule applies equally
    well at all frequencies. If rb > c, then it is
    advantageous to have the "altruistic allele".

    This statement makes so many mean field approximations, I am
    not sure that it retains any meaningful relationship to
    reality. For example, selection biases delta-p (the
    frequency of the altruism allele) to be negative when the
    allele is present in only a single copy in the population,
    even if rb>c. This example seems very straight forward to
    me, but if you don't believe me then you can convince
    yourself with any form of a numerical simulation. This
    example provides proof that Hamilton's Rule does not hold
    for all frequencies of the altruism allele. A more extensive
    analysis will show you that Hamilton's Rule fails as a
    quantitative predictor of allele frequency change, except
    when the allele is in a low frequency range (but not too
    low), simply because "r" becomes an increasingly inaccurate
    indicator of the probability that another individual shares
    the allele.

    Quoted message said:

    The frequency of the allele in the population makes
    absolutely no difference in whether it is advantageous.

    It is never advantageous to have an altruism allele,
    by definition. It is only advantageous to interact
    with an altruist.

    Quoted message said:

    Where the frequency DOES make a difference is in just how
    big of an advantage it is. Hamilton [1964] talks about a
    "dilution factor" in discussing this. That is, "r" is
    still the correct factor in the rule, but there is a
    positive frequency dependent dilution factor "d" such that
    the selection coefficient will be proportional to d(rb-c).

    The "dilution factor" idea is an interesting one, but it too
    makes restrictive assumptions about the social structure. If
    I remember Hamilton (1964) correctly, I think he was just
    doing a little thinking outside of the constraining box of
    his toy model of kin selection. I don't think he was
    attempting to systematically generalize his results.

    Quoted message said:

    At the high end of the frequency range, you can see your
    error by asking whether the selfish allele can invade a
    population of altruists. Notice that this simply
    multiplies "b" and "c" by -1. The rule still applies and
    predicts that the selfish allele will be disadvantageous.

    I never claimed that a selfish allele could invade a
    population of altruists under the structure of Hamilton's
    model. You see the frequency dependence in the quantitative
    errors the model makes in estimating the rate of allele
    frequency change when the altruism allele becomes too
    common. It is at the very low end of the allele frequency
    range where selection acts in a qualitatively different
    manner from that predicted by the rb>c rule.

    Note, again, that it is fundamentally wrong to imagine that
    there is ever an advantage to an individual's fitness
    conferred directly by the altruism allele. This possibility
    is assumed away by Hamilton's model.

    Quoted message said:

    At the low end, your error is more subtle. There is still
    an advantage to carrying the only (dominant) gene for
    sibling altruism in the population.

    OK. Now you have jumped to characterizing the allele as
    specifically causing altruism towards siblings. That is a
    new twist, but I will go with it for now.

    Quoted message said:

    This advantage is realized in your own fitness, assuming
    that you compute fitness in the way that Edser and
    Hamilton [1964] recommend - that is by counting the number
    of offspring that survive to maturity. Your offspring are
    more likely to survive, because they will (often) have
    altruistic siblings. And even if you define fitness as birth-to-
    birth, altruism genes are no more problematic than genes
    for parental care. For cross-generation effects, you
    really need to have a way of defining overall fitness that
    includes the expected personal fitnesses of your
    offspring.

    You raise a number of factors here that can facilitate the
    evolution of altruism, but none of them are part and parcel
    of Hamilton's model, so you are constructing an "iron man"
    in an attempt to save the "man made of straw." I would also
    argue that your "iron man" is pretty rusty. For example,
    your claim that the offspring of the first altruist will
    enjoy the benefits of sibling altruism is hollow if the
    first altruist has fewer than two fertile offspring as a
    result of their altruistic behavior. Like so many others
    before you, I think you are trying to defend Hamilton's
    seductive kin selection model by imbuing it with poorly
    defined attributes that were not actually part of the
    original. Hamilton's model is a beautiful and heuristically
    important toy that is not worthy of worship. Some of its
    shortcomings are easy to see, so let's not pretend they
    aren't there. We will serve Hamilton's legacy better by
    standing on his shoulders and looking beyond the reach of
    his toy than we would by letting the ghost of Hamilton sit
    on us and limit our perceptions to the insides of the toy.

