Donovan - Marathon pacing

Parker Race said:

I don't want to start the pacing thread again but just had some more
information about a team mates performance.

I asked my teammate who ran 2:45 at the HMRRC Marathon in October about his
HM split, it was 1:24. He ran 1:18:04 at America's Finest 1/2 in August.

That's a very good performance given his half marathon time.

So from the point of view of my analysis, his split/HM difference is 6
minutes -- that puts him alongside me and the more conservative runners in
my sample (I actually ran the first half 8 minutes off my HM time).

I think to run a really fast time, you have to be prepared to go out not much
slower than about 6-7 minutes off your half marathon time -- otherwise you're
not giving yourself a reasonable chance of getting in the ballpark of
2xHM + 10 min.

Overall, it seems that for someone who's a gifted marathoner, 3 minutes above
half marathon time seems to be about the lower limit (for either half of the
race) and that implies that about 6-7 minutes is the upper limit (note that I
exceeded this limit -- because I wasn't expecting to post a top-of-the-line
performance on my first try)

Cheers,
--
Donovan Rebbechi
http://pegasus.rutgers.edu/~elflord/