General fitness, health and nutrition · Public discussion

influenza pandemic

Started by Sterten · · Last activity · 3 posts · 457 views

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General fitness, health and nutrition
Published
29 March 2004
Last activity
31 March 2004
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Sterten
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  1. there had been a recent warning by WHO that we are facing a probable
    influenza pandemic in the next years e.g. at:
    news.bbc.co.uk3524824.stm

    I have tried to find concrete estimates of the expected
    damage but didn't find any. All experts are hiding behind
    unclear formulations and noone gives numbers for the
    expected number of deaths or economical damage.

    If someone knows where to get some numbers, I'd appreciate a
    message. I mean expectation value, not worst case scenario.

    Guenter Stertenbrink

  2. In article <[email hidden]>,

    (Sterten) said:

    there had been a recent warning by WHO that we are facing
    a probable influenza pandemic in the next years e.g. at:
    news.bbc.co.uk3524824.stm

    I have tried to find concrete estimates of the expected
    damage but didn't find any. All experts are hiding behind
    unclear formulations and noone gives numbers for the
    expected number of deaths or economical damage.

    If someone knows where to get some numbers, I'd appreciate
    a message. I mean expectation value, not worst case
    scenario.

    Guenter Stertenbrink

    A book has just come out about the great flu epidemic
    following WWI, with material about the world's current
    vulnerability to a similar outbreak. THE GREAT INFLUENZA, by
    John M. Barry. Very well reviewed.

    C.
    --
    Crow

  3. <I have tried to find concrete estimates of the expected
    damage but didn't find any.>

    How can anyone know if they didn't even know which flu
    strain to make the vaccine for this year?

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