    Cheers,

    Guy

  6. in article [email hidden], Name And Address Supplied at
    [email hidden] wrote on 6/8/04 8:21 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Name And
    Address Supplied at [email hidden]
    wrote on 6/5/04 10:43 PM:

    Quoted message said:

    "Malcolm" <[email hidden]> wrote in
    message news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    > The technical term used is "identical by descent",
    > which maybe doesn't help much.
    >
    > Imagine we have a new mutation which has been going for
    > only five or six generations and is thus still very
    > rare. The chance of this new mutation being in a
    > relative is obviously given by the 1/2, 1/8 metric and
    > not the 99% one.
    >
    > The point is that every new allele starts off as just
    > such a rare mutation, so we use the more restricted
    > definition of "related" when calculating whether
    > altruism is adaptive.

    I don't see your point. The implication seems to be that
    the relatedness appropriate to Hamilton's rule will
    increase as the allele becomes more frequent. That's
    clearly not the case. Hamilton's rule makes no
    assumption about allele frequencies, except for pq>0.

    This is not correct. Hamilton's Rule makes plenty of
    cryptic assumptions,

    I don't feel that it makes any assumptions - it is a true
    statement.

    It is a rule of directional change in a dynamical system.
    The closest thing we have in science to any "true
    statements" in this sense are the laws of thermodynamics. I
    don't think there is any way to confuse Hamilton's Rule with
    a "true statement." I say this with the deepest respect for
    Hamilton and his rule.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    which is a primary source of confusion. Let me give
    examples from both ends of the frequency spectrum showing
    why Hamilton's Rule assumes a limited window of frequency
    for the altruism mutation. The Rule assumes that both the
    cost on benefit of the altruistic act affect the
    frequency of the altruism allele in a deterministic and
    invariant way. When the mutation is present in only one
    copy, only the cost of the altruistic behavior affects
    the fate of the allele; so Hamilton's Rule is an invalid
    and overly-optimistic model in this case.

    That would depend on what you think r is in this case.

    Of course, although I did not think that was the source of
    much confusion.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    When the altruism allele is very common, then the
    coefficient of relatedness (r) is a very poor predictor
    of the presence of the altruism allele in a behavioral
    partner; thus the benefit of altruism does not affect
    the frequency of the altruism allele with probability
    "r" under these conditions either, as assumed by
    Hamilton's Rule.

    Again, what do you think that r actually is?

    This is the first time you have asked. The parameter "r"
    represents the genealogically-based probability that two
    individuals will share a particular allele IBD. It also
    represents a genealogically-based estimate of the fraction
    of the alleles in the genome shared by a pair of
    individuals. If the the value of "r" was to be based on
    anything other than genealogy, Hamilton would not have
    called it "the coefficient of relatedness", nor his model
    "kin selection." If you want to argue that "r" estimates the
    probability of sharing the altruism allele in some abstract
    and accurate, but non-genealogically-based way, then the
    model of kin selection dissolves into the more general model
    of reciprocal altruism.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    For any given social structure and phenotypic expression
    of an "altruism mutation", there would be an optimum
    frequency of the altruism allele corresponding to the
    maximum effect of kin selection; but I have never seen
    this calculated for a given situation.

    Define "maximum effect of kin selection".

    What I mean by the "maximum effect of kin selection" in this
    context is the maximum extent of traction that this process
    has on influencing changes in allele frequencies as the
    allele frequencies themselves change. For example, kin
    selection has very little traction when the altruism allele
    is common, because genealogical kinship is a poor predictor
    of the presence or absence of the altruism allele under
    these conditions. As long as the altruism allele is
    sufficiently common and alternative alleles exist in the
    population, genealogical kinship will be monotonically
    related to the probability of sharing the altruism allele;
    but it is not linearly related given the time lags that
    always exist in the evolution of dynamical systems. There is
    a range of frequency for the altruism allele where kin
    selection has maximum traction in the population, and where
    the predictions of allele frequency changes by the kin
    selection model are most accurate.

    Cheers,

    Guy

  7. "Name And Address Supplied"
    <[email hidden]> wrote in message

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    In a clonal species, pq is zero (there are no
    alternative alleles)

    This is only true when every individual is genetically
    identical. That doesn't seem very realistic, or relevant.

    mutations (making the definition of "species" a bit
    difficult).

    parthenogenetic phase. In some species, there is an
    altruistic soldier caste that protects the reproductives.
    Since all the aphids in the clone are genetically identical,
    this is what we would expect.

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    and the coefficient of relatedness is one.

    The coefficient of relatedness is actually undefined in
    this context.


    Maybe you'd better explain what you mean. This was a bit of
    a slip since in fact I'm saying the opposite ( r is
    proportion of alleles identical by descent, not proportion
    identical).

