there had been a recent warning by WHO that we are facing a probable influenza pandemic in the next years e.g. at: news.bbc.co.uk3524824.stmOpen ↗
I have tried to find concrete estimates of the expected damage but didn't find any. All experts are hiding behind unclear formulations and noone gives numbers for the expected number of deaths or economical damage.
If someone knows where to get some numbers, I'd appreciate a message. I mean expectation value, not worst case scenario.
there had been a recent warning by WHO that we are facing a probable influenza pandemic in the next years e.g. at: news.bbc.co.uk3524824.stmOpen ↗
I have tried to find concrete estimates of the expected damage but didn't find any. All experts are hiding behind unclear formulations and noone gives numbers for the expected number of deaths or economical damage.
If someone knows where to get some numbers, I'd appreciate a message. I mean expectation value, not worst case scenario.
Guenter Stertenbrink
A book has just come out about the great flu epidemic following WWI, with material about the world's current vulnerability to a similar outbreak. THE GREAT INFLUENZA, by John M. Barry. Very well reviewed.