    Quoted message said:


    [ clones ]

    Quoted message said:

    And because the free-loaders have higher success, the
    cooperators are out-competed, so we wouldn't expect
    cooperation at all!


    What you are forgetting is that organisms have only one goal
    in life, to reproduce, and that implies co-operation.
    Imagine we have a pool of clones, all who act altruistically
    to each other. These are vulnerable to invasion by a selfish
    allele. However the selfish allele is vulnerable to invasion
    by a "green beard" allele, and also to an allele that co-
    operates with its own offspring. The point is that co-
    operating only with one's own offspring is almost the
    equivalent to a "green beard allele", and offspring are only
    a special case of Hamilton's rule. This is why the phrase is
    "identical by descent".

    Quoted message said:


    I believe you are confusing the coefficient of relatedness
    with a measure of genealogical relationship. In some
    circumstances it will not matter to do so, but as far back
    as 1963 Hamilton (and others) were aware that this is not
    what r in Hamilton's rule actually is.


    You'd better explain this more. There may be something about
    Hamilton's r that I don't understand properly.

  8. [email hidden] (Jim McGinn) wrote in news:ca9vg1$4nf$1
    @darwin.ediacara.org:

    Quoted message said:

    [email hidden] (Name And Address
    Supplied)


    wrote

    Quoted message said:


    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    I believe I have an answer. Couldn't Jim prepare an
    article to be posted on the SBE website? In my opinion, a
    scientific journal would be a far more appropriate
    context for such discussion (I previously suggested the
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, which after all is


    where

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hamilton published his 1964 papers) but it seems that Jim
    is uncomfortable with this. So perhaps an article on the
    webpage would make a suitable compromise?

    What do you think, Jim?

    Hmmm. I kinda like that idea. Might not be that hard
    either. Maybe I could cut and paste from the archives of
    my posts here in SBE (www.google.com/groups). Then it's
    just a matter of reading a few issues of the Journal of
    Theoretical Biology to find some big words to fill in
    the gaps ๐Ÿ™‚

    But seriously, I do like this idea. You got me thinking
    along the lines of sending JTE a query letter. I wonder
    how that letter should read?

    Jim,

    I assume you mean JTB, right?

    As for posting it on the sbe website, I'm perfectly happy to
    do that, especially if you can HTML-ize it beforehand so I
    don't have to. I suggest it would be an excellent idea to
    get feedback from the readership, especially those of us who
    have published in the professional journals before.

    As for JTB, you'll want to read their "instructions to
    authors" at authors.elsevier.comGuideForAuthors.htm
    l?PubID=622904&dc=GFA before formatting your manuscript,
    just to get it the way they like it. I'd be perfectly happy
    to proof any ms before you submit it.

    -Best, Josh

  9. [email hidden] (Jim McGinn) wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    [email hidden] (Name And Address
    Supplied) wrote

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:

    I believe I have an answer. Couldn't Jim prepare an
    article to be posted on the SBE website? In my opinion,
    a scientific journal would be a far more appropriate
    context for such discussion (I previously suggested the
    Journal of Theoretical Biology, which after all is where
    Hamilton published his 1964 papers) but it seems that
    Jim is uncomfortable with this. So perhaps an article on
    the webpage would make a suitable compromise?

    What do you think, Jim?

    Hmmm. I kinda like that idea. Might not be that hard
    either. Maybe I could cut and paste from the archives of
    my posts here in SBE (www.google.com/groups). Then it's
    just a matter of reading a few issues of the Journal of
    Theoretical Biology to find some big words to fill in
    the gaps ๐Ÿ™‚

    But seriously, I do like this idea. You got me thinking
    along the lines of sending JTE a query letter. I wonder
    how that letter should read?

    I'm pleased that you agree this is worthwhile.
    Definitely having an article online will save you and
    others alot of time and energy in future discussion of
    this subject. And once it is written out properly, you
    could submit it to a journal.

  10. [email hidden] (Joe Felsenstein) wrote

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Oh here we go again. There have been many debates on
    this newsgroup about the logic of kin selection,
    between McGinn and many others. McGinn is convinced he
    has refuted the logic of Hamilton's rules for kin
    selection.

    Reality refutes the "logic" of Hamilton's rules for kin
    selection. (I'm just the messenger.)

    Sadly, the message is understood by no one here (other
    than McGinn), as McGinn refuses to give a simple example

    Sadly.

    Quoted message said:

    (a model that behaves differently than Hamilton's Rule).

    My argument is that reality behaves differently than
    Hamilton's Rule.

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    In a posting of 26 October 2002 I put forward a list of
    assumptions which I hoped to use to demonstrate that in
    a simple model, Hamilton's rule could be derived.

    Derived?

    Yes, as soon as McGinn accepted the premises as suitable
    for a simple model system, I would go to show that
    Hamilton's Rule can be derived from them. Derived, under
    the assumptions. But McGinn never accepted the assumptions
    of that model, or stated his own model.

    I didn't reject your assumptions. It just seemed that my
    scientific instinct to clarify and scrutinize these
    assumptions had rubbed you the wrong way. Then you became,
    er . . . unresponsive.

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Is there anyone else out there who thinks McGinn has
    shown that Hamilton's result is invalid? If so, do they
    have some model situation that could help us understand
    the logic of that objection?"

    Silence. No one agreed, even tentatively, with McGinn's
    assertions.

    As I recall nobody could dispute my assertions.

    That's a funny way to describe a lack of response when I
    made a request for anyone who agreed with McGinn to
    explain his logic!

    I think the real irony is how you and I have such different
    interpretations of the silence of our audience.

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    And if they don't I hope they will keep it brief and to
    the point.

    In the interests of this much-cherished brevity: if we
    could see McGinn's model we could see whether it worked.
    If we can't, we can't.

    Okay, I'll keep it brief: Hamilton's refuted. Get used to
    it.

    Jim

  11. Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote or quoted:

    Quoted message said:

    It is never advantageous to have an altruism allele, by
    definition. It is only advantageous to interact with an
    altruist.

    The dictionary has:

    Altruism:

    * Unselfish concern for the welfare of others; selflessness.
    * Zoology. Instinctive cooperative behavior that is
    detrimental to the individual but contributes to the
    survival of the species.

    - dictionary.reference.comsearch

    If being nice to others happened to be good for you - then
    an altruist could benefit - at least under the first
    definition.

    I must say, I'm not terribly happy with these
    definitions, though:

    For instance, since when does altruism have to be towards
    other members of your own species? The dictionary needs an
    update here - IMO.
    --
    __________
    |im |yler timtyler.orgtimtyler.org [email hidden] Remove
    lock to reply.

  12. "Guy Hoelzer" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Perplexed in
    Peoria at It is never advantageous to have an altruism
    allele, by definition. It is only advantageous to interact
    with an altruist.

    Not correct. What you should have said is that it is never
    advantageous to yourself to ACT altruistically. The
    situation with respect to having an altruistic allele is
    more complicated. If you assume that the reason you have the
    altruistic allele is that you inherited it, and if rb>c,
    then it IS advantageous to self to have the allele.

    This is because having the allele makes you different from
    the typical member of the population in two ways, one direct
    and one indirect. The direct effect is that the allele makes
    you behave altruistically. That is a net minus. The indirect
    effect of having inherited the allele is as a marker. It
    indicates that you are part of a family group that tends to
    behave altruistically, as compared to the rest of the
    population. Therefore, individuals who have the allele are
    more likely to RECEIVE altruism than is the rest of the
    population. Assuming rb>c, the positive indirect effect
    outweighs the negative direct effect. Carriers of the allele
    are fitter than the average person in the population! Having
    the allele is better than not having it.

    When you think about it, you will realize that it HAS to be
    that way. Edser is wrong about many things, but he is right
    about this - if carriers of the allele have (on average)
    fewer children survive to adulthood than do non-carriers,
    then the allele can not be favored by natural selection.

  13. "Guy Hoelzer" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Perplexed
    in Peoria at [email hidden] wrote on 6/8/04
    8:20 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    You are wrong about Hamilton's rule being frequency
    sensitive in its applicability. The rule applies equally
    well at all frequencies. If rb > c, then it is
    advantageous to have the "altruistic allele".

    This statement makes so many mean field approximations, I
    am not sure that it retains any meaningful relationship to
    reality.

    Two questions:
    1. What is a "mean field approximation"?
    2. Where do they appear in my statement (or Hamilton's)?

    Quoted message said:

    ... a more extensive analysis will show you that
    Hamilton's Rule fails as a quantitative predictor of
    allele frequency change, except when the allele is in a
    low frequency range (but not too low),

    Hamilton's rule "rb>c" does not even attempt to be a
    quantitative predictor of allele frequency change. I would
    be very curious to see how it could be used as one in the
    low frequency range.

    Quoted message said:

    simply because "r" becomes an increasingly inaccurate
    indicator of the probability that another individual
    shares the allele.

    How does this matter? Do you believe that the rate of allele
    frequency change is somehow dependent on the probability
    that another individual shares the allele? You will have to
    explain how.

  14. Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Name And
    Address Supplied at [email hidden]
    wrote on 6/8/04 8:21 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    This is not correct. Hamilton's Rule makes plenty of
    cryptic assumptions,

    I don't feel that it makes any assumptions - it is a
    true statement.

    It is a rule of directional change in a dynamical system.
    The closest thing we have in science to any "true
    statements" in this sense are the laws of thermodynamics.
    I don't think there is any way to confuse Hamilton's Rule
    with a "true statement." I say this with the deepest
    respect for Hamilton and his rule.

    Hamilton's rule is a special case of the secondary theorem
    of natural selection. So is Fisher's fundamental theorem of
    natural selection. They are all true statements.

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Again, what do you think that r actually is?

    This is the first time you have asked. The parameter "r"
    represents the genealogically-based probability that two
    individuals will share a particular allele IBD. It also
    represents a genealogically-based estimate of the fraction
    of the alleles in the genome shared by a pair of
    individuals.

    You have confused Hamilton's coefficient of relatedNESS with
    Wright's coefficient of relationSHIP. The former is a
    regression coefficient, the latter a correlation
    coefficient. They are not the same thing.

    Quoted message said:

    If the the value of "r" was to be based on anything other
    than genealogy, Hamilton would not have called it "the
    coefficient of relatedness", nor his model "kin
    selection."

    1) Hamilton called it the coefficient of relatedNESS to
    distinguish it from the coefficient of relationSHIP, for
    this reason.

    2) Hamilton did not call his model "kin selection". He hated
    the phrase precisely for this reason. It originated from
    Maynard Smith.

    Quoted message said:

    If you want to argue that "r" estimates the probability of
    sharing the altruism allele in some abstract and accurate,
    but non-genealogically-based way, then the model of kin
    selection dissolves into the more general model of
    reciprocal altruism.

    Hamilton's rule was never intended to be limited to
    statements about genealogical kin.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    For any given social structure and phenotypic
    expression of an "altruism mutation", there would be an
    optimum frequency of the altruism allele corresponding
    to the maximum effect of kin selection; but I have
    never seen this calculated for a given situation.

    Define "maximum effect of kin selection".

    What I mean by the "maximum effect of kin selection" in
    this context is the maximum extent of traction that this
    process has on influencing changes in allele frequencies
    as the allele frequencies themselves change. For example,
    kin selection has very little traction when the altruism
    allele is common, because genealogical kinship is a poor
    predictor of the presence or absence of the altruism
    allele under these conditions. As long as the altruism
    allele is sufficiently common and alternative alleles
    exist in the population, genealogical kinship will be
    monotonically related to the probability of sharing the
    altruism allele; but it is not linearly related given the
    time lags that always exist in the evolution of dynamical
    systems. There is a range of frequency for the altruism
    allele where kin selection has maximum traction in the
    population, and where the predictions of allele frequency
    changes by the kin selection model are most accurate.

    I think this is based on a misunderstanding of Hamilton's
    rule, rather than representing any interesting behaviour of
    natural systems.

  15. "Malcolm" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    "Name And Address Supplied"
    <[email hidden]> wrote in message

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    In a clonal species, pq is zero (there are no
    alternative alleles)

    This is only true when every individual is genetically
    identical. That doesn't seem very realistic, or
    relevant.

    genetic uniformity.

    Quoted message said:

    However you do also get mutations (making the definition
    of "species" a bit difficult).

    Quoted message said:

    parthenogenetic phase. In some species, there is an
    altruistic soldier caste that protects the reproductives.
    Since all the aphids in the clone are genetically
    identical, this is what we would expect.

    Okay, but you've gone from making statements about
    populations to making statements about families.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    and the coefficient of relatedness is one.

    The coefficient of relatedness is actually undefined in
    this context.


    Maybe you'd better explain what you mean. This was a bit
    of a slip since in fact I'm saying the opposite ( r is
    proportion of alleles identical by descent, not proportion
    identical).

    Quoted message said:

    Not sure I follow.

    But, anyway, Hamilton's rule is only concerned with
    situations where there is variation, regardless of what you
    think relatedness is.

    Quoted message said:

    [ clones ]

    Quoted message said:

    And because the free-loaders have higher success, the
    cooperators are out-competed, so we wouldn't expect
    cooperation at all!


    What you are forgetting is that organisms have only one
    goal in life, to reproduce, and that implies co-operation.
    Imagine we have a pool of clones, all who act
    altruistically to each other. These are vulnerable to
    invasion by a selfish allele. However the selfish allele
    is vulnerable to invasion by a "green beard" allele, and
    also to an allele that co-operates with its own offspring.
    The point is that co-operating only with one's own
    offspring is almost the equivalent to a "green beard
    allele", and offspring are only a special case of
    Hamilton's rule. This is why the phrase is "identical by
    descent".

    I'm not sure what your point is.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    I believe you are confusing the coefficient of
    relatedness with a measure of genealogical relationship.
    In some circumstances it will not matter to do so, but
    as far back as 1963 Hamilton (and others) were aware
    that this is not what r in Hamilton's rule actually is.


    You'd better explain this more. There may be something
    about Hamilton's r that I don't understand properly.

    If you are genuinely interested, I think it would save a lot
    of time if you went to the primary literature, rather than
    trying to muddle together an understanding from the threads
    in this newsgroup.

  16. "Josh Hayes" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    [email hidden] (Jim McGinn) wrote in
    news:ca9vg1$4nf$1 @darwin.ediacara.org:

    Quoted message said:

    [email hidden] (Name And Address
    Supplied) wrote

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    I believe I have an answer. Couldn't Jim prepare an
    article to be posted on the SBE website?

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Hmmm. I kinda like that idea.

    Quoted message said:

    As for posting it on the sbe website, I'm perfectly happy
    to do that, especially if you can HTML-ize it beforehand
    so I don't have to. I suggest it would be an excellent
    idea to get feedback from the readership, especially
    those of us who have published in the professional
    journals before.

    A question. Does public posting of a draft article
    contravene the "no prior publication" rule that some
    journals have? What if the article has a url, but that url
    is only publicized by email?

  17. Hi Tim,

    in article [email hidden], Tim Tyler at
    [email hidden] wrote on 6/9/04 8:54 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote or quoted:

    Quoted message said:

    It is never advantageous to have an altruism allele, by
    definition. It is only advantageous to interact with an
    altruist.

    The dictionary has:

    Altruism:

    * Unselfish concern for the welfare of others;
    selflessness.
    * Zoology. Instinctive cooperative behavior that is
    detrimental to the individual but contributes to the
    survival of the species.

    - dictionary.reference.comsearch

    If being nice to others happened to be good for you - then
    an altruist could benefit - at least under the first
    definition.

    I never meant to imply otherwise. I merely wrote that "it is
    never advantageous to HAVE and altruistic allele." I suppose
    that this claim could wilt in the face of a Green Beard type
    of altruistic allele that is out there for all to see. In
    this case it might be possible that having an altruistic
    allele attracts good things from the social environment and
    might therefore carry a net advantage. It is also
    conceivable that an altruism allele could carry a net
    advantage, on average (or at least some times), in a system
    of reciprocal altruism if altruistic behaviors can be
    sufficiently directed at those carrying altruism alleles.
    So, I guess my statement went too far, but not by much.

    Quoted message said:

    I must say, I'm not terribly happy with these
    definitions, though:

    For instance, since when does altruism have to be towards
    other members of your own species? The dictionary needs an
    update here - IMO.

    Why should species matter in the basic definition of
    altruism? Isn't is a matter of science to determine the
    conditions under which altruism evolves? Granted the
    evolutionary dynamics of within species sociality can be
    different because there is a long term conduit of
    information flow and heritable change (genetics) that is not
    available in the evolution of interspecific interactions;
    but I don't see a reason to use a different word for within
    vs. between species altruism.

    Cheers,

    Guy

  18. in article [email hidden], Name And Address Supplied at
    [email hidden] wrote on 6/10/04 8:41 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Name And
    Address Supplied at [email hidden]
    wrote on 6/8/04 8:21 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    Guy Hoelzer <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:<[email hidden]>...

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > This is not correct. Hamilton's Rule makes plenty of
    > cryptic assumptions,

    I don't feel that it makes any assumptions - it is a
    true statement.

    It is a rule of directional change in a dynamical system.
    The closest thing we have in science to any "true
    statements" in this sense are the laws of thermodynamics.
    I don't think there is any way to confuse Hamilton's Rule
    with a "true statement." I say this with the deepest
    respect for Hamilton and his rule.

    Hamilton's rule is a special case of the secondary theorem
    of natural selection. So is Fisher's fundamental theorem
    of natural selection. They are all true statements.

    Perhaps it would be of value here to distinguish between
    "true" statements about a model and "true" statements about
    nature. I agree with you that these are "true" statements
    about models, but I was trying to focus on nature.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Again, what do you think that r actually is?

    This is the first time you have asked. The parameter "r"
    represents the genealogically-based probability that two
    individuals will share a particular allele IBD. It also
    represents a genealogically-based estimate of the
    fraction of the alleles in the genome shared by a pair of
    individuals.

    You have confused Hamilton's coefficient of relatedNESS
    with Wright's coefficient of relationSHIP. The former is a
    regression coefficient, the latter a correlation
    coefficient. They are not the same thing.

    Can you please describe the relevance of this subtle
    distinction in the context of this thread?

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If the the value of "r" was to be based on anything other
    than genealogy, Hamilton would not have called it "the
    coefficient of relatedness", nor his model "kin
    selection."

    1) Hamilton called it the coefficient of relatedNESS to
    distinguish it from the coefficient of relationSHIP,
    for this reason.

    2) Hamilton did not call his model "kin selection". He
    hated the phrase precisely for this reason. It
    originated from Maynard Smith.

    These are interesting points, and seemingly valid criticisms
    of my statements, but I doubt that they undermine the points
    I was making with my (in hindsight) poorly chosen words.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    If you want to argue that "r" estimates the probability
    of sharing the altruism allele in some abstract and
    accurate, but non-genealogically-based way, then the
    model of kin selection dissolves into the more general
    model of reciprocal altruism.


    Hamilton's rule was never intended to be limited to
    statements about genealogical kin.

    If that is the case, then he made a strategic blunder in
    emphasizing the importance of kin relations so much. Even if
    your understanding of Hamilton's general model is correct, I
    have read enough of Hamilton's work to know that he almost
    always emphasized a key role for kinship.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > For any given social structure and phenotypic
    > expression of an "altruism mutation", there would be an
    > optimum frequency of the altruism allele corresponding
    > to the maximum effect of kin selection; but I have
    > never seen this calculated for a given situation.

    Define "maximum effect of kin selection".

    What I mean by the "maximum effect of kin selection" in
    this context is the maximum extent of traction that this
    process has on influencing changes in allele frequencies
    as the allele frequencies themselves change. For example,
    kin selection has very little traction when the altruism
    allele is common, because genealogical kinship is a poor
    predictor of the presence or absence of the altruism
    allele under these conditions. As long as the altruism
    allele is sufficiently common and alternative alleles
    exist in the population, genealogical kinship will be
    monotonically related to the probability of sharing the
    altruism allele; but it is not linearly related given the
    time lags that always exist in the evolution of dynamical
    systems. There is a range of frequency for the altruism
    allele where kin selection has maximum traction in the
    population, and where the predictions of allele frequency
    changes by the kin selection model are most accurate.

    I think this is based on a misunderstanding of Hamilton's
    rule, rather than representing any interesting behaviour
    of natural systems.

    All of your comments essentially make this same point, but
    you haven't offered any reasons for me to think that my
    points are not valid vis a vis Hamilton's "real" Rule. Note
    that I am not yet admitting defeat on even the technicality
    that you used to criticize my points (correlation vs.
    regression), because you merely asserted this point without
    backing it up.

    Regards,

    Guy

  19. in article [email hidden], Perplexed in Peoria at
    [email hidden] wrote on 6/10/04 8:41 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    "Guy Hoelzer" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    in article [email hidden], Perplexed
    in Peoria at [email hidden] wrote on 6/8/04
    8:20 AM:

    Quoted message said:

    You are wrong about Hamilton's rule being frequency
    sensitive in its applicability. The rule applies equally
    well at all frequencies. If rb > c, then it is
    advantageous to have the "altruistic allele".

    This statement makes so many mean field approximations, I
    am not sure that it retains any meaningful relationship
    to reality.

    Two questions:
    1. What is a "mean field approximation"?

    A "mean field approximation" is merely the act of
    simplifying a model by assuming that a mean value of
    something is the actual value for all parts of the system.
    So, parameters in equation-based models are almost always
    "mean field approximations". If your model includes a
    parameter representing the variance in some measure, this is
    actually just another form of "mean field approximation"
    because your model is asserting that the same variance is
    embodied by every element of the system. For example,
    variance estimates often represent probabilities of events,
    which are implicitly assumed to be the same everywhere. From
    my own area of interest, the Island Model of Migration
    provides an excellent illustration of the use of "mean field
    approximations" because it makes many of them explicit. For
    example, the Island Model assumes that the immigration and
    emigration rates are equal and the same for every deme. It
    also assumes that the allele frequencies among immigrants
    are the same for every deme, and that every deme is equally
    connected to every other deme. Mean field approximations
    like this allow us to write equations using a small number
    of parameters, but the validity of such a model always
    depends on its robustness to violations of these "mean field
    approximations", which is rarely considered and even more
    rarely explored. Symmetry breaking generically occurs in
    physical (real) systems when "mean field approximations"
    break down.

    Quoted message said:

    2. Where do they appear in my statement (or Hamilton's)?

    All the parameters in this "Rule" (r, b, and c) are examples
    of "mean field approximations." In reality, the values
    attached to these parameters vary tremendously among
    manifested social interactions. Whether the allele is
    advantageous under the kin selection model (the model that
    underlies Hamilton's Rule) depends strongly on these
    variances and the correlations among them.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    ... a more extensive analysis will show you that
    Hamilton's Rule fails as a quantitative predictor of
    allele frequency change, except when the allele is in a
    low frequency range (but not too low),

    Hamilton's rule "rb>c" does not even attempt to be a
    quantitative predictor of allele frequency change. I would
    be very curious to see how it could be used as one in the
    low frequency range.

    Good point. The Rule is a very simple threshold extracted
    out of Hamilton's kin selection model. However, it is as error-
    prone as every other quantitative prediction of allele
    frequency change that could be derived from the general
    model of kin selection. I stand by my challenge in this
    regard. If you actually do a numerical model of a population
    subjected to kin selection, the Rule will frequently make
    false predictions regarding the direction of allele
    frequency change in a frequency-dependent fashion, even in a
    large but finite population.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    simply because "r" becomes an increasingly inaccurate
    indicator of the probability that another individual
    shares the allele.

    How does this matter? Do you believe that the rate of
    allele frequency change is somehow dependent on the
    probability that another individual shares the allele? You
    will have to explain how.

    I am at a bit of a loss to understand your position. Are you
    claiming that the value of "r" does not matter in the
    prediction of Hamilton's Rule. If so, why not just take it
    out? Of course, the value of "r" was critical in Hamilton's
    mind. It is the only parameter he added to Darwin's
    formulation (although Darwin never wrote b>c, AFAIK). The
    essence of Hamilton's argument was that "r" ("the
    probability that another individual shares the allele"๐Ÿ˜‰
    provided the link between the behavioral interactions among
    individuals and the evolutionary dynamics of allele
    frequency change. It is exactly the same link that drives
    the model of reciprocal altruism. The only difference is
    that the latter model has altruists finding one another and
    maximizing the frequency of their pair wise interactions by
    means other than kinship.

    To really satisfy your "explain how" request, you should go
    back and read Hamilton and/or Trivers. I will simply make
    the point that directing one's altruism toward other
    individuals carrying the altruism allele causes the
    frequency of that allele to increase more (or decrease less)
    than it otherwise would. This is what drives kin selection.

    Cheers,

    Guy

  20. "Name And Address Supplied"

    Quoted message said:


    Okay, but you've gone from making statements about
    populations to making statements about families.


    Which in a sense is the point. Altruism within the
    population is not stable, whilst altruism within the
    family is. Hence Hamilton's "r" refers to alleles
    identical by descent.

    Quoted message said:


    But, anyway, Hamilton's rule is only concerned with
    situations where there is variation, regardless of what
    you think relatedness
    is.

    the relatedness of distant relatives is so low that it can
    be ignored,

    isn't the case, because a mother is gentically identical to
    her daughter, and siblings are also genetically identical.
    However this is just an extreme which tests the rule.

    Quoted message said:


    I'm not sure what your point is.


    "Green beard effect" genes break Hamilton's rule because
    the gene is no longer acting co-operatively with other
    genes in the organism. "Green beard" genes aren't
    biologically very plausible, however a gene for "be
    altruistic to your own offspring" is plausible, and has
    many of the same advantages of the green beard gene (over a
    gene for "be altruistic to all

    Quoted message said:


    If you are genuinely interested, I think it would save a
    lot of time if you went to the primary literature, rather
    than trying to muddle together an understanding from the
    threads in this newsgroup.


    I'm not an expert on Hamilton's rule, and I can't quite
    understand some of the points being made.